Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) ended Monday’s session under pressure—and the after-hours tape hasn’t delivered a reversal. The stock closed at $115.23, down 3.57% on the day after swinging through a $114.11–$120.49 range, with 28.1M shares traded. [1]
In after-hours trading, HOOD was little changed around $115.1–$115.2 in the early evening, signaling that investors are still digesting a mix of crypto-driven sentiment, market-wide risk appetite, and a major Robinhood product event scheduled for Tuesday night. [2]
Below is what mattered for HOOD after the bell on Dec. 15, 2025, and what investors should keep on their radar before the opening bell on Tuesday, Dec. 16, 2025.
HOOD after the bell: the numbers that matter
Monday’s price action was more than a routine dip—HOOD showed a wide intraday swing and closed near the lower end of its range:
- Close (4:00 p.m. ET): $115.23 (−3.57%) [3]
- After-hours (around 5:10–5:16 p.m. ET): roughly $115.12–$115.20 [4]
- Day’s range: $114.11 low / $120.49 high [5]
- Volume: 28.1M [6]
The broader context: HOOD has been sliding sharply since early December—down about 15% from the Dec. 9 close of $135.71 to Monday’s $115.23 close. [7]
Why Robinhood stock moved today: crypto weakness is back in the driver’s seat
Robinhood tends to trade like a “high beta” read-through on retail trading activity and crypto sentiment. On Monday, crypto prices were a notable headwind:
- Bitcoin slipped below roughly $86,000 in the day’s narrative cited by Barron’s, dragging on crypto-linked names including Robinhood. [8]
- CoinDesk framed the move as a broader risk-off tone across crypto, reporting Bitcoin dipping below $87,000 with ether under $3,000 amid persistent weakness. [9]
That matters for HOOD because crypto trading can be a meaningful swing factor for engagement and transaction-based revenue. Even when there’s no Robinhood-specific headline, a down day in crypto can quickly translate into pressure on HOOD.
Today’s HOOD headlines and analysis: what traders were reading on Dec. 15
While price action was the headline for many investors, several fresh, same-day narratives helped shape expectations for what comes next.
1) ARK Invest bought Robinhood shares again
Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest was reported as adding 232,984 shares of HOOD, valued at about $29 million, as part of a broader set of portfolio moves. [10]
For momentum-driven names like Robinhood, recurring “dip-buying” by a high-profile growth manager can influence short-term positioning—even if it doesn’t change the fundamental picture overnight.
2) The YES/NO keynote is now the near-term company catalyst
Robinhood is hosting “Robinhood Presents: YES/NO” on Tuesday, Dec. 16, live from Summit Skywalker Ranch outside San Francisco, with the keynote starting at 6:00 p.m. PT / 9:00 p.m. ET. [11]
Multiple market write-ups tied the event to Robinhood’s expanding push into prediction markets—and the potential for new features that could nudge Robinhood toward products adjacent to sports betting and event contracts. [12]
Key timing detail for investors: the keynote is after the regular market close Tuesday, meaning any surprise announcements may be reflected mostly in after-hours trading Tuesday evening and into Wednesday’s open.
3) Options-focused coverage highlighted volatility—and pointed to a “setup” narrative
A Benzinga options analysis published late Monday described HOOD as trading in a negatively tilted consolidation pattern since October, while also highlighting notable institutional interest and the recent volatility. [13]
This matters because HOOD’s short-term moves are often amplified by options activity—especially into catalysts like a product keynote.
Analyst forecasts and price targets: what the Street is modeling into 2026
Even after the recent selloff, many Wall Street models still imply upside—though the exact numbers vary depending on the dataset and methodology.
Consensus snapshots (two widely-followed aggregators)
- MarketBeat shows a “Moderate Buy” consensus and an average 12‑month price target of $136.32 (about 18% upside from ~$115). [14]
- StockAnalysis lists an average price target of $119.48 and a consensus rating of “Buy.” [15]
These differences don’t necessarily mean analysts disagree dramatically; they often reflect different inclusion lists, weighting, and how recently updates are incorporated.
Recent notable target changes still in focus
Several recent actions remain part of the conversation because they frame how analysts are thinking about risk and upside:
- Bank of America Securities analyst Craig Siegenthaler maintained a Buy while lowering the price target to $154 from $166, per a Benzinga report. [16]
- MarketBeat’s tracker also shows continued activity in December, including price-target adjustments (for example, a Barclays target increase into the $170s range in mid-December). [17]
For Tuesday morning, the practical takeaway is this: the selloff has pushed HOOD further below many published targets, which can attract incremental dip-buying—but it also raises the bar for Robinhood to deliver a strong catalyst narrative at YES/NO.
The bigger backdrop: market structure and crypto regulation headlines also hit the tape today
Robinhood is not just a single-stock story; it sits at the intersection of retail brokerage, crypto, and market plumbing. On Dec. 15, several broader headlines mattered for sentiment:
Nasdaq’s push toward 24-hour-style trading
Nasdaq said it filed with the SEC to expand trading hours to 23 hours a day, with a proposed structure including a daytime session from 4:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. ET and an overnight session from 9:00 p.m. to 4:00 a.m. ET, targeting implementation in the second half of 2026. [18]
Robinhood already markets extended-hours capabilities to retail customers—so a broader industry shift toward longer trading days keeps attention on platforms built for always-on access.
