Macquarie Group (ASX: MQG) Share Price After the Bell (Dec. 12, 2025): Key News, Forecasts, and What to Watch Before the Next Market Open

Macquarie Group Limited (ASX: MQG) finished Friday’s session firmly higher, riding a broad “risk-on” move in Australian equities that saw financials rejoin the rally. With December 13, 2025 falling on a Saturday (no ASX session), investors now have a weekend window to digest the latest filings and headlines ahead of the next regular ASX open on Monday, December 15. ^[1]

Below is what happened after the bell on December 12, 2025, the news flow dated December 12, and the main cues worth tracking before trading resumes.

After the bell: how MQG traded on Friday, December 12, 2025

Macquarie shares closed at A$201.57, up A$5.22 (+2.66%) on the day. Trading ranged from A$196.70 (low) to A$202.32 (high) after opening at A$197.00, with roughly 818,661 shares traded. ^[2]

A couple of context points that matter:

The move came as the S&P/ASX 200 jumped 1.23% on the day, with Financials up about 1.63%, meaning MQG outperformed both the benchmark and its sector tailwind. ^[3]
Mid-session, MQG was already showing strength (around +1.56% near A$200.08), and it extended gains into the close. ^[4]

In short: MQG didn’t just drift up with the index—it showed genuine upside participation in a strong tape. ^[5]

The market backdrop: “Santa rally” vibes, plus global cues

Market positioning mattered on Friday. In Market Index’s end-of-day wrap, the tone was unambiguously upbeat: the ASX 200 surged more than 100 points, with leadership from Resources and—crucially for Macquarie—Financials returning to form. ^[6]

The same wrap also flagged key cross-asset indicators at day’s end, including:

AUD/USD around 0.6666
US equity index futures mixed-to-slightly positive (S&P 500 futures marginally higher; Nasdaq futures slightly lower in that snapshot) ^[7]

Why that matters for MQG: Macquarie’s earnings are tied to market activity and risk appetite across multiple businesses (banking, markets-facing operations, asset management, advisory). Broad “risk-on” sessions—especially when financials participate—tend to improve sentiment around diversified financials like MQG. ^[8]

What was the actual Macquarie-specific news on December 12?

1) ASX filing after the close: “Ceasing to be a substantial holder for AGE”

One concrete, date-stamped item from Friday evening: the ASX’s “previous trading day announcements” list shows Macquarie Group (MQG) lodged a document at 6:29pm titled “Ceasing to be a substantial holder for AGE” (117 pages). ^[9]

This kind of notice is typically a Form 605 disclosure indicating an entity’s holding has dropped below the “substantial holder” threshold (commonly 5% in Australia). The filing itself is not automatically price-sensitive for MQG, but it’s part of the day’s official paper trail and can matter for investors tracking Macquarie’s market positions and related entities. ^[10]

2) Deal chatter in infrastructure/data: Dutch hyperscale data center stake sale

Bloomberg reported (dated December 12, 2025) that Igneo Infrastructure Partners and Japan’s Orix, among others, were in the next round of bidding for Macquarie Capital’s majority stake in a Dutch hyperscale data center, with the stake potentially valued around €900 million and final offers expected next month (per unnamed sources). ^[11]

This matters for the stock narrative even if it’s not an ASX announcement:

It reinforces the idea that Macquarie continues to monetize infrastructure-style assets (or stakes) where valuation has been boosted by structural demand (think cloud/AI-driven data center buildout).
It keeps attention on Macquarie Capital’s pipeline and realization environment—an area where deal timing and pricing can swing investor expectations.

