CAs of Wednesday, December 17, 2025, Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) is back in focus for investors looking for a “defensive” large-cap healthcare stock—while also weighing two forces that can move JNJ shares quickly: drug pipeline catalysts and talc litigation headlines.
JNJ shares are trading around $210 today, after a volatile stretch that included a sharp pullback on Tuesday, December 16, and renewed analyst attention mid-week. [1]
JNJ stock snapshot: where shares stand on December 17, 2025
JNJ is hovering near the low-$210s, a level that puts the stock close to recent highs for 2025—an important context point because it helps explain why some analysts see limited near-term upside even while remaining broadly constructive on the company’s fundamentals. [2]
A quick look at the last few sessions shows how sentiment has swung:
- Dec. 15: JNJ closed at $214.17 (a recent peak) [3]
- Dec. 16: JNJ closed at $209.30 (a notable daily drop) [4]
- Dec. 17 (today): JNJ is holding around $210 as fresh analyst notes hit the tape [5]
Dividend investors are also watching closely. Market data services continue to frame JNJ as a blue-chip dividend name, with a recent reference point of $1.30 per share quarterly dividend (about $5.20 annualized), translating to an approximately mid-2% yield depending on price. [6]
The headline on December 17: RBC lifts JNJ price target to $240
The most notable “day-of” catalyst is a fresh analyst update:
- RBC lifted its JNJ price target to $240 from $230 and maintained an Outperform rating, according to an MT Newswires note timestamped Dec. 17, 2025. [7]
That $240 mark matters because it sits at the top end of the commonly cited target ranges on widely followed tracking services. [8]
What RBC (and other bulls) are pointing to
In an earlier RBC-themed recap tied to an investor visit, coverage highlighted multiple potential growth levers—including Tremfya, icotrokinra, a potential Ottava submission, and cardiovascular momentum—plus the idea that portfolio moves could support longer-term margin structure. [9]
Analyst forecast check: what Wall Street expects for JNJ next
Across major tracking services, the analyst picture looks “positive, but not euphoric,” especially with the stock trading near recent highs.
Consensus ratings and average targets
- One consensus view shows “Moderate Buy” with an average 12‑month price target around $208.85, while also listing a high target of $240 and a low of $153. [10]
- Another tracking snapshot pegs the average target closer to $205.07 (with a “Buy” consensus), implying modest downside from current levels—again, a sign that a lot of good news may already be reflected in today’s price. [11]
The takeaway: targets cluster roughly around the low-$200s, but the Street is not unified. Bulls argue JNJ deserves a premium for durability and pipeline depth; skeptics argue the stock is already priced for “steady, not spectacular.”
Key estimate trends investors are watching
A Zacks-sourced comparison published on Nasdaq highlights that consensus estimates implied 2025 sales and EPS growth (mid-single digits for sales and high-single digits for EPS) and that earnings estimates have been ticking up into year-end. [12]
Meanwhile, another data snapshot projects revenue growth continuing into 2026, with 2025 revenue around $94.69B and 2026 around $99.68B, alongside EPS forecasts rising into 2026. (These are third-party consensus estimates and may be non-GAAP.) [13]
Why JNJ stock moved this week: FDA developments and litigation risk
On December 17, JNJ is being pulled by two storylines that often drive healthcare mega-caps:
- Regulatory and pipeline momentum
- Large-scale legal overhang (talc)
1) FDA grants JNJ a “National Priority Voucher” tied to Tecvayli + Darzalex
Reuters reported that the U.S. FDA granted a national priority voucher to JNJ’s Tecvayli in combination with Darzalex, tied to late-stage data in multiple myeloma. Reuters also notes the program reduces review timelines to 1–2 months from the usual 10–12 months and that this was the 16th award under the initiative in 2025. [14]
In plain English for investors: anything that can compress regulatory timelines can improve the probability-weighted value of a pipeline—especially in oncology—though the ultimate financial impact depends on where the voucher can be applied, what gets prioritized next, and competitive dynamics.
Analyst commentary around this theme has been cautious. A Bank of America-focused note emphasized JNJ as a “safer holding,” but suggested major re-rating may be constrained by limited high-impact pipeline catalysts and modest conviction on upward estimate revisions—despite lifting its price target. [15]
2) FDA approval expands AKEEGA into earlier-stage prostate cancer (BRCA2-mutated mCSPC)
The FDA posted that on December 12, 2025, it approved niraparib + abiraterone acetate (Akeega) with prednisone for BRCA2‑mutated metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer, as determined by an FDA-approved test. The FDA also cited an exploratory analysis showing a hazard ratio of 0.46 for rPFS in BRCA2-mutated patients, with rPFS not estimable in the treatment arm vs 26 months in the control arm. [16]
For JNJ stock, this matters because it expands the addressable population and reinforces the company’s positioning in oncology—one of the areas that tends to support premium valuation when execution is clean.