A new Wall Street tokenization headline (and why it’s relevant)
Business Insider reported JPMorgan’s asset management unit is launching a tokenized money market fund on Ethereum, with JPMorgan committing $100 million before opening it to investors on Dec. 16. [19]
Tokenization has been a recurring theme for fintech platforms in 2025, and it’s part of the wider narrative that can lift—or pressure—sentiment around “crypto-adjacent” financial stocks like HOOD.
UK crypto rules: another reminder that regulation remains a live variable
In the UK, the Treasury outlined plans for new crypto rules expected to be phased in by 2027, including requirements around token issuance and trading—under oversight of the Financial Conduct Authority. [20]
Regulatory direction matters for Robinhood’s long-term crypto opportunity set, even if it doesn’t move next-day revenue.
What to know before the stock market opens tomorrow (Tuesday, Dec. 16, 2025)
Here are the practical “pre-market checklist” items most likely to influence HOOD at the open:
1) Watch the 8:30 a.m. ET data window (shutdown catch-up is still reshaping the calendar)
Because of the 2025 government shutdown and rescheduling, Tuesday is expected to bring delayed U.S. releases that can move yields, the dollar, and risk assets:
- The U.S. Census Bureau says the October 2025 Advance Monthly Sales (Retail Sales) release—originally scheduled for Nov. 14—has been rescheduled to Dec. 16, 2025. [21]
- Reuters also published a schedule noting that some major U.S. releases delayed by the shutdown were reassigned to new dates—including an Employment Situation release on Dec. 16. [22]
- Market calendars highlight retail sales and “flash” PMI-style activity data as key items that morning. [23]
For HOOD specifically, the chain reaction matters: macro surprises → rate expectations → risk-on/risk-off sentiment → high-beta fintech performance.
2) Fed messaging and rate expectations remain in play
New York Fed President John Williams said Monday that Fed policy is in a “good position” after the Fed’s Dec. 10 rate cut (to a 3.50%–3.75% range) and he sees inflation moderating in 2026. [24]
For HOOD, rate expectations can cut both ways:
- Lower expected rates can support growth multiples.
- But rate levels also influence customer cash yields and trading appetite—so the “direction” is less important than overall confidence and volatility in markets.
3) Crypto prices overnight (still the fast-moving sentiment lever)
Given Monday’s crypto weakness, HOOD traders will be watching whether bitcoin and ether stabilize or keep sliding. [25]
Even without a Robinhood-specific headline, strong overnight crypto moves often show up in pre-market trading for crypto-linked equities.
4) Positioning into the YES/NO keynote (and what would actually matter)
The event itself starts after the close Tuesday, but Tuesday’s session may reflect positioning and expectations:
- Traders may look for signs Robinhood is accelerating the rollout of prediction market features or related products—especially anything that changes the competitive landscape in event contracts. [26]
- Just as important: clarity around where the offering sits on the regulatory spectrum and how Robinhood plans to scale it responsibly.
5) Key technical levels to watch at the open
Without turning this into a chart-based story, Monday’s tape sets clear reference points:
- Support area: ~$114 (Monday’s intraday low was $114.11) [27]
- Near-term pivot: ~$115–$116 (where the stock closed and traded after-hours) [28]
- Overhead resistance zones: ~$120 (Monday’s high was $120.49) and ~$125 (last Friday’s close was $119.50, and HOOD traded in the mid‑$120s late last week) [29]
If HOOD opens weak and loses ~$114, traders will likely treat it as a sign the selloff is still in control. If it reclaims ~$120, that’s the first obvious “regain” level bulls will point to.
Bottom line for Tuesday’s open
Robinhood stock heads into Tuesday with three forces pulling on it at once:
- Crypto sentiment (still a major swing factor), [30]
- Macro volatility tied to rescheduled U.S. data releases, [31]
- A company-specific YES/NO keynote catalyst that could reshape the near-term narrative—especially around prediction markets. [32]
For long-term investors, the big question is whether Robinhood can convert product ambition into sustained engagement and durable revenue growth. For short-term traders, the question is simpler: will Tuesday’s macro tape and pre-event positioning stabilize HOOD near $115—or push it into another leg lower before the keynote even begins?
References
1. stockanalysis.com, 2. www.marketbeat.com, 3. stockanalysis.com, 4. www.marketbeat.com, 5. stockanalysis.com, 6. stockanalysis.com, 7. stockanalysis.com, 8. www.barrons.com, 9. www.coindesk.com, 10. www.gurufocus.com, 11. robinhood.com, 12. www.gurufocus.com, 13. www.benzinga.com, 14. www.marketbeat.com, 15. stockanalysis.com, 16. www.benzinga.com, 17. www.marketbeat.com, 18. www.reuters.com, 19. www.businessinsider.com, 20. www.theguardian.com, 21. www.census.gov, 22. www.reuters.com, 23. www.marketwatch.com, 24. www.reuters.com, 25. www.coindesk.com, 26. www.gurufocus.com, 27. stockanalysis.com, 28. stockanalysis.com, 29. stockanalysis.com, 30. www.coindesk.com, 31. www.reuters.com, 32. robinhood.com
