New York, Feb 16, 2026, 13:32 EST — The market has closed.
- Goldman Sachs finished at $905.14, barely budging as markets braced for a busy U.S. data week.
- Goldman highlighted in a client note that hedge-fund leverage is climbing, with Asia equities seeing record buying heading into Friday.
- Next up, traders are eyeing U.S. retail sales on Tuesday and the Fed minutes set for release Wednesday, searching for the next signal to steer the market.
No new moves for Goldman Sachs shares this Monday—the U.S. markets sit idle for Presidents Day, so investors are left waiting for the next round of catalysts once trading resumes Tuesday. (AP News)
Here’s why it’s relevant: Goldman’s results move with the markets — swings in trading, appetite for financing, and deal flow all hit the bottom line. This week is packed with U.S. data drops that could shake up rate bets and traders’ risk tolerance. (Scotiabank)
Positioning is another factor to watch. According to a Goldman Sachs client note reviewed by Reuters, global hedge funds snapped up an unprecedented volume of developed- and emerging-market Asia equities during the week ending Friday. At the same time, gross leverage jumped to 307%—the highest in five years. (MarketScreener)
According to the note, funds put their bullish bets on Korea, Taiwan, and China, while India saw only “modest selling.” Most sectors attracted buyers—financials, however, were left out. Another Goldman note highlighted in the same report pointed out that tech stocks just had their biggest net buying push since December 2021, though sellers still outnumbered buyers in the sector. (MarketScreener)
Goldman ended the session at $905.14, ticking up just 0.04%. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust barely budged. Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF slipped, but SPDR S&P Bank ETF managed a gain.
Beyond stocks, Goldman research flags mixed signals across asset classes. Lina Thomas, a senior commodities analyst at the firm, weighed in on gold during “The Markets” podcast, saying: “We’re not expecting a super cycle where prices will just go higher forever.” (Business Insider)
Thomas said, “We’re still bullish gold,” pointing to a $5,400 target for gold by the end of 2026. The call leans on factors like central-bank buying, lower rates, and options flows rather than a sweeping commodity rally. (Business Insider)
The near-term issue for Goldman, JPMorgan Chase, and Morgan Stanley: Will the latest tech-driven risk shake-up spiral into a broader pullback that squeezes their underwriting and advisory pipelines? Or does it end up fueling fresh activity in market-making and financing?
But this kind of setup isn’t one-sided. If hedge-fund leverage really is as extended as Goldman’s note indicates, any sharper bout of “de-risking” could spark wilder price swings and put bank stocks on the back foot — particularly if the pullback hits client flows in those same hot spots powering recent trading volumes. (MarketScreener)
Traders look ahead to U.S. retail sales figures set for Tuesday (Feb. 17), followed by Fed meeting minutes coming out Wednesday (Feb. 18). The week wraps with the advance estimate of U.S. GDP on Friday (Feb. 20)—a trio of releases on the radar. (Scotiabank)
