IonQ, Inc. (NYSE: IONQ) finished the abbreviated Christmas Eve session in the red and then held steady in post-market trading. Shares closed at $49.82, down $1.57 (-3.06%), and were essentially flat after hours at around $49.83 as of mid‑afternoon trading updates. [1]
One important calendar note before diving in: U.S. stock markets are closed on Christmas Day (Thursday, Dec. 25, 2025)—so there is no “open tomorrow” for IonQ shares. The next regular U.S. trading session is Friday, Dec. 26, following today’s early close. [2]
IonQ after-the-bell snapshot (Dec. 24, 2025)
IonQ’s price action was choppy in the shortened session—typical of holiday trading, when liquidity can thin out and moves can look larger than the headlines justify.
Key numbers from today’s session:
- Close: $49.82 (-3.06%) [3]
- Post-market: ~$49.83 (+0.02% vs. the close) [4]
- Open / High / Low: $51.70 / $51.88 / $48.73 [5]
- Volume: ~10.25 million shares [6]
And yes—today’s session was shorter. The NYSE holiday calendar lists Wednesday, Dec. 24, 2025 as an early close at 1:00 p.m. ET. [7]
Why IonQ fell today, even as quantum computing stayed in the spotlight
1) Holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves
On half-days, price swings often reflect positioning and thin order books more than brand-new fundamentals. With fewer large players active, it can take less volume to push high‑beta stocks (like many quantum names) noticeably up or down.
2) Options flow stayed active—and leaned bullish earlier in the day
A notable “watch before the next session” item is how traders are positioning through options.
Benzinga’s options-focused scan published today said it detected 9 notable options trades, with 77% flagged as bullish and 22% bearish. It also reported 7 call trades totaling about $515,075 versus 2 put trades totaling about $56,250, and described a recent implied target zone of roughly $48 to $65 based on that activity. [8]
That doesn’t guarantee direction—options flow can hedge stock exposure or express complex strategies—but it’s a real-time window into sentiment around IonQ’s volatility.
3) “Pick-the-winner” debate inside quantum computing is intensifying
A Zacks analysis published today comparing IonQ and Rigetti (RGTI) framed the sector as a long-horizon bet and highlighted the contrast between IonQ’s trapped-ion approach and Rigetti’s superconducting architecture. The piece also emphasized IonQ’s focus on commercial access via cloud platforms and a more explicit push toward monetizing usage, while noting the sector remains early-stage and uncertainty is part of the trade. [9]
Zacks also cited forward-looking expectations for IonQ: the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 sales implying ~151.78% year-over-year growth, while projecting a 2025 loss per share of about $5.08. [10]
4) Institutional ownership headlines added a longer-term angle
One of the most-shareable headlines today wasn’t about price—it was about who’s holding.
A MarketBeat report dated Dec. 24 said Exchange Traded Concepts LLC increased its IonQ position by 34.2% in Q3, ending with 130,403 shares valued at roughly $8.02 million (per the cited SEC filing). The same report also summarized broader institutional positioning and noted mixed fundamentals—rapid revenue growth but ongoing losses. [11]
Today’s forecasts and target prices: Wall Street is optimistic, but not unanimous
IonQ’s “forecast” picture right now depends on which consensus set you look at—but across sources, two themes repeat:
- Targets are high (upside exists)
- Disagreement is real (the risk premium is high)
Here are the most-cited consensus ranges and notable recent initiations:
- MarketBeat consensus: rating “Hold” with an average price target of $72.08, and a published target range of $30 to $100. [12]
- Investing.com consensus targets: shows a cluster with a high of $100, low of $47, and an average around $74.89 (as presented on its estimates page). [13]
- Recent initiations / key calls (late 2025):
- Jefferies initiated with Buy and a $100 target (Dec. 16)
- Mizuho initiated with Outperform and a $90 target (Dec. 11)
- Wedbush initiated with Outperform and a $60 target (Dec. 17)
- JPMorgan initiated with Neutral and a $47 target (Nov. 20) [14]
How to read this: the spread between $47 and $100 isn’t a typo—it’s the market signaling that IonQ’s story is still being priced like a high-uncertainty technology adoption curve, not a mature earnings model.
What to know before the next market open (Friday, Dec. 26)
Because U.S. markets are closed Thursday (Dec. 25), investors have an extra day for headlines to accumulate. Here’s what’s most likely to matter before the next session:
1) Confirm the calendar and liquidity expectations
- Christmas Day (Dec. 25): NYSE closed. [15]
- Friday (Dec. 26): exchanges operate a regular full day (per Reuters’ recap of the exchange operators’ calendar decisions). [16]
Holiday-adjacent sessions can still see wider spreads and faster air pockets, especially in retail-favorite, high‑beta themes like quantum.
2) Watch for any late SEC filings or company updates
IonQ-related SEC activity tends to show up after hours, and even routine filings can move a stock with this kind of volatility. (Example: a recent Form 4 around late December detailed option exercises/sales under a 10b5‑1 plan by a director—events like this can get amplified during thin liquidity.) [17]
3) Track “theme” momentum across quantum names
IonQ often trades with its peer group and with broader “next-gen compute” narratives. Today’s Zacks comparison underscores how much investor attention is currently going into relative positioning inside the quantum cohort (IonQ vs. Rigetti, etc.). [18]
4) Keep an eye on options positioning around key strikes
If the options “price territory” described today (roughly $48–$65) continues to attract activity, it can influence pinning behavior, volatility, and short-term reversals—especially around round-number strikes near $50, $60, and $65. [19]
5) Respect the day’s technical levels—especially in a headline-driven tape
Even if you’re not a technical trader, today’s extremes are useful reference points:
- Near-term support zone: around $48.73 (today’s low) [20]
- Near-term resistance zone: around $51.88 (today’s high) [21]
- Post-market “tell”: stability near $49.83 suggests no major new after-hours catalyst emerged today. [22]
Bottom line
IonQ ended the Christmas Eve half-day with a clean, risk-off pullback, while post-market trading stayed calm—a setup that often leaves the next session (Friday) unusually sensitive to any fresh catalyst.
The most actionable “before the next open” checklist is straightforward:
- confirm the holiday closure and plan for potentially thin liquidity [23]
- monitor options and peer-group sentiment [24]
- watch for late filings or company updates [25]
- keep Wall Street’s wide target range in mind—bullish, but far from settled [26]
References
1. seekingalpha.com, 2. www.nyse.com, 3. seekingalpha.com, 4. seekingalpha.com, 5. stockanalysis.com, 6. stockanalysis.com, 7. www.nyse.com, 8. www.benzinga.com, 9. finviz.com, 10. finviz.com, 11. www.marketbeat.com, 12. www.marketbeat.com, 13. www.investing.com, 14. finviz.com, 15. www.nyse.com, 16. www.reuters.com, 17. www.streetinsider.com, 18. finviz.com, 19. www.benzinga.com, 20. stockanalysis.com, 21. stockanalysis.com, 22. seekingalpha.com, 23. www.nyse.com, 24. www.benzinga.com, 25. www.streetinsider.com, 26. www.investing.com


