CoreWeave stock erases early pop after rare Davidson upgrade — what CRWV investors watch next

CoreWeave stock erases early pop after rare Davidson upgrade — what CRWV investors watch next

NEW YORK, Jan 5, 2026, 12:40 PM EST — Regular session

  • CoreWeave shares were little changed after an early rally following a D.A. Davidson upgrade.
  • The firm’s new $68 target still sits below the market price, keeping valuation and leverage in focus.
  • Investors are looking to February results for updated spending and cash-flow signals.

CoreWeave shares pared an early jump and were down 0.1% at $79.21 in midday trading on Monday after D.A. Davidson upgraded the AI-focused cloud company.

The call matters because CoreWeave has become a high-beta proxy for how long the AI buildout can stay on a debt-funded footing. Traders have been quick to fade rallies when bullish demand signals collide with questions about capital intensity, or how much cash a company must spend just to keep growing.

CoreWeave touched $84.44 earlier in the session before sliding back below $80, underscoring how sensitive the stock remains to shifts in sentiment rather than day-to-day operating headlines.

D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria raised CoreWeave to “Neutral” from “Underperform” and lifted his price target to $68 from $36, even as that target still implies downside from current levels. Luria has been among the company’s more persistent skeptics, and he warned of an “inevitable reckoning” for the model. Barron’s

Luria said CoreWeave’s returns on capital — the profit generated for each dollar invested — remain too low relative to its cost of capital, or what it pays to borrow and raise money. He pegged return on capital around 4% versus a 9% cost of capital, according to Barron’s. Barron’s

CoreWeave, which listed on Nasdaq in March 2025, rents out high-end computing capacity used to train and run AI models and has marketed multi-year contracts that aim to reduce demand swings. Coreweave

The company has leaned on big-ticket commitments to support that buildout. CoreWeave said in September that the total contract value of its agreements with OpenAI stands at about $22.4 billion. Coreweave

CoreWeave’s last earnings update in November showed how execution hiccups can still jar the stock: the company cut its 2025 revenue forecast after a delay at a third-party data center partner, Reuters reported at the time. Reuters

The risk for bulls is that funding costs rise or customer deployments slow, leaving expensive hardware underused and squeezing margins — a particular worry for a company that is still scaling and has drawn scrutiny for leverage. Any renewed delays in bringing capacity online could also test confidence in forward projections.

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