3) Talc verdict: jury awards $40 million; JNJ plans to appeal
The legal story remains unavoidable:
- Reuters reported a California jury awarded $40 million to two women who alleged JNJ’s baby powder caused ovarian cancer, and said the company plans to appeal. Reuters also reported JNJ is facing lawsuits from more than 67,000 plaintiffs, and noted federal courts have rejected JNJ’s efforts to resolve the litigation via bankruptcy proposals multiple times. [17]
- The Associated Press similarly reported the $40 million verdict and noted JNJ stopped selling talc-based powder worldwide in 2023, underscoring that the issue is legacy-focused but still financially material because of ongoing trials and settlements. [18]
For investors, talc litigation is less about any single verdict and more about:
- whether outcomes suggest an accelerating cadence of trials,
- the probability of a global settlement, and
- how legal reserves and cash flows might be affected over time.
The “steady giant” debate: durability vs. limited upside
By mid-December, the market narrative around JNJ is increasingly clear:
- The bull case: JNJ’s breadth (Innovative Medicine + MedTech), cash generation, and pipeline cadence make it one of the few mega-cap healthcare names that can plausibly deliver steady compounding while paying a reliable dividend. Analysts also point to multiple product and platform drivers and continued momentum in oncology and select MedTech categories. [19]
- The cautious case: With the stock near recent highs, many targets imply single-digit upside (or even slight downside), and some analysts argue there are not enough near-term “shock-and-awe” catalysts to justify a big multiple expansion from here. [20]
One underappreciated factor: JNJ’s own “known headwinds” are not disappearing. Analysts continue to flag the Stelara outlook (biosimilar competition / patent cliff concerns), broader pricing dynamics, and legal uncertainty as constraints on how aggressively models can be revised upward. [21]
What to watch next: the dates and catalysts that could move JNJ stock
If you’re tracking JNJ into year-end and early 2026, these are the near-term items likely to drive headlines and volatility:
1) Q4 results call scheduled for January 21, 2026
Johnson & Johnson said it will host an investor conference call on Wednesday, January 21 (8:30 a.m. ET) to review fourth-quarter results, with CEO Joaquin Duato and CFO Joseph Wolk listed among call leaders. [22]
That call becomes the next major “reset point” for:
- 2026 revenue/EPS framing,
- segment commentary (Innovative Medicine vs MedTech), and
- any incremental legal reserve language.
2) Analyst target churn as data points stack up
This week alone has included:
- RBC’s move to $240 (Outperform) [23]
- BofA’s move to $220 (neutral framing cited by MarketBeat and others) [24]
- Multiple target adjustments listed across major tracking services (including Citi and Morgan Stanley updates earlier in December). [25]
If JNJ continues to trade near highs, it’s common to see “target catch-up” (upward revisions to match price) without meaningful rating upgrades—often a sign that analysts are trying to stay aligned with market momentum while still expressing valuation caution.
3) Litigation calendar and appeals
The December talc verdict is widely expected to be appealed, but it also signals continued trial activity into 2026—something the market tends to re-price in bursts as each new verdict hits. [26]
Bottom line on Johnson & Johnson stock on December 17, 2025
Johnson & Johnson stock is behaving like a classic mega-cap “quality compounder” in late 2025: it attracts capital when investors want stability, dividends, and healthcare defensiveness—but it still reacts sharply to binary legal and regulatory headlines.
Today’s key signals are mixed but important:
- RBC’s $240 target suggests at least one major shop sees room for further upside. [27]
- Broader consensus targets sit closer to the low-$200s, implying muted upside from current levels unless 2026 guidance, pipeline data, or litigation outcomes surprise positively. [28]
- The week’s news flow (FDA voucher, oncology approval, and talc verdict) reinforces why JNJ is simultaneously viewed as low-risk operationally and headline-sensitive strategically. [29]
References
1. stockanalysis.com, 2. www.marketbeat.com, 3. stockanalysis.com, 4. stockanalysis.com, 5. stockanalysis.com, 6. www.marketbeat.com, 7. www.marketscreener.com, 8. www.marketbeat.com, 9. www.investing.com, 10. www.marketbeat.com, 11. stockanalysis.com, 12. www.nasdaq.com, 13. stockanalysis.com, 14. www.reuters.com, 15. www.benzinga.com, 16. www.fda.gov, 17. www.reuters.com, 18. apnews.com, 19. www.investing.com, 20. www.marketbeat.com, 21. finimize.com, 22. www.businesswire.com, 23. www.marketscreener.com, 24. www.marketbeat.com, 25. stockanalysis.com, 26. www.reuters.com, 27. www.marketscreener.com, 28. www.marketbeat.com, 29. www.reuters.com
