Robinhood stock slips into year-end after December trading snapshot; Barclays flags Q4 risk

Robinhood stock slips into year-end after December trading snapshot; Barclays flags Q4 risk

NEW YORK, December 31, 2025, 16:50 ET — After-hours

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (Nasdaq: HOOD) shares fell about 2% on Wednesday and were last down 2.1% at $113.10 in after-hours trading, after moving between $112.50 and $115.90 during the session.

The move keeps attention on late-quarter trading activity at the retail brokerage as investors look for clues on how the fourth quarter finished across crypto, options and equities.

That matters now because Robinhood’s transaction revenue — the money it generates from customer trades — can swing sharply with changes in trading volumes, especially in crypto and options.

Robinhood said on Tuesday that from Dec. 1 through Dec. 28, equity notional trading volumes — the dollar value of shares traded — were about $170 billion, while options contracts traded were about 179 million, with each contract typically representing 100 shares. Crypto notional trading volumes were about $19 billion, including about $7 billion on the Robinhood app and $12 billion on Bitstamp, and event contracts traded on its prediction markets hub totaled about 2.6 billion. The company said the figures are unaudited and preliminary, with full December operating data to be released alongside its full-year and fourth-quarter results. MarketScreener

Barclays analyst Benjamin Budish said the preliminary December metrics suggest Robinhood’s transaction revenue could “slightly miss estimates in Q4.” He said options and Bitstamp activity picked back up, but equities and Robinhood-app crypto volumes softened; Barclays kept an Overweight rating and a $171 price target. TipRanks

Robinhood’s decline came as Wall Street ended 2025 lower in the year’s final session, with the S&P 500 down 0.74% and the Nasdaq off 0.76% in thin holiday-week trading, a Reuters market report said. Reuters

Crypto-linked names were also under pressure, with bitcoin down about 0.6% on the day and crypto exchange Coinbase down about 2.4% in after-hours trading.

Robinhood has been expanding its prediction markets offering — including sports-focused event contracts — as rivals push into the fast-growing category, Reuters reported earlier this month. Reuters

Investors will now watch whether equities and Robinhood-app crypto volumes rebound after the holidays, and whether prediction markets and options activity can cushion any continued softness in digital-asset trading.

With U.S. markets closed Thursday for New Year’s Day, the next major catalyst is likely Robinhood’s full fourth-quarter earnings report and outlook for 2026, when investors will get the final December numbers and management’s take on trading momentum.

Stock Market Today

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    December 31, 2025, 4:52 PM EST. Two TSX stocks to watch before a recovery are Magna International (TSX:MG) and Algonquin Power (TSX:AQN). Magna International is a global auto parts maker whose shares lag amid inflation, labor and supply-chain pressures. The stock trades at a valuation well below historical averages, with earnings positive and a focus on cost controls; management argues downturn is cyclical, not permanent. If vehicle demand steadies and margins improve, upside could be meaningful. Algonquin Power owns regulated utilities and renewable assets; its stock fell after a dividend cut. The company has streamlined its portfolio and focused on core regulated utilities, helping stabilize cash flow. If rate-backed cash flow remains predictable, a recovery could unfold. Notes: TSX is the Toronto Stock Exchange; EV stands for electric vehicle.
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