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Gold price nears $5,000: what to watch before Powell and the Fed decision
25 January 2026
1 min read

Gold price nears $5,000: what to watch before Powell and the Fed decision

NEW YORK, January 25, 2026, 12:13 EST — Market closed.

  • Spot gold climbed 0.6% on Friday, edging closer to $5,000 following a new record high.
  • U.S. gold futures closed up, while silver surged past the $100 an ounce mark.
  • Attention shifts to the Fed’s upcoming decision and Jerome Powell’s remarks scheduled for midweek.

Gold enters the new week just below $5,000 an ounce following another record close on Friday, with safe-haven demand still holding strong as markets reopen.

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady, but all eyes are on Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks as President Donald Trump intensifies his pressure on the central bank, according to the Reuters Morning Bid podcast.

Powell is set to speak following the Fed’s interest-rate announcement on Wednesday, Jan. 28, per Investopedia’s week-ahead calendar. Key U.S. data releases on consumer confidence and the producer price index are also scheduled, both capable of influencing expectations on the pace of upcoming Fed rate cuts.

Spot gold climbed 0.6% to $4,964.81 an ounce on Friday, having hit a record $4,988.17 earlier in the session. February U.S. gold futures closed up 1.4% at $4,979.70. Tai Wong, an independent metals trader, said, “Gold’s role as a haven and a diversifier in uncertain times is making it a necessity for strategic portfolios.” Investing.com

Silver surged past $100 an ounce on Friday for the first time, prompting some analysts to caution that the pace seemed unsustainable. StoneX’s Rhona O’Connell called the rally “a self-propelled frenzy,” while others warned the sharp rise could falter if momentum fades. Reuters

The rally in bullion has boosted mining stocks. Canada’s benchmark index closed at a record high Friday, buoyed by a 1.7% jump in the materials sector as gold hit new highs. Shares of Barrick Mining climbed 3.1%, according to Reuters.

Gold offers no interest, so investors typically compare it to cash and government bonds. When traders anticipate rate cuts, real yields—returns adjusted for inflation—often decline, making bullion more attractive to hold.

The recent rally has been linked to geopolitical tensions, such as disagreements between the United States and NATO over Greenland, alongside renewed doubts about the Fed’s independence. Persistent tariff uncertainties have also driven some investors to seek hedges beyond the dollar.

The trade is crowded at this point. A stronger dollar, an unexpected jump in U.S. inflation, or a hawkish Powell could trigger profit-taking after gold’s rise toward a key round-number level that traders keep an eye on.

Wednesday’s Fed statement and Powell’s press conference stand out as the next major catalyst. Eyes then turn swiftly to U.S. data toward the week’s end — Friday’s producer price index in particular — to gauge if rate-cut expectations require adjustment.

Khadija Saeed is a financial markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and emerging industries. She studied economics and finance at the London School of Economics and previously worked in market research before moving into financial journalism. Her coverage focuses on the companies, innovations and economic trends influencing global investors.

Stock Market Today

  • Sensex, Nifty Open Flat as Crude Oil Prices Stay Low, FII Buying Boosts Market Sentiment
    June 29, 2026, 12:06 AM EDT. The BSE Sensex opened up 48.58 points at 77,149.05, and NSE Nifty50 gained 44.65 points to 24,100.65 on Monday, showing a flat start after a record winning streak. Falling crude oil prices, with Brent crude below $73 per barrel, eased inflation concerns and supported the market. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) turned net buyers over nine sessions, enhancing sentiment. IT stocks fell nearly 1%, while defensive sectors like Pharma and Healthcare rose over 1%. Expert VK Vijayakumar highlighted subdued crude oil prices and continued FII buying as key positives but flagged concerns over a 43% deficient monsoon and upcoming June-quarter earnings that could influence market direction.

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