Microsoft stock today: MSFT ends 2025 lower as traders shift focus to AI and January earnings

Microsoft stock today: MSFT ends 2025 lower as traders shift focus to AI and January earnings

NEW YORK, January 1, 2026, 09:30 ET — Market closed

  • Microsoft shares fell 0.8% in the last session to $483.62.
  • A Wedbush note pointed to FY26 as a key year for Azure and AI deployments.
  • U.S. stocks reopen Friday after the New Year’s Day holiday.

Microsoft Corp shares fell 0.8% to $483.62 in the final trading session of 2025 on Wednesday.

With U.S. markets closed on Thursday for New Year’s Day, investors are using the break to reset positions ahead of Friday’s reopen and a data-heavy start to January.

The stock’s late dip mattered because Microsoft is one of the biggest weights in U.S. tech benchmarks, and its move helped pull the sector lower as the Nasdaq slipped 0.76% and the S&P 500 fell 0.74%, Reuters reported. Thin holiday liquidity encouraged profit-taking into the close.

Microsoft traded between $483.30 and $488.14 on Wednesday, leaving a tight range that traders often use to set early-January support and resistance levels.

Other large-cap tech names were also softer in the year-end session, with Alphabet’s two main share classes both down modestly, MarketWatch data showed.

Dan Ives, an analyst at Wedbush Securities, wrote that “FY26 for Microsoft remains the true inflection year of AI growth,” arguing Wall Street may still be underestimating Azure’s growth runway. Business Insider

The macro backdrop stayed in focus after U.S. weekly jobless claims fell to 199,000 in the latest report, while investors weighed what a slower labor market means for the Federal Reserve’s next rate decisions.

Bond markets closed early on Wednesday and are also shut Thursday, keeping liquidity light until Friday’s reopen, MarketWatch reported. That puts extra emphasis on the first big readouts of 2026.

Top of the Friday calendar is the Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing survey for December at 10:00 a.m. ET, a closely watched gauge of factory activity that can move Treasury yields and rate-sensitive growth stocks.

For Microsoft, the next major company catalyst is quarterly results, expected on January 28 after the close, according to Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar. Investors typically key on Azure demand signals and any commentary on AI-related infrastructure spending.

Technically, traders have been marking support near $483.30 and resistance around $488.14 from the last session’s low and high, with $490 looming as the next round-number level.

Until those catalysts hit, Microsoft’s early-2026 tape is likely to be driven by how fast dip-buyers return after the holiday pause, and how markets react to incoming data that can shift the rate outlook for high-multiple megacaps.

Khadija Saeed

Khadija Saeed is a financial markets reporter at TS2.tech. Her coverage ranges from stocks and technology to emerging industries and developments across global markets. She studied economics and finance at the London School of Economics and worked in market research before becoming a financial journalist. Follow Khadija Saeed on Google News.

US Stock Market Today Updates

AI PORTFOLIO

Top Stock Picks

Today’s highest-ranked model selections.

#1 Strong buy

Alphabet

NASDAQ:GOOGL 92/100 • ★★★★½
#2 Strong buy

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

NYSE:TSM 89/100 • ★★★★½
#3 Buy

S&P Global

NYSE:SPGI 88/100 • ★★★★
#4 Buy on weakness

Amazon

NASDAQ:AMZN 86/100 • ★★★★
#5 Buy on weakness

Microsoft

NASDAQ:MSFT 84/100 • ★★★★
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MARKET CALENDAR

Key Events Today

The catalysts most likely to move markets.

#1

U.S. index futures reopen at 18:00 ET

This is the clearest scheduled U.S.-market price-discovery point today and can transmit weekend news into equity-index futures before Monday's cash session.

#2

New Zealand retail sales at 18:45 ET

The Q2 retail package can move NZD and regional risk sentiment. Spillover to U.S. assets is usually secondary unless the result is unusually large.

#3

No scheduled domestic U.S. data or corporate reports

The absence of U.S. releases, earnings, IPO pricings and split events leaves fewer scheduled catalysts, increasing the relative importance of weekend headlines and positioning at the futures reopen.

View full calendar
Times and estimates may change. Verify before trading.
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