Strategy shares slip following Q2, $3.75 billion reserve provides breathing room for Bitcoin position
30 July 2026
3 mins read

Strategy shares slip following Q2, $3.75 billion reserve provides breathing room for Bitcoin position

NEW YORK, July 30, 2026, 17:04 EDT – Strategy shares declined after second-quarter results, while its $3.75 billion reserve gives the company more time to maintain its Bitcoin exposure.

  • Strategy finished regular trading up 4.7% at $97.74, before edging down 0.6% in after-hours trading. Extended-hours figures are subject to change.
  • The company reported a net loss of $8.22 billion, following an $8.32 billion digital-asset loss.
  • The $3.75 billion reserve is sufficient to fund over 2.1 years of dividend and interest payments.

Strategy shares slipped to $97.11 following the earnings release. Earlier in the session, they had gained 4.7%. The U.S. cash market was shut, while after-hours trading continued.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:MSTR

The headline loss mainly reflected an accounting adjustment. Investors concentrated on the expenses tied to backing Strategy’s expanding preferred-stock structure.

Preferred dividends totaled $400.7 million for the quarter, amounting to 4.9 times the $81.6 million gross profit recorded by the software segment. This highlights the importance of the sizable reserve, which provides time rather than boosting operating profit.

As of July 26, Strategy’s bitcoin holdings totaled 843,775 tokens. With bitcoin trading at around $64,732, the value of that position was roughly $54.6 billion. The latest estimate is 14.2% under Strategy’s average acquisition cost of $75,476.

The latest figures indicate a significant turnaround compared to the previous year’s increase driven by bitcoin.

Q2 metric20262025Change
Revenue$122.4 million$114.5 millionup 6.9%
Gross profit$81.6 million$78.7 millionincreased 3.7%
Gross margin66.6%68.8%down 2.2 points
Operating result-$8.33 billion+$14.03 billionreversed by $22.36 billion
Net result-$8.22 billion+$10.02 billiondeclined by $18.24 billion
Preferred dividends$400.7 million$49.1 millionjumped 716%

The operating loss reflected an unrealized bitcoin loss of $8.32 billion. Revenue increased, but there was no gross-margin expansion. Preferred dividends increased more than eight times.

Management acted during the quarter to ease immediate financial strain. Strategy bought back $1.50 billion in 2029 convertible notes, paying around $1.38 billion. This reduced its remaining convertible debt to $6.71 billion.

Liquidity picked up pace following the end of the quarter. The company’s recent filings and financials demonstrate this trend.

Balance-sheet measureEarlier levelLatest levelChange
Bitcoin holdings762,099 on March 29846,000 on June 30+11.0%
Bitcoin holdings846,000 on June 30843,775 on July 26-0.3%
Cash and short-term investments$2.21 billion on March 31$2.45 billion on June 30+10.7%
USD reserveAbout $2.4 billion on June 30$3.75 billion on July 26+$1.35 billion
Convertible notes$8.21 billion before May repurchase$6.71 billion following the repurchase-18.3%

The reserve coverage statement suggests yearly dividends and interest are roughly $1.8 billion or under, based on an early estimate from company figures. Preferred dividends for the second quarter, when annualized, total approximately $1.60 billion.

Annualized gross profit totaled approximately $326 million, while estimated fixed claims were around 5.5 times higher. Gross profit does not equate to cash flow, but the significant scale difference persists.

Strategy’s “current effective cost of credit” stands at 10.8%, Chief Financial Officer Andrew Kang said. Bitcoin needs to deliver an annual return higher than that rate for net bitcoin per share to achieve a positive spread, he added. Business Wire

Capital-market access continues to be crucial. Strategy secured $8.41 billion in the quarter, with an additional $1.28 billion raised by July 26. Total fundraising for the year so far stands at $17.06 billion.

Gross ATM proceedsQ2 2026July 1–26
MSTR common stock$2.947 billion$1.276 billion
STRC preferred stock$5.465 billion
Total$8.412 billion$1.276 billion

The structure of funding leads to varying expenses. Issuing common stock may result in dilution for current shareholders. Introducing new preferred shares increases dividend obligations ranked above those of common equity.

Strategy has disposed of $218.4 million in bitcoin during the year, using the funds to cover some preferred dividend payments. The company’s board has authorized bitcoin sales up to $1.25 billion to support reserve funding and security buybacks.

Management is reallocating some funds into undervalued securities. Strategy acquired $25 million of Stretch preferred stock at a mean price of $86.53, reflecting a 13.5% reduction from the $100 face value. Chief Executive Phong Le stated that purchases will continue to be “regular and disciplined” as long as STRC trades under par. Business Wire

The company approved a $1 billion MSTR share buyback initiative. As of July 26, it had not repurchased any common stock. Michael Saylor characterized the environment as marked by “muted bitcoin sentiment and market skepticism.” Business Wire

Risks are still elevated. A further drop in bitcoin prices would lower asset coverage and increase reported losses. If demand for common or preferred shares is weak, more bitcoin may need to be sold. The strategy is also exposed to risks of dilution, refinancing, and dividend resets.

MSTR shareholders see the $3.75 billion reserve as delaying the funding test rather than eliminating it. Ongoing gains now hinge on bitcoin surpassing Strategy’s credit threshold without additional dilution per common share.

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Further analysis

How did MSTR perform in today’s trading compared with Bitcoin and the Nasdaq?

MSTR ended Thursday’s session at $97.74, up 4.73%. Bitcoin was last around $64,732, advancing 2.18% from its previous close. Moomoo The Nasdaq Composite rose 2.78% to finish at 25,122.18. With these moves, MSTR outperformed Bitcoin by 2.55 percentage points and the Nasdaq by 1.95. Reuters Despite Thursday’s gains, MSTR was still down about 36% for the year. The Nasdaq had climbed approximately 8.2% over the same span. Shares dipped around 0.6% in initial after-hours trading following the earnings update. Barron’s

What were the actual results in Strategy’s second quarter earnings?

