Palantir Shares Surge 9% with U.S. Market Dominating Quarterly Increase

Palantir Shares Surge 9% with U.S. Market Dominating Quarterly Increase

NEW YORK, August 7, 2026, 15:10 EDT — Nasdaq was trading during regular hours. In Karachi, the local time was August 8, 00:10 PKT.

  • Palantir shares rose 8.6% to $169.40 in late afternoon delayed trading.
  • Revenue growth in the second quarter was driven by U.S. customers, who accounted for 90.2% of the increase.
  • Palantir increased its projected 2026 revenue midpoint by 6.5% since May, and lifted its adjusted operating-income midpoint by 10.1%.

Shares of Palantir Technologies Inc. climbed 8.6% to $169.40 in late Friday trade. The stock built on gains seen after earnings, as investors factored in a higher forecast for 2026. The session was still active, leaving all market data subject to change.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:PLTR

One nation contributed the majority of second-quarter growth. Revenue from the United States rose by $840.5 million, while total group revenue climbed $931.8 million. This means that U.S. customers accounted for 90.2% of additional sales.

Sales in the United States accounted for 81.3% of overall revenue, an increase from 73.0%. Sales outside the U.S. rose by 33.7%, compared to growth of 114.7% in the U.S. The growing disparity heightens both potential gains and risks linked to concentration.

Revenue geographyQ2 2026Q2 2025Year-on-yearQ2 sales mixShare of revenue increase
United States$1,573.0 mln$732.6 mln+114.7%81.3%90.2%
Rest of world$362.4 mln$271.1 mln+33.7%18.7%9.8%
Total$1,935.5 mln$1,003.7 mln+92.8%100%100%

Reported figures represent dollar amounts. Percentages for growth, mix, and contribution are derived from calculations based on the filing.

Palantir outperformed certain software counterparts. Snowflake Inc. , Datadog Inc. , C3.ai Inc. and the Invesco QQQ Trust posted smaller gains.

SecurityDelayed priceFriday moveGap versus Palantir
Palantir$169.40up 8.6%
Snowflake$325.83up 2.5%down 6.2 points
Datadog$235.21up 2.6%down 6.1 points
C3.ai$10.31up 4.6%down 4.1 points
Invesco QQQ$719.80up 0.7%down 7.9 points

Prices were logged from 14:53 to 14:54 EDT. Data is still preliminary.

Growth stocks saw overall gains as milder jobs data eased concerns about interest rate increases. Palantir, however, outperformed QQQ by nearly eight percentage points. The company-specific earnings adjustment continued to have a bigger impact.

Revenue for the second quarter climbed 93% to $1.935 billion. U.S. commercial revenue jumped 149% to $764 million, while U.S. government revenue advanced 90% to $809 million. Chief Executive Alex Karp described the quarter as “otherworldly.” SEC

Profitability also saw significant gains. Palantir posted a GAAP operating margin of 47% and an adjusted margin of 62%. Adjusted free cash flow totaled $1.220 billion, representing 63% of revenue.

Management revised its outlook more sharply for profit than for sales. The midpoint for adjusted operating income increased by 10.1%, while revenue rose by 6.5%. This suggests a greater degree of operating leverage, though adjusted figures do not include stock compensation and related payroll tax expenses.

2026 metricMay outlookAugust outlookIncrease
Revenue$7.650–$7.662 bln$8.150–$8.158 blnMidpoint up $498 mln, or 6.5%
U.S. commercial revenueAbove $3.224 blnAbove $3.424 blnFloor up $200 mln, or 6.2%
Adjusted operating income$4.440–$4.452 bln$4.889–$4.897 blnMidpoint up $447 mln, or 10.1%
Adjusted free cash flow$4.2–$4.4 bln$4.5–$4.7 blnMidpoint up $300 mln, or 7.0%

The analysis is based on Palantir’s guidance for its first and second quarters. Data reflects the company’s own projections.

The $2.162 billion midpoint for third-quarter revenue was approximately 8% higher than the $2.0 billion LSEG forecast referenced by Reuters. Palantir’s market capitalization rose to around $435.5 billion in after-hours trading, which is about 53 times its updated annual sales target and 95 times the midpoint for adjusted free-cash-flow.

The wide split among analysts can be traced to the company’s valuation. After earnings, target prices set by analysts ranged between $80 and $223, reflecting scenarios from a 53% drop to a 32% increase.

Firm and analystRecommendationTargetLatest actionImplied move from $169.40
Deutsche Bank AG , Brad ZelnickBuy$200Raised from Hold+18.1%
Truist Securities, part of Truist Financial Corp. , Arvind RamnaniBuy$223Reaffirmed+31.6%
William Blair, Louie DiPalmaOutperformReaffirmed; noted a scenario for $200
Cantor Fitzgerald, Thomas BlakeyNeutral$156Lifted from $138-7.9%
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. , Brent ThillUnderperform$80Lifted from $70-52.8%

Analysts made their recommendations following the August 3 results. Implied returns are based on Friday’s delayed price, with fees not included.

Zelnick of Deutsche Bank said Palantir was “operating several steps ahead” in converting AI demand. Jefferies analysts expressed caution, noting “the setup gets harder from here” as year-over-year comparisons become more difficult. StreetInsider.com

Risks: Palantir notes that most of its contracts feature termination clauses. Stock-based compensation increased by 66% in the second quarter, reaching $265 million. Greater U.S. concentration heightens risk related to changes in domestic budgets, policy and economic factors.

The following metric to assess is conversion. U.S. commercial contract value stood at $2.132 billion, though this figure relies on the execution of options and the ongoing nature of contracts. Investors are monitoring whether third-quarter revenue falls within the $2.160 billion to $2.164 billion range while maintaining stable margins.

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Further analysis

Is Palantir capable of maintaining growth rates close to triple digits?
Second-quarter revenue totaled $1.935 billion, up 93% compared to the same period last year. U.S. commercial revenue soared 149% to $764 million. Revenue from the U.S. government advanced 90% to $809 million. Executives now forecast 2026 revenue in the range of $8.150–$8.158 billion, reflecting an 82% increase. The midpoint is $498 million higher than guidance given in May.
How solid is the backlog supporting that forecast?
Total contract value increased by 49% to $3.373 billion. U.S. commercial remaining deal value jumped 124% to $6.238 billion. Remaining performance obligations stood at $4.9 billion as of June 30. Palantir anticipates that 43%, approximately $2.1 billion, will be realized within the next twelve months. Many agreements allow for termination for convenience. Visibility does not equal certainty.
Are earnings maintaining momentum without major adjustments?
GAAP operating income totaled $912 million, equating to a 47% margin. Operating cash flow amounted to $1.216 billion, representing 63% of revenue. Stock compensation increased by 66% to $265 million, accounting for about 14% of revenue. Adjusted operating margin stood at 62%, which is fifteen percentage points higher than the GAAP margin. The main factors for the gap are equity compensation and associated payroll taxes.
Is there increasing reliance on U.S. revenue?
Revenue from U.S. customers accounted for 81% of Q2 total, increasing from 73%. Revenue outside the U.S. climbed 34% to $362 million, trailing U.S. growth. No single customer contributed more than 10% of total revenue. Customer numbers rose 24% to 1,049. The company faces more geographic than customer concentration risk.
Which assumptions are already reflected in the share price?
PLTR ended August 7 at $169.84, representing an increase of about 35% since August 3. The outstanding common shares suggest an equity valuation of roughly $408 billion. With $9.2 billion in cash and no debt, the enterprise value is nearly $399 billion. This equates to approximately 49 times the midpoint of the company’s 2026 revenue guidance. Based on the midpoint, the adjusted free-cash-flow yield stands at 1.1%.
Roman Perkowski

Roman Perkowski is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Cracow University of Economics, he previously worked in investment research and corporate finance. His coverage helps readers understand the key forces driving global financial markets and emerging industries. Follow Roman Perkowski on Google News.

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