Nokia (HEL:NOKIA) Shares Close Week Up, Focus Shifts to AI Order Realization Test

Nokia (HEL:NOKIA) Shares Close Week Up, Focus Shifts to AI Order Realization Test

HELSINKI, August 8, 2026, 20:08 EEST — Trading finished for the day.

  • Nokia closed on Friday at €8.156, up 2.5% for the week.
  • A Southeast Asian AI platform has been launched with the goal of reaching one gigawatt of computing power. Financial details of the contract were not revealed.
  • Derived estimate: Nokia’s projected AI order conversion over the next 12 months is approximately €1.4 billion.

Nokia Oyj finished Friday at €8.156, marking a 2.5% increase for the week. However, the weekly advance concealed a swift turnaround, as shares gave back the bulk of Tuesday’s 6.5% surge over the last three sessions.

Stock chart for HEL:NOKIA

The investor benchmark has shifted to order conversion instead of headline order figures. Nokia secured €2.8 billion in AI and cloud contracts during the second quarter. The company’s management anticipates that roughly 50% will contribute to revenue inside 12 months.

Based on company guidance, this suggests about €1.4 billion in revenue. The figure amounts to 29.1% of sales for the second quarter and corresponds to 7.3% of annualised sales for the period. This is an inferred estimate, not a figure for additional revenue guidance.

The Zankore launch on Thursday kept attention on demand. Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison , Ooredoo Q.P.S.C. , Nokia, and NVIDIA Corporation are planning an AI platform with a goal of one gigawatt total capacity. The initial phase aims for 200 megawatts to be operational in the first half of 2027.

Nokia is set to supply AI-native networking to the platform. Chief Executive Justin Hotard described it as “the trusted connectivity fabric that underpins this new generation of AI infrastructure.” Details on contract value or projected revenue were not disclosed by Nokia. Nokia Corporation | Nokia

The weekly price comparison indicates investors continued to prefer the more focused optical-networking exposure.

Listed companyFriday closeWeekly changeFriday move
Nokia Oyj €8.156+2.5%-2.0%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson Class B SEK 96.70+3.1%-0.5%
Ciena Corporation $412.39+9.4%+2.1%

Nokia shares saw fluctuations, climbing to €8.626 on Tuesday before dropping 5.4% by Friday, covering both sessions after the Zankore announcement.

The most recent operating data sheds light on the difference in performance.

Company and reporting periodRevenue growthCompany-adjusted marginDemand indicator
Nokia, calendar Q28.0% growth as reportedComparable operating margin 9.0%AI and cloud sales surged 105%; €2.8 billion in orders
Ericsson, calendar Q26.0% decline reported; organic revenue down 1.0%Adjusted EBIT margin at 12.4%Three out of four market areas delivered organic growth
Ciena, fiscal Q2 ended May 2Revenue rose 39.5%Adjusted operating margin at 19.5%Optical networking made up 70% of total revenue

The firms report using varying adjusted metrics as well as distinct reporting timelines.

Nokia posted an 18% increase in comparable operating profit, which reached €434 million. The comparable operating margin was up to 9.0%. The reported operating margin, though, stood at negative 1.0% due to accelerated restructuring efforts.

The difference is significant. Infrastructure sales are rising due to stronger AI and cloud demand, yet reported profit figures remain affected by restructuring expenses. Network Infrastructure sales climbed 12%, as Mobile Infrastructure saw a 6% gain.

Analyst recommendations published so far are split, even with the broadly positive consensus.

Research firmRecommendationPrice targetLatest published action
Deutsche Bank AG Buy€11.50July 27
Barclays PLC Underweight€8.00July 27
UBS Group AG Neutral€9.65July 24
Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (STO:SEB-A)Buy€12.00July 16

Nokia holds an “Outperform” rating, according to a consensus from 23 analysts. The group’s average price target of €10.32 suggests a 26.6% potential rise from Friday’s close. However, individual projections span from €4.65 to €18, reflecting wide differences in opinions on both execution and valuation. MarketScreener

Nokia disclosed on Friday that it granted 957,142 treasury shares to participants in its employee incentive program, according to its latest stock-exchange filing. The distributed shares represent approximately 0.017% of Nokia’s 5.74 billion total shares outstanding.

No Nokia investor events are planned for the week ahead.

Week-ahead checkpointVerified reference
Helsinki trading resumesMonday, August 10, at 10:00 EEST
Session low markerFriday’s €8.060 intraday trough
Turnaround indicatorTuesday’s €8.626 end price
Upcoming investor eventSeptember 2 in London
Forthcoming earnings reportOctober 22 at 11:30 EEST

Investors are set to focus on order news and supply dynamics. Nokia forecasts third-quarter sales to rise by 3% to 7% compared to the previous quarter. The company anticipates comparable operating profit will be mostly unchanged, with a notable increase projected in the fourth quarter.

Risks: Zankore has not revealed the size of its financial contribution. Supply remains the key bottleneck for the industry. Fluctuations in currency, payment schedules from customers, and timing of deliveries could postpone conversion. Nokia anticipates limited sequential growth in profits in the third quarter.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

Will Nokia’s AI order growth result in higher revenue?
AI and cloud revenue increased by 105% to €446 million during Q2. Orders totaled €2.8 billion, with half projected to turn into revenue within the next twelve months. Supply continues to be the primary bottleneck.
To what extent does Nokia continue to rely on mobile networks?
Mobile Infrastructure brought in €2.68 billion, making up 56% of total group revenue. Sales at constant currency increased by 7%, while operating profit remained steady at €310 million. The operating margin decreased to 11.6% compared with 12.2%.
Did Nokia’s upgraded 2026 guidance reflect an actual improvement in its operations?
No. After two units shifted to discontinued operations, the range adjusted to €2.1–€2.6 billion. Management continues to project outcomes slightly above the midpoint. Profit for Q3 is expected to be close to Q2 levels, with a notable rise anticipated for Q4.
Could restructuring offset the operating gains?
Comparable operating profit for the second quarter increased by 18% to €434 million. The reported operating profit showed a loss of €50 million. Nokia projects restructuring charges of €800 million and cash outflows of €700–€800 million in 2026. Net cash stood at €2.8 billion.
Following its steep stock drop, what does Nokia need to demonstrate?
On August 7, the ADR finished at $9.36, marking a decline of 46% from its peak in June. It is still trading 129% above its 52-week low. Second-quarter operating profit came in around 14% ahead of consensus estimates, though operational guidance was unchanged. The focus now shifts to converting orders into revenue, margins and cash flow.
Roman Perkowski

Roman Perkowski is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Cracow University of Economics, he previously worked in investment research and corporate finance. His coverage helps readers understand the key forces driving global financial markets and emerging industries. Follow Roman Perkowski on Google News.

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