Reddit Stock (RDDT) Outlook: What Moved Shares This Week and What to Watch Next Week (Updated Dec. 12, 2025)

Updated: December 12, 2025 (Friday)
Ticker: Reddit, Inc. (NYSE: RDDT)

Reddit stock ended the week on a softer note after a sharp Friday drop and a wave of headline-driven volatility. Shares closed at $224.78 on Dec. 12, down 3.75% on the day after swinging between $237.40 and $222.85. ^[1]

But the bigger story isn’t just price action—it’s the mix of product trust signals (verification), global regulation risk (Australia’s under-16 ban), and ongoing investor focus on Reddit’s AI-driven ad momentum and data licensing narrative.

Below is a detailed recap of the week, the most important news from the last several days, what analysts are forecasting, and the catalysts traders and long-term investors are watching for the week ahead.

Reddit stock this week: choppy trading ends with a sharp Friday slide

Reddit shares closed $224.78 on Dec. 12. ^[2]

Using Investing.com daily closes, the stock moved from $236.95 (Dec. 8 close) to $224.78 (Dec. 12 close)—a decline of about 5.1% for the Monday–Friday trading week (calculated from the cited closes). ^[3]

Weekly range (intraday): Reddit traded from a low of $222.85 (Dec. 12 low) to a high of $241.91 (Dec. 10 high), an intraday span of about 8.6%—a reminder that RDDT remains a high-volatility name. ^[4]

The headlines driving Reddit stock: all key news from the last few days

1) Reddit begins testing “verified profiles” with grey checkmarks

On Dec. 10, Reddit announced a limited test of verified profiles—a grey checkmark system designed to confirm identities “when verification matters,” such as expert AMAs, journalist posts, or brand communications. ^[5]

Key details investors are parsing:

Optional and opt-in: Reddit is framing verification as a clarity tool, not a status symbol. ^[6]
No “special privileges”: Reddit explicitly states verification doesn’t change moderation rules, visibility, or access to features. ^[7]
Where it appears: Reddit’s help documentation says the grey checkmark can appear across multiple surfaces, including profiles, communities, search results, and ads. ^[8]
Manual first, third-party later: During the alpha test Reddit is verifying manually, with plans to use a third-party process in the future. ^[9]

Why it matters for the stock:
This is fundamentally a trust-and-safety product move—and in 2025, trust signals can become monetization signals. Reddit’s identity layer could support higher-value ad formats (brand trust), reduce moderator friction, and potentially help defend the platform as AI-generated impersonation and scam content proliferate. Reuters explicitly framed the feature as part of the fight against misinformation and impersonation. ^[10]

At the same time, Reddit is being careful not to copy the paid-verification approach used on other platforms—Reuters reported the feature is not monetized and not open for requests yet. ^[11]

2) Reddit sues Australia over under-16 social media ban

On Dec. 12, Reuters reported Reddit filed a lawsuit in Australia’s High Court seeking to overturn (or be exempted from) Australia’s under-16 social media ban, arguing it intrudes on protected political discourse and raises “privacy and political expression” concerns. ^[12]

Reuters also reported the law requires platforms to bar underage users or face fines up to A$49.5 million (about $33 million), with companies using tools like age inference and age estimation. ^[13]

AP’s reporting added detail, including that Reddit said it would comply while still challenging the law, and noted the enforcement framework and fine amounts. ^[14]

Why it matters for RDDT investors:
This is a real-world test of a key risk hanging over the entire social media sector: age verification and privacy regulation. Australia is one of Reddit’s biggest markets, per Reuters. ^[15]

Markets tend to discount uncertainty quickly. Even if the lawsuit takes time to resolve, investors are weighing:

Potential compliance costs (age verification systems, moderation/controls)
Possible engagement headwinds if under-16 users are removed or restricted
Broader global copycat risk if other countries pursue similar bans (regulatory contagion)

3) Insider selling: Reddit CAO sold shares under a 10b5-1 plan

Form 4 reporting showed Reddit’s Chief Accounting Officer sold 11,249 shares (about $2.62 million) on Dec. 9, and TradingView/Refinitiv notes it was a planned sale under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. ^[16]

WhaleWisdom’s filing summary includes the footnote that the plan was adopted on Sept. 9, 2025, and describes multi-trade execution price ranges. ^[17]

How the market typically reads this:
Insider sales—especially under 10b5-1 plans—aren’t automatically bearish. But they can become a short-term sentiment weight when a stock is already volatile and headlines are negative (like regulatory battles). This is particularly true for high-multiple, growth-driven equities.

4) The “AI licensing” theme stays relevant as new web standards emerge

While not a Reddit-only headline, The Verge reported the launch of Really Simple Licensing (RSL) 1.0, an open specification meant to let publishers communicate licensing and compensation preferences to AI web crawlers. The Verge listed Reddit among companies endorsing the standard. ^[18]

This matters because Reddit’s investment thesis in 2025 is partly tied to monetizing its content corpus—either via licensing deals or via defending against unauthorized scraping.

