NEW YORK, Jan 4, 2026, 15:59 ET — Market closed
- Uber shares last closed up 1.41% at $82.86 on Friday. 1
- A report said Uber rewrote UK driver contracts outside London to reduce exposure to a new 20% VAT on minicab fares. 2
- Traders now look to U.S. data this week and Uber’s next results, expected in early February. 3
Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER.N) is heading into Monday’s session with a fresh UK tax headline on the tape, after a report said it rewrote driver contracts outside London to limit the impact of Britain’s new “taxi tax” on ride-hailing fares. Uber shares last closed up 1.41% at $82.86 on Friday. 2
The UK change matters now because it goes straight to pricing power and unit economics in a key international market. VAT, or value-added tax, is a sales tax, and rule changes can quickly flow through to rider demand, driver earnings and Uber’s take from each trip. 2
The stock has also been sensitive to headline risk heading into earnings season. Uber is about 19% below its 52-week high, and it has been down about 10% over the past month, leaving traders alert to any news that shifts the cost base or changes what riders pay. 1
Macro backdrops are doing some of the work too. Wall Street ended mixed on Friday as Treasury yields — the interest rate investors demand to hold U.S. government bonds — moved higher, a setup that can pressure growth stocks when rates rise. “Today is kind of a holiday trading day, lighter volumes, people not engaged normally,” said Jed Ellerbroek, portfolio manager at Argent Capital in St. Louis. 4
In the UK, the report said Uber’s updated terms mean it will act as an agent rather than the supplier of transport services outside London, sharply reducing its VAT exposure under the new rules. That structure shifts the customer contract to the driver, leaving Uber charging VAT on its commission, while drivers would only charge VAT if they meet the registration threshold. 2
The same report said the Treasury is now unlikely to collect the full £700 million a year it projected from the measure, and that the change could prevent fares from rising by 20% outside London. The government amended VAT rules after court rulings to treat the company taking the booking as the supplier — a move aimed at bringing more of the fare into the tax net. 2
For Uber investors, the next near-term check remains earnings and guidance. In its last quarterly update, Uber forecast Q4 2025 gross bookings of $52.25 billion to $53.75 billion and adjusted EBITDA — profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, adjusted for some items — of $2.41 billion to $2.51 billion. 5
On valuation and technical levels, Uber’s shares closed Friday at $82.86 versus a 52-week high of $101.99 and a 52-week low of $60.63, according to Finviz data. The stock trades at roughly 24 times forward earnings, a commonly used valuation multiple based on expected profit. 1
But the UK contract change may not be the final word. Any pushback from authorities, or further legal challenges around who supplies the ride for VAT purposes, could still force price increases that squeeze demand or margins, especially if broader rate moves keep pressure on consumer-facing growth names. 2
What the market watches next is a packed U.S. data calendar, starting with the ISM manufacturing survey on Monday at 10:00 a.m. ET and culminating in the December U.S. jobs report on Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Investors will also be positioning for Uber’s next quarterly results, which calendars currently peg for Feb. 4, though dates can change. 3