Revenue stood at $122.4 million, up 6.9% from a year ago. Gross margin declined to 66.6%, compared to 68.8% in the prior year period. Strategy posted a headline net loss of $8.22 billion. Most of the company’s operating losses were a result of an $8.32 billion unrealized Bitcoin loss. Diluted loss was $24.45 per common share. These GAAP results are still highly variable based on Bitcoin prices at quarter-end. Strategy

What is the size of Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings, and is the investment currently at a loss?

As of July 26, Strategy reported holding 843,775 Bitcoin. The cumulative purchase cost totaled $63.69 billion, representing an average price of $75,476 per Bitcoin. The latest Bitcoin price was $64,732, putting the value of these holdings at $54.62 billion, indicating an unrealized loss of approximately $9.07 billion from cost. Bitcoin would require a gain of about 16.6% to return to Strategy’s average cost basis. A 1% movement in Bitcoin’s price shifts the gross value of the company’s holdings by roughly $546 million. Strategy

Does MSTR continue to trade at a premium to its net Bitcoin holdings?

Yes, though the premium is slight. Reported figures at publication varied from 1.04x to 1.06x. Strategy The range is due to swift moves in both MSTR and Bitcoin prices. Strategy calculates this by dividing MSTR’s market price by its net Bitcoin per share, factoring in deductions for some senior claims and additions from the USD reserve. The company uses 1.0x as the benchmark for Net BPS accretion. This threshold refers specifically to Net BPS, excluding earnings or any future share performance. Strategy

What is the impact of dilution resulting from additional MSTR share offerings?

Strategy disposed of 5.43 million ordinary shares from July 20 to 26, generating net proceeds of $544.5 million, or approximately $100.29 per share. This offering represented about 1.4% of the basic shares outstanding as of July 20. The company retained $22.98 billion in unused ATM capacity. A $1.0 billion MSTR share repurchase was approved, but no shares were bought back. The significant remaining capacity suggests further potential for dilution ahead.

Is Strategy able to pay dividends and interest without needing additional Bitcoin sales?

Strategy’s U.S. dollar reserve totaled $3.75 billion as of July 26. According to management, this amount can cover around 2.1 years of preferred dividend and interest payments. Estimated annual obligations stood at approximately $1.76 billion as of late June. The reserve was partially restored by issuing new MSTR common shares. Strategy remains authorized to sell Bitcoin to fund dividends, interest, reserves, and buybacks. Liquidity has improved, but future reserves depend on further issuance or Bitcoin sales. Strategy

Is Strategy planning to restart Bitcoin purchases soon?

Management did not say on Thursday whether it would resume buying Bitcoin. Barron’s Strategy disclosed no new Bitcoin acquisitions in the most recent reported week. The firm has sold $218.4 million worth of Bitcoin so far in 2026. These proceeds contributed to paying the preferred-stock dividend. Management may also opt to sell Bitcoin to bolster reserves or for share buybacks. A substantial resumption is likely dependent on mNAV exceeding 1.0x and favorable conditions in capital markets.

What are the possible MSTR price ranges based on realistic Bitcoin scenarios?

The sensitivity table for Strategy presents scenarios rather than official price targets. If Bitcoin is at $52,720, the modeled Net BPS drops to $66.52. With Bitcoin at $79,080, modeled Net BPS increases to $124.56. Both scenarios use 843,775 Bitcoin and an mNAV of exactly 1.0x. No alterations to Strategy’s capital structure are factored in. Thursday’s close at $97.74 stands between these two modeled outcomes. Actual results may vary significantly as mNAV, debt, or share numbers shift.

What is the current reliability of Wall Street price targets?

Analyst price targets are still widely spread, limiting consensus on an outlook. Barclays started coverage this month with a $130 target. Barron’s Mizuho’s most recent target, set after a July revision, is $213. TD Cowen most recently issued a $260 target, adjusted in June. MarketBeat The range tracked by MarketBeat covers $54 to $570. The Barclays note suggests potential gains of about 33% over Thursday’s $97.74 finish. Most highlighted targets are from before Thursday’s report, so further updates may follow. MarketBeat

Iwona Majkowska is a financial markets journalist at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, artificial intelligence and technology. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics, she previously worked in equity research and financial analysis before focusing on market reporting. Her daily coverage helps investors follow major developments across U.S. and global markets. Follow Iwona Majkowska on Google News.

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Live updates

  1. Asure Software (NASDAQ:ASUR) posted Q2 CY2026 revenue of $37.11 million, a 23.2% increase from a year earlier, meeting analyst forecasts. GAAP loss per share came in at -$0.15, matching projections. Adjusted EBITDA reached $7.74 million, coming in 12% above expectations. The company's revenue outlook for next quarter is $39 million, falling 1.6% short of estimates, while full year revenue guidance stays at $161 million.
  2. Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) shares dropped into oversold territory on Thursday as the RSI fell to 26.8, reaching a session low of $27.38. The reading is below the commonly watched oversold mark of 30 and compares to the S&P 500 ETF's RSI of 49.3. MAIR has traded between $27.38 and $44.50 over the past 52 weeks, with the latest trade at $29.14, suggesting a possible slowdown after the recent sharp selling.
  3. The Rockefeller California Municipal Bond ETF (RMCA) slipped into oversold territory on Thursday, posting a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 29.6, under the 30 level that signals an oversold condition. The ETF changed hands as low as $23.78, close to its 52-week low of $23.345 and beneath its 52-week high of $24.61. RMCA fell around 0.8% on the day.
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