NEW YORK, January 1, 2026, 20:47 ET — Market closed
- Transocean shares ended the last session of 2025 unchanged at $4.13 after U.S. markets shut for New Year’s Day.
- Oil finished 2025 sharply lower, keeping offshore drillers tethered to crude-price sentiment.
- Investors are watching Sunday’s OPEC+ meeting and early-year contract activity for direction.
Transocean Ltd. shares (RIG) finished the final U.S. trading session of 2025 unchanged at $4.13, as Wall Street took a breather ahead of the New Year’s Day market holiday. The stock’s recent range was $4.11 to $4.21 on about 23 million shares.
The flat close matters because Transocean is an offshore drilling contractor, and its customers’ spending plans typically move with oil prices and confidence in longer-term demand. When crude prices weaken, investors tend to reassess how quickly oil companies will sanction new deepwater projects.
That reassessment is front-and-center now as crude ends a weak year and traders look to the next set of supply signals. Brent settled at $60.85 a barrel on Wednesday and U.S. West Texas Intermediate ended at $57.42, leaving both down roughly a fifth for 2025. “U.S. shale producers were able to hedge at high levels,” BNP Paribas commodities analyst Jason Ying said, pointing to why some see downside pressure in the near term. 1
Offshore drillers moved in a mixed pack alongside energy-linked assets. The VanEck Oil Services ETF (OIH) fell 0.8% in the last session, while the U.S. Oil Fund (USO) slipped 0.9%; peers Valaris, Noble and Seadrill were little changed to slightly lower.
Oil’s year-end tone was shaped by fresh U.S. inventory data that showed demand and refining signals pulling in different directions. The Energy Information Administration reported crude stockpiles fell by 1.2 million barrels last week, while gasoline and distillate inventories rose sharply. 2
Away from the tape, industry developments kept the offshore market in focus. Transocean’s semi-submersible Transocean Equinox, working offshore Australia for ConocoPhillips, encountered gas during drilling and operations were paused to evaluate well design, project partners said. 3
For Transocean, the market’s key operating levers are “dayrates” — the daily price a customer pays to rent a rig — and backlog, the value of signed contracts not yet worked off. Updates that point to tighter rig supply or smoother execution tend to support sentiment, even if they do not immediately change reported earnings.
Technicals are also in play going into the first full trading day of 2026. Market data tracked by MarketBeat showed Transocean shares moved above their 200-day moving average — a long-term trend gauge based on the average close over roughly 200 sessions — as the stock tested the low $4 area. 4
Before the next session on Friday, traders will be watching energy prices for cues after a year-end slide and ahead of the next OPEC+ policy check-in. OPEC’s schedule shows the group’s next ministerial meeting is set for January 4. 5
Any surprise shift in supply messaging can ripple into oil-linked equities, including offshore drillers, where investors focus on whether crude stabilizes enough to keep deepwater spending steady. Thin early-January liquidity can also exaggerate moves in smaller, higher-beta names.
On the chart, traders are watching whether Transocean can hold recent support near the low-$4 level and revisit Wednesday’s highs. A break below that area would put more emphasis on the next round of contract headlines.
The next major company catalyst is results and any new contract disclosures, especially around dayrates and backlog additions. Transocean has not confirmed an earnings date; Nasdaq’s calendar currently flags February 16 as an estimate based on historical patterns rather than a company announcement. 6