Fundamentals snapshot: why Reddit remains a high-beta “AI ads” growth stock

Even with this week’s pullback, Reddit’s longer-term narrative is still being shaped by rapid revenue growth and improving profitability.

From Reddit’s Q3 2025 results (reported Oct. 30):

DAUq: 116.0 million (+19% YoY) ^[19]
Revenue: $585 million (+68% YoY) ^[20]
Ad revenue: $549 million (+74% YoY) ^[21]
Net income: $163 million; diluted EPS: $0.80 ^[22]

Reddit’s investor site also highlights 443M+ weekly active uniques and 100K+ active communities (as of Sept. 30, 2025). ^[23]

Q4 outlook: guidance above Street expectations (per Reuters)

Reuters reported Reddit projected Q4 revenue of $655M–$665M, above analysts’ $637.9M average estimate, with adjusted EBITDA $275M–$285M vs $258.8M estimates. ^[24]

Reuters attributed the upside to Reddit’s AI-powered advertising tools, including AI-optimized ad placement inside relevant discussion threads, and quoted management about broadening advertiser adoption. ^[25]

Analyst forecasts and price targets: bullish bias, wide dispersion

Reddit’s analyst story in December is less about a single consensus and more about how widely outcomes can diverge (a typical feature of newer public tech companies with fast growth).

Fresh upgrade/target move

GuruFocus reported that Jefferies maintained a Buy and raised its price target from $300 to $325 on Dec. 11, 2025. ^[26]

What the aggregators show right now

Finviz lists a target price around $250.24, with beta 2.19 (high sensitivity to market swings) and a 52-week high of $282.95 and low of $79.75. ^[27]
Benzinga shows a consensus rating of “Buy,” with the highest price target $325 and a displayed consensus price target of $216.58 (note: aggregator methodologies differ, and targets can lag updates). ^[28]

How to interpret this (without the hype):
Analysts are generally optimistic about Reddit’s revenue trajectory and its AI-assisted ad stack, but the target range is still wide—a sign that Wall Street is debating:

durability of user growth and logged-in engagement
long-term pricing power in ads
the scale and defensibility of content licensing revenue
regulatory friction (especially age verification, privacy, and platform liability issues)

Week ahead (Dec. 15–19, 2025): what to watch next

Macro catalysts that can move high-beta names like RDDT

The upcoming week is packed with economic data that can swing rate expectations—and rate expectations often drive valuation multiples for growth stocks.

Scotiabank’s December calendar lists, among other releases, U.S. Retail Sales (Dec. 16) and U.S. CPI (Nov) on Dec. 18, plus other major central bank events like the ECB meeting and Bank of England meeting on Dec. 18. ^[29]

Kiplinger’s weekly economic calendar (last updated Dec. 12) also flags the labor report and CPI as highlights for the week. ^[30]

Why Reddit investors should care:
Finviz’s beta reading underscores what traders already know: RDDT tends to move more than the broader market. In a CPI-heavy week, that can mean bigger upside on “cooling inflation” signals—and sharper downside if inflation or rates expectations surprise. ^[31]

Company-specific catalysts

Reddit doesn’t have an earnings print next week, but there are still stock-moving storylines:

Verification rollout pace: Investors will watch whether the verified profile pilot expands and how it’s received by moderators and users (trust vs. privacy tradeoffs). ^[32]
Australia litigation and enforcement headlines: The lawsuit is now public, and any commentary from regulators or similar moves by other platforms could add volatility. ^[33]
Content licensing / anti-scraping narrative: As publisher standards and enforcement tools evolve, markets will keep reassessing the monetization potential of Reddit’s data assets. ^[34]

Key price areas traders are watching

Based on this week’s tape:

Support zone: around $223–$225, near Friday’s low/close area ^[35]
Near-term resistance: around $235–$242, where the stock traded earlier in the week (including the $241.91 high) ^[36]

(These are observational, not a prediction.)

Next earnings: the calendar item beyond “week ahead”

Reddit has not officially confirmed its next earnings date, but MarketBeat lists the next report as estimated Feb. 11, 2026 (after market close) based on prior schedules. ^[37]

For many investors, that makes the next few weeks more about macro + headlines + product narrative than about a fresh fundamentals reset.

Bottom line: why Reddit stock is moving—and what matters most now

Into the close of Dec. 12, Reddit stock is being tugged by two forces at once:

Operational momentum: fast-growing ad revenue, improving profitability, and a product roadmap leaning into AI-driven ad tools and trust features. ^[38]
External risk: the regulatory arc (age bans/verification) and the legal/ethical fights over identity, privacy, and content rights—now in the headlines again via Australia and verification changes. ^[39]

That combination usually produces what RDDT delivered this week: big swings, fast repricing, and a market that reacts to headlines as much as spreadsheets.