Because this reporting is attributed to “people familiar,” treat it as credible but not confirmed by the company unless/until MQG discloses more formally. ^[12]

Dividend and calendar items investors should have on their radar

While not “new” on December 12, these dates become more relevant as the calendar tightens:

Interim dividend payment: A$2.80 per share (35% franked), payable December 17

Macquarie’s published dividend information shows the 1H26 interim dividend is A$2.80 per share (35% franked) with:

Ex-dividend date: 17 November 2025
Record date: 18 November 2025
Payment date: 17 December 2025 ^[13]

Two practical implications:

If you’re buying MQG now, you’re already past the ex-dividend date, so the upcoming payment is primarily relevant if you held through the record date.
Dividend timing can still influence short-term positioning, especially among income-focused portfolios (but it’s not a “free money” event—the price typically adjusts around ex-div). ^[14]

Next major reporting marker (as flagged by market calendars)

Market calendars list the next major report window around May 2026 (preliminary/annual report timing shown on market calendar listings). ^[15]

Forecasts and “street view” heading into the next session

Analyst forecasts and consensus targets aren’t a crystal ball (they’re more like a weather forecast drawn by a committee), but they’re still useful for framing expectations.

Price targets: modest-to-meaningful upside implied by consensus

Two widely followed consensus snapshots (as displayed on market data/analysis platforms) put MQG’s “average” target above Friday’s close:

MarketScreener shows an average target around A$224.48 (with a wide spread between low and high targets). Versus A$201.57, that implies roughly ~11% upside if the consensus target were realized. ^[16]
Investing.com shows a consensus target around A$215.78 (also with a range), implying roughly ~7% upside from A$201.57. ^[17]

The key takeaway isn’t the exact number—it’s the shape of the distribution: targets cluster above spot, but dispersion is large, which usually signals analysts see meaningful uncertainty in earnings drivers (markets activity, deal flow, asset valuations, funding costs). ^[18]

Growth expectations: steady, not explosive

One forward-looking model summary (Simply Wall St) indicates expectations for mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth and high single-digit earnings growth annually over the next few years, with ROE projected in the low teens. ^[19]

This aligns with how many investors treat MQG: not a “hypergrowth” story, but a cyclical, globally exposed compounding machine—great when volatility and deal activity cooperate, less great when markets go quiet. ^[20]

What to watch before the next market open

Because the ASX is closed on Saturday (Dec. 13), the “pre-market” work is really about weekend risk and Monday’s open.

1) Global risk sentiment and rates

Friday’s wrap showed US futures only slightly changed at that snapshot, but the bigger driver into Monday is whether global markets keep the risk-on tone—or flip back into defensiveness. ^[21]

For MQG, the “rate story” matters in two ways:

It affects banking/asset valuations broadly.
It influences deal appetite and market activity, which can flow into Macquarie’s markets-facing earnings.

2) The Aussie dollar (AUD/USD)

The AUD was around 0.6666 in Friday’s Market Index snapshot. A material AUD move over the weekend can affect sentiment around globally exposed Australian companies (including MQG), even if it’s not a direct mechanical earnings lever in the short run. ^[22]

3) Follow-through in Australian financials

Friday featured a notable bounce in the financials sector. The question for Monday isn’t “will MQG repeat +2.7%?”—it’s whether financials hold bid if the broader market cools off. ^[23]

4) Deal/infrastructure headlines (data centers, infrastructure monetizations)

If the Bloomberg-reported Dutch data center stake sale progresses (or is confirmed/clarified elsewhere), it could feed into the market’s perception of Macquarie’s ability to realize value from assets in hot subsectors like digital infrastructure. ^[24]

5) Watch for additional ASX filings and weekend news

Friday’s late MQG filing (re: ceasing to be a substantial holder for “AGE”) is a reminder that disclosures can hit after the close. If more filings or clarifications drop before Monday, they can shape the opening tone. ^[25]

Bottom line

Macquarie closed above A$200 on December 12 with a solid +2.66% gain, outperforming in a session where the ASX 200 rallied 1.23% and financials strengthened. ^[26]

The day’s Macquarie-specific paper trail included a late ASX substantial-holder-related filing, while the headline narrative included reported bidding interest in a Macquarie-linked Dutch hyperscale data center stake—another datapoint in the broader “infrastructure and real assets” ecosystem Macquarie has helped industrialize. ^[27]

With Saturday offering no ASX session, the practical focus shifts to Monday’s open: global risk sentiment, currency moves, and whether Friday’s rotation into financials has legs.