JPMorgan slashes KB Home target to $50 as Wall Street flags weaker 2026 returns

JPMorgan slashes KB Home target to $50 as Wall Street flags weaker 2026 returns

NEW YORK, December 29, 2025, 10:18 ET

  • JPMorgan cut its KB Home price target to $50 from $71 and reiterated a Neutral rating. TipRanks
  • The bank lowered its 2026 and 2027 earnings estimates after KB Home’s fiscal fourth-quarter report and pegged 2026 return on equity at about 6%. TipRanks
  • KB Home shares were down about 0.3% at $57.16 in morning trading, roughly in line with other homebuilders.

JPMorgan Chase cut its price target on KB Home to $50 from $71 and kept a Neutral rating on the homebuilder on Monday, according to a report carried by TheFly. TipRanks

The call is the latest sign that analysts are recalibrating expectations for U.S. homebuilders as weaker demand and heavier incentives squeeze margins heading into 2026. ResiClub

Investors are focusing on whether builders can defend profitability as affordability remains tight and competition shifts toward discounts and financing support to move homes. ResiClub

JPMorgan analyst Michael Rehaut said the bank cut its 2026 and 2027 earnings estimates for KB Home after the company’s fiscal fourth-quarter results, while keeping a Neutral rating — a stance that typically signals an expectation the stock will perform roughly in line with the market. TipRanks

Rehaut estimated KB Home’s fiscal 2026 return on equity at 6%, down from 11% in 2025 and below the company’s cost of capital — the return a business needs to justify the money it raises from lenders and shareholders. TipRanks

KB Home shares were at $57.16, down about 0.3% in morning trade. Lennar was little changed, while D.R. Horton and PulteGroup were down modestly.

KB Home reported fiscal fourth-quarter results on Dec. 18, posting earnings per share of $1.92 versus analysts’ expectations of $1.79, while revenue fell 15.5% from a year earlier to $1.69 billion, MarketBeat reported. MarketBeat

The company’s earnings per share were down from $2.52 in the same quarter a year earlier, according to MarketBeat. MarketBeat

Margin pressure has been a central issue. ResiClub Analytics said KB Home’s housing gross profit margin was 17.0% in fiscal Q4 2025, down from a cycle peak of 24.1% in Q4 2021 and the lowest Q4 level since 2016. ResiClub

“Adjusted housing gross profit margin was 310 basis points lower due to pricing pressure,” CFO Robert Dillard said on the Dec. 18 earnings call. A basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point. ResiClub

KB Home has said it plans to lean harder into built-to-order — homes sold before construction begins — to reduce inventory carrying costs and lift margins through customer-paid upgrades and options, ResiClub wrote. ResiClub

The company is targeting built-to-order deliveries of 70% or more of total volume, up from 57% in fiscal Q4 2025, according to ResiClub. ResiClub

ResiClub said KB Home’s net new orders in fiscal Q4 2025 were 2,414, down from 2,688 a year earlier, and that its average selling price is down 8.8% from its 2022 peak. ResiClub

MarketBeat data show KB Home has an average Hold rating from analysts and a consensus price target of about $63.82, above where the stock was trading on Monday. MarketBeat

Stock Market Today

  • Nvidia Eyes $500 Target by 2026 on AI Market Dominance and Data Center Growth
    January 18, 2026, 9:25 PM EST. Nvidia's stock is on a strong bullish trajectory, with 44 of 48 analysts rating it a "Strong Buy" and averaging a $264.97 price target-a potential 43% upside from current levels. The chipmaker dominates 80-95% of the AI GPU market, thanks to its CUDA software ecosystem, used by over 4 million developers. Its data center revenue, expected to reach $51.2 billion by fiscal 2026, now surpasses gaming as the key growth driver. Analysts highlight a massive $500 billion demand in Blackwell/Rubin chip cycles through 2026 and a re-entry into China, possibly adding $54 billion in revenue despite regulatory challenges. Yet, risks remain from AI bubble fears, geopolitical tensions, and cautious market sentiment. The $3-4 trillion AI infrastructure market by 2030 offers long-term upside but demands investor caution amid uncertainties.
Why Goldman Sachs stock is weighing on the Dow in 2025’s final week
Previous Story

Why Goldman Sachs stock is weighing on the Dow in 2025’s final week

Lam Research stock slips as chip equipment names ease in year-end trade
Next Story

Lam Research stock slips as chip equipment names ease in year-end trade

Go toTop