Comcast breakup run pushes CMCSA to 4.5x 2025 FCF

Comcast breakup run pushes CMCSA to 4.5x 2025 FCF

NEW YORK, June 30, 2026, 04:13 EDT

  • Comcast Corporation was last seen at $24.22, up roughly 4.4%. The stock carries a market cap near $86.5 billion, according to the latest available feed.
  • Comcast said June 29 it will spin off NBCUniversal and Sky in a tax-free deal, targeting completion in about a year.
  • The rally put about $3.6 billion on the stock’s equity value, which is under one-fifth of what Comcast’s free cash flow is forecast to be in 2025.
  • Deutsche Bank raised Comcast to Buy from Hold, though lowered its price target to $32 from $34. The broker moved to a sum-of-the-parts approach.

Comcast Corporation moved up on its breakup plan, but early trading shows the stock faces a cash-flow check, not a full rerating.

Comcast closed at $24.22, up $1.02, putting its market cap around $86.5 billion. That move added about $3.6 billion to the company’s equity value based on the current share count. Comcast posted $19.24 billion in free cash flow for 2025, so shares are trading at roughly 4.5 times last year’s number. Full-year revenue landed at $123.71 billion with adjusted EBITDA at $37.38 billion, according to Comcast Corporation.

Comcast read-throughData pointInvestor read
Last quote$24.22, +4.4%Break-up bid in play, shares still under most targets
Market cap$86.5 billionEquity still trails yearly sales
Equity bump from moveabout $3.6 billionNot quite 19% of 2025 expected cash
2025 free cash flow$19.24 billionKey reason bulls stick around
Market cap / 2025 free cash flowabout 4.5 timesLooks cheap if cash keeps up

The discount is straightforward. Comcast posted a 5.3% revenue increase in the first quarter, reaching $31.46 billion. Adjusted EBITDA dropped 16.8%. Free cash flow fell 28% to $3.90 billion. Domestic residential broadband customer losses narrowed to 65,000, down from 183,000 last year. Wireless lines climbed by 435,000, which was Comcast’s best on record for that metric.

Q1 2026 operating itemResultStock angle
Free cash flow$3.90 billion, fell 28.0%Bulls point to cash yield, but it’s down
Domestic residential broadbandLost 65,000 customersNegative number again, but improvement
Domestic wireless linesAdded 435,000Bundles look to be helping
Peacock$2.1 billion revenue, EBITDA loss of $432 millionMedia is growing and burning cash
Theme parks EBITDA$551 million, up 33.3%NBCUniversal has real growth here

Comcast plans to break itself into two companies, one focused on cable, wireless, business services and tech platforms. The other company is expected to hold NBCUniversal, Sky, Peacock, Bravo, Universal studios and the theme parks. Shareholders would get shares in both. Comcast said it expects to keep as much as 19.9% of NBCUniversal for up to a year after the spinoff.

Comcast chairman and co-CEO Brian Roberts said the deal is about getting a more “entrepreneurial management approach.” Mike Cavanagh, who is taking over NBCUniversal, said both companies start from “positions of strength.” Incoming Comcast CEO Michael Angelakis, the company’s former CFO, said Comcast will “execute aggressively” after the split. Comcast Corporation

The peer move suggests buyers wanted cable exposure, not just the less complex Comcast setup. Charter Communications outperformed Comcast in the latest tape. Walt Disney and Netflix trailed. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust added 1.7%.

SecurityLatest priceMoveMarket value
Comcast $24.22up 4.4%$86.5 billion
Charter $146.17up 9.4%$18.5 billion
Disney $98.63off 0.2%$174.8 billion
Netflix $73.78down 0.1%$317.1 billion
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust $741.00gained 1.7%$656.1 billion

Deutsche Bank’s Bryan Kraft raised Comcast to Buy from Hold after the news, but lowered his price target to $32 from $34. Kraft shifted to a sum-of-the-parts model from his earlier discounted cash flow method, Investing.com reported. According to MarketScreener, 27 analysts have a Hold rating on the stock, with an average target at $32.19, about 33% above the previous close.

The change lets analysts break out Comcast’s cable and wireless numbers from NBCUniversal’s media business, opening up a way to put a separate price tag on each. Reuters quoted eMarketer’s Ross Benes saying NBCU will “become an M&A target eventually.” Paolo Pescatore at PP Foresight called the split a “sensible move.” Craig Moffett of MoffettNathanson said the old combined business took a “conglomerate discount.” Reuters

Comcast execs pushed back on talk that the spin sets up a sale. Reuters said NBCUniversal could explore gaming and new entertainment franchises after the break, and the cable unit might look at tech plays in data centers and AI. Cavanagh said the media side would be free to move into adjacent areas.

At press time, core Nasdaq trading was still closed. Normal hours run 9:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. Eastern, with premarket from 4:00 a.m. to 9:30 a.m. The 2026 market holiday schedule puts the next closure on July 3 for Independence Day observed, not June 30.

Comcast will report earnings on July 23, set for 8:30 a.m. EDT. According to MarketScreener, the company’s ex-dividend date is July 1 with a $0.33 payout.

Michał Rogucki

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and technology to economic developments affecting global markets. He graduated from Humboldt University of Berlin and worked in investment research and market analysis before becoming a financial journalist.

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