SYDNEY, Jan 10, 2026, 16:52 AEDT — Market closed
- Fortescue closed Friday 0.18% lower, at A$22.71
- Miners remained in the spotlight as Rio Tinto confirmed early-stage buyout discussions with Glencore
- Fortescue will release its December-quarter production report on Jan 22
Fortescue Ltd (FMG.AX) shares closed Friday just off, down 0.18% at A$22.71, following a turbulent start to the week for resource stocks. The Australian market is closed over the weekend, giving investors a pause before Monday brings iron ore news and deal developments back into focus. 1
Rio Tinto revealed it’s in early discussions to acquire Glencore, potentially creating a mining giant through an all-share deal covering “some or all” of Glencore. The news hit Rio’s Australian shares hard, which fell 6.3%, while BHP’s stock nudged up 0.8%. Hugh Dive from Atlas Funds Management voiced shareholder discontent: “Investors are not happy with this.” 2
Fortescue wasn’t involved in that discussion, yet it seldom avoids the ripple effects. When major miners chat about mergers and copper, stocks focused purely on iron ore often get repriced quickly — even without fresh company-specific updates to justify the move.
Iron ore prices remain the main driver. Benchmark iron ore hovered near $108 a metric ton on Friday, with traders zeroed in on Chinese steel demand and the key question: will the raw material stay above the $100 mark as supply grows and mills’ margins shift. 3
Fortescue’s shares fluctuated between A$22.41 and A$22.77 on Friday, pulling back from the A$23.35 peak hit on Jan. 7, per pricing data. Short-term traders will be eyeing whether the stock can hold the A$22.40 level on Monday, with the mid-A$23 range set as the initial hurdle on any rebound. 4
Fortescue’s next major event is coming up. The investor calendar lists the December 2025 quarterly production report on Jan. 22, with the FY26 half-year results due Feb. 25. These will be the next opportunities for management to update shipment guidance and cost expectations. 5
Macro risks remain. The U.S. consumer price index for December, a crucial inflation indicator that influences rate forecasts, the dollar, and commodity risk appetite, is set for release on Jan. 13. 6
The near-term risk is straightforward: a drop in China’s steel demand or a sharp fall in iron ore prices would flip Fortescue’s earnings leverage, putting dividends at risk. Fresh volatility in benchmark pricing and discounts would also weigh on sentiment.
At Monday’s open, investors will focus on iron ore prices and the mood among miners following the Rio-Glencore surprise. Attention will also be on whether Fortescue can stay above Friday’s lows, ahead of its December-quarter production report due Jan. 22, which could trigger shifts in positioning.
