December 24, 2025 — Silver’s blistering 2025 run accelerated again on Wednesday, pushing the metal beyond the psychologically important $72-per-ounce mark in global markets and lifting India’s MCX silver futures to fresh all-time highs around ₹2.23 lakh per kilogram. The breakout is rippling quickly through equities tied to the metal—most notably Hindustan Zinc, one of India’s biggest beneficiaries of stronger silver realizations, which climbed to a new peak in early trade. [1]
The latest leg of the rally is not happening in isolation. Precious metals broadly are finishing 2025 with exceptional momentum: gold crossed $4,500/oz for the first time, while platinum also set a record, underscoring how investors are treating the entire complex as a “must-own” macro hedge into year-end. [2]
Silver breaks $72, while MCX races to new records in India
By early Wednesday, global silver traded at fresh highs, with Reuters reporting silver at $72.27/oz after touching $72.70, a dramatic milestone for a metal that spent much of recent history far below prior-cycle peaks. [3]
In India, the domestic price action has been just as striking:
- MCX silver climbed to new lifetime highs near ₹2.23 lakh/kg (999 purity), with Moneycontrol noting futures around ₹2,23,699/kg, surpassing the previous record near ₹2,20,490/kg set a day earlier. [4]
- The Economic Times also reported MCX silver hitting a fresh peak around ₹2,23,359/kg before easing slightly, as traders navigated thin holiday-week liquidity and fast intraday swings. [5]
That “holiday-week” detail matters: multiple analysts and market reports have pointed out that thin year-end liquidity can exaggerate moves, which may help explain the speed of the breakout even as the underlying narrative remains bullish. [6]
What’s driving silver’s historic 2025 surge
Silver is rallying on a rare combination of macro and micro forces—some familiar, others newly powerful in 2025:
1) The macro bid: safe-haven demand and rate-cut expectations
Precious metals have been supported by a market increasingly positioned for lower U.S. interest rates in 2026, a softer dollar at times, and renewed demand for stores of value amid geopolitical uncertainty. Reuters tied the broader metals surge to safe-haven demand and expectations that U.S. rates will fall further next year, with analysts noting that “thin year-end liquidity” can magnify price action. [7]
India Today similarly highlighted a mix of drivers behind the precious-metals rally: expectations of more easing ahead, central-bank buying, de-dollarisation themes, and ETF demand, alongside ongoing geopolitical concerns that keep safe-haven interest elevated. [8]
2) The “double engine” silver story: monetary metal + industrial metal
Silver’s standout feature is that it trades as both:
- a monetary hedge (like gold), and
- a critical industrial input (used across electronics and electrification supply chains).
That dual identity is one reason silver can move faster than gold in momentum phases.
Moneycontrol captured this framing with one analyst calling silver a macro hedge rather than a “conventional commodity,” benefiting from its hybrid role as monetary metal + industrial asset. [9]
3) Supply constraints, disruptions, and speculative momentum
Beyond demand, multiple reports point to tight physical supply and disruptions across key trading centres. LiveMint reported that silver’s advance has been reinforced by persistent supply disruptions following a short squeeze in October, alongside speculative inflows and strong ETF activity. [10]
4) A remarkable scorecard: silver’s 2025 gains dwarf most assets
While exact year-to-date figures vary by timestamp and pricing feed, the message is consistent: 2025 has been an outlier year.
- Reuters put silver up more than 150% in 2025, outpacing gold’s already huge rise. [11]
- The Economic Times described silver as up over 140% in 2025 while breaching $72/oz. [12]
Taken together, the market narrative is clear: silver is ending 2025 not as a slow-moving industrial commodity, but as a headline macro trade.
Why Hindustan Zinc is in focus as silver spikes
As silver prices sprint to record highs, investors are quickly rotating into companies with direct earnings leverage to the metal. On December 24, Hindustan Zinc was a clear focal point in India:
- The Economic Times reported the stock rose to an intraday high near ₹632 on the BSE (up roughly 3%–4% in early trade), tracking the surge in silver beyond $72/oz. [13]
- The same report underscored the reason the linkage is so tight: Hindustan Zinc is among the top global silver producers, with silver a meaningful contributor to profitability (reported as a substantial share of EBIT), making the company a perceived frontline beneficiary of higher silver realizations. [14]
This “earnings torque” is why silver rallies often translate into equity momentum for silver-linked miners and refiners—especially when the move is fast and narrative-driven, as it has been through December.
The Street’s take: upside potential, but hedging and volatility matter
With the stock moving sharply, the “what next?” debate has shifted from whether Hindustan Zinc benefits from higher silver to how much of the upside flows through, and when.
Earlier coverage from Moneycontrol (published this week) flagged that the stock had already delivered strong near-term gains (around 33% over one month as of that report), raising the natural question of profit-taking after a steep run. [15]
Brokerage commentary has leaned constructive but nuanced. The Economic Times noted Jefferies expects Hindustan Zinc’s earnings trajectory to improve, projecting strong EPS growth in coming fiscal years on the back of silver realizations and cost positioning. [16]
The key nuance for investors: large producers may also use hedging, and the timing of realized pricing can differ from spot-market headlines. That doesn’t erase the benefit of structurally higher silver prices—but it can shift when the full impact shows up in reported numbers.
How far can silver go from here?
Forecasts are becoming bolder—though often paired with warnings about volatility.
Reuters cited an analyst view that gold could target $5,000 and silver could push toward $80 over the next 6–12 months, while also cautioning that thin liquidity has amplified moves. [17]
In India, LiveMint reported market commentary suggesting silver could potentially reach $100/oz by 2026 (roughly ₹3 lakh/kg in a simplified conversion), while also emphasizing that silver has a history of sharp corrections after vertical rallies. [18]
Meanwhile, The Economic Times’ commodities coverage highlighted active trader positioning and the idea that profit-taking can emerge around psychological levels—especially heading into holiday liquidity—while still framing the broader trend as supported by macro conditions and safe-haven demand. [19]
What to watch next (and why it matters for Hindustan Zinc)
As the market heads deeper into year-end, these are the swing factors likely to drive both silver prices and silver-leveraged stocks like Hindustan Zinc:
- U.S. rate-cut expectations for 2026
If markets continue to price easier policy, the “lower real yields” backdrop can remain supportive for precious metals. [20] - ETF flows and momentum positioning
Strong inflows can accelerate price moves—especially in a smaller market like silver. [21] - Industrial demand signals
Silver’s industrial role is central to the bull case; any evidence of demand cooling (or strengthening) can swing sentiment quickly. [22] - Liquidity conditions through Christmas and year-end
Thin trading can produce overshoots—both upward spikes and sharp pullbacks—making risk management more important than usual. [23] - Company-specific follow-through for Hindustan Zinc
Watch for commentary on realizations, production, costs, and how sustained silver strength changes the earnings mix—because that’s what ultimately converts a commodities headline into a durable equity rerating. [24]
References
1. www.reuters.com, 2. www.reuters.com, 3. www.reuters.com, 4. www.moneycontrol.com, 5. m.economictimes.com, 6. www.reuters.com, 7. www.reuters.com, 8. www.indiatoday.in, 9. www.moneycontrol.com, 10. www.livemint.com, 11. www.reuters.com, 12. m.economictimes.com, 13. m.economictimes.com, 14. m.economictimes.com, 15. www.moneycontrol.com, 16. m.economictimes.com, 17. www.reuters.com, 18. www.livemint.com, 19. m.economictimes.com, 20. www.reuters.com, 21. www.reuters.com, 22. www.moneycontrol.com, 23. www.reuters.com, 24. m.economictimes.com
