New York, Jan 17, 2026, 12:44 EST — Market closed.
Global stocks wrapped the week close to record highs, but caution crept in as traders scaled back expectations for U.S. rate cuts and eyed ongoing geopolitical tensions. “While it seems the odds of U.S. intervention in the Middle East have eased for now, I wouldn’t say it’s off the table,” warned Michael Brown, senior research strategist at Pepperstone. 1
Timing is crucial. With a U.S. holiday on Monday and a busy earnings calendar looming, the market has been inching higher but lacks clear momentum. Expectations around interest rates have cooled, dampening hopes for easier monetary policy. Comments from President Donald Trump about possibly keeping economic adviser Kevin Hassett in place nudged Treasury yields higher. The 10-year yield climbed roughly 6.7 basis points—0.067 percentage point—to 4.227%, while traders now assign about a 20% probability to a rate cut in March. 2
The MSCI World index slipped 0.06% by Friday’s close. Europe’s STOXX 600 finished slightly lower too, down 0.03% at 614.38. The European gauge had hit a record the previous day but couldn’t maintain the momentum. 3
Wall Street saw the S&P 500 edge down 0.1% to 6,940.01, the Dow slipping 0.2%, and the Nasdaq retreating 0.1%. Over the week, the S&P 500 dropped 0.4%, the Nasdaq slid 0.7%, but the Russell 2000 climbed 2%. 4
Semiconductors showed resilience beneath the surface as healthcare lagged, with investors pulling back from major directional bets ahead of the long weekend. Big banks posted mostly solid earnings, yet financial shares struggled amid concerns about Trump’s plan to cap credit card interest rates at 10% for one year, Reuters reported. 5
Asia stood out late in the week. Taiwan and South Korea’s tech-heavy markets reached record highs, boosted by strong TSMC earnings that reignited the AI rally. A U.S.-Taiwan trade deal added momentum, Reuters reported. “It certainly provided a much-needed shot in the arm for those AI names,” said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG. 1
The flow picture remains supportive, at least according to the numbers. Global equity funds recorded their biggest weekly inflows in roughly 3½ months, with net purchases hitting $45.59 billion in the week ending Jan. 14, according to LSEG Lipper data. This suggests investors haven’t shied away from risk assets despite the surrounding volatility. 6
But that calm might not last. A Reuters analysis pointed out that Friday’s monthly options expiration could shake up dealer positioning, which has kept big index moves in check. This shift raises the chance of more volatile trading as earnings and policy news roll in. 7
In the coming week, eyes will be on earnings from key players like Netflix, Johnson & Johnson, and Intel as investors seek signals to support current high valuations amid political uncertainty. Reuters highlighted increasing scrutiny on the Federal Reserve and policy moves out of Washington. 8
Looking past the next few sessions, the calendar hits a firm deadline: the Federal Reserve’s Jan. 27-28 meeting. This gathering will be a key test of how much markets can rally as hopes for rate cuts dwindle and yields climb again. 9
