US stock market today: Futures slip as Venezuela oil talks and CES chip launches set the tone

US stock market today: Futures slip as Venezuela oil talks and CES chip launches set the tone

New York, Jan 6, 2026, 04:55 EST — Premarket

  • U.S. stock index futures dipped ahead of the New York open after Washington pressed ahead with plans to engage oil majors on Venezuela. Businessinsider
  • Wall Street closed at record highs on Monday, with energy and banks leading the gains. Reuters
  • Traders face a data-light Tuesday before Wