DraftKings (NASDAQ:DKNG) Shares Climb on Betting Surge Despite Q2 Earnings Miss

DraftKings (NASDAQ:DKNG) Shares Climb on Betting Surge Despite Q2 Earnings Miss

NEW YORK, August 7, 2026, 15:07 EDT – DraftKings shares advanced as robust betting activity offset a weaker-than-expected second-quarter report.

  • At 14:52 EDT, DraftKings was up 5.6% at $23.42. U.S. regular trading hours were still in session.
  • Sports consumer volume increased by 15% in the second quarter, but revenue declined 5%.
  • DraftKings kept its 2026 guidance unchanged even as customer-acquisition and prediction-market costs rose.

DraftKings stock rose on Friday even after the company reported a quarterly loss and fell short on revenue. The reaction from investors indicated that the market viewed the shortfall as an issue with monetization rather than demand.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:DKNG

The most straightforward proof can be found in wagering activity. DraftKings reported an 11% rise in sportsbook handle compared to the previous year. Meanwhile, FanDuel parent company Flutter Entertainment posted growth of only 2%. The resulting nine percentage-point difference indicates DraftKings picked up comparative momentum.

DraftKings recorded a decline in its sports net revenue margin to 6.8%, compared to 8.7% previously. Using last year’s margin rate on this year’s betting volume would generate about $1.14 billion in sports revenue. However, reported sports revenue totaled $892 million. The approximate difference of $251 million is an estimate, not official company guidance.

The quarter remained lacklustre, with company filings and FactSet Research Systems consensus data revealing shortfalls in both revenue and GAAP earnings.

Second-quarter measureQ2 2026ComparatorVariance
Revenue$1.443 billion$1.51 billion consensus-4.4%
GAAP EPS-$0.14+$0.02 consensus-$0.16
Adjusted EBITDA$114.6 million$300.6 million in Q2 2025-61.9%
Adjusted diluted EPS$0.09$0.38 in Q2 2025-76.3%

Management cited customer-favourable sports outcomes and higher promotional spending as reasons. Sales and marketing expenses climbed by $89 million, reaching $323 million. Adjusted EBITDA dropped $186 million.

The division between demand and monetization is evident in the operating figures. Customer acquisition rose markedly, while the cost to acquire those customers declined.

Operating indicatorQ2 2026 resultYear-on-year changeSignal
Sports consumer volume$13.14 billion+14.5%Robust demand
Sportsbook handleNot disclosed+11%Key volume growth
Sports net revenue margin6.8%-190 basis pointsDecreased hold and extra promotions
Sports revenue$891.9 million-10.6%Weaker monetization
iGaming revenue$461.9 million+7.5%Broader revenue base
Customers acquiredNot disclosed+73%Accelerated growth
Customer-acquisition costNot disclosed-8%Improved efficiency
Sales and marketing$322.5 million+38.3%Short-term profit headwind

The pace of acquisitions outperformed what the expense figures indicate. DraftKings brought in close to 30% more customers than it had targeted. Its spending was around 10% above projections, but core costs were 25% lower than forecasts.

Predictions introduces an additional avenue for expansion, but its stated run-rate figure requires scrutiny. Over 600,000 users engaged with the service this year. Annualized trading volume increased from $2.3 billion in April to $11 billion in July. This metric calculates monthly volume times 12; it does not represent revenue.

Chief Executive Jason Robins stated that Predictions was “already growing faster than we anticipated.” DraftKings kept its revenue forecast at $6.5 billion to $6.9 billion, and left its adjusted EBITDA target unchanged at $700 million to $900 million. DraftKings Investor Relations

Flutter’s results put the contrast in focus. FanDuel’s sportsbook revenue in the U.S. declined 15%, and Flutter cut its profit outlook for the full year. As a result, DraftKings’ higher handle growth outweighed its earnings shortfall.

The disparity was evident in Friday’s market action. The prices listed were the most recent at approximately 14:52 EDT. Note that company classifications may vary.

CompanyQ2 U.S. sportsbook handle growthFriday movePrice
DraftKings +11%up 5.6%$23.42
Flutter Entertainment , FanDuel parent+2%up 1.4%$94.30

Most analysts maintained a positive outlook, though not all agreed. Out of 27 analysts surveyed, 23 rated the stock as Buy, three recommended Hold, and one suggested Sell. The consensus 12-month price target stood at $35.02.

FirmAnalystRecommendationActionPrice target
Morgan Stanley Stephen GramblingBuyMaintained$36
BenchmarkMike HickeyBuyReiterated$30
Bank of America Shaun KelleyHoldReiterated$27
NeedhamBernie McTernanBuyReiterated$35
Stifel Financial Jeffrey StantialBuyMaintained$38

Shaun Kelley, analyst at Bank of America, stated that DraftKings is “executing well and gaining share in core sports betting.” He maintained a Hold rating, cautioning that spending on acquisitions might impact EBITDA in the second half. Benzinga

Risks: Outcomes on bets may shift rapidly, yet elevated promotional costs could persist. Predictions are also subject to execution and regulatory uncertainties. Annualized volume does not equate to recognized revenue, and increased investment might narrow DraftKings’ guidance buffer.

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Further analysis

What caused DraftKings’ revenue to decline even as customer activity increased?
Sports consumer volume increased by 14.5% to $13.14 billion for the quarter. Overall revenue declined 4.6% to $1.44 billion. The sports net revenue margin slid to 6.8% from 8.7%. Monthly payers were up 9%, though revenue per payer dropped 13% to $132. More favorable customer results and intensified promotions contributed to the difference. Adjusted EBITDA fell 62% to $114.6 million.
Is DraftKings still on track to meet its 2026 targets?
Management reaffirmed its revenue forecast of $6.5 billion to $6.9 billion, and maintained its adjusted EBITDA outlook of $700 million to $900 million. For the first half, revenue was $3.09 billion and adjusted EBITDA was $282.5 million. This leaves DraftKings with a second-half revenue target of $3.41–$3.81 billion and adjusted EBITDA of about $418–$618 million. These projections are management’s guidance and are not assured results.
Has Predictions grown to a scale that it could impact the earnings narrative?
Predictions saw participation from over 600,000 customers through July. Annualized trading volume increased almost five times, reaching $11 billion from $2.3 billion. Combo contracts made up close to 20% of total Predictions volume. However, DraftKings continues to report revenue from Sportsbook and Predictions as a single line item. This means investors are unable to distinguish revenue or margin attributable to Predictions.
What is the level of legal risk facing Predictions?
A U.S. judge permitted Utah to apply its gambling regulations to Kalshi. The ruling applies to Kalshi only and does not impact DraftKings. Other courts remain divided on whether federal or state oversight should prevail. As a result, the legal framework for event-contract markets remains unclear. DraftKings also cautions that court cases could influence its offerings and gaming permits.
Does the stock's weak trend shift after Friday's rebound?
DKNG was up 5.8% at $23.46 as of 3:03 p.m. ET on Friday. Trading volume hit 26.7 million shares, roughly double the 65-day average. The stock remains down 32% for the year and is still trading 52% under its annual peak of $48.78. Steady guidance and strong Predictions growth were highlighted as key positives in the report. The specific price driver was unclear.
Leokadia Głogulska

Leokadia Głogulska is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech, covering stocks, artificial intelligence, space technology and global market developments. She graduated from Wrocław University of Economics and Business and previously worked in financial analysis before moving into business journalism. Her reporting focuses on helping readers understand the market trends, companies and technologies shaping the global economy.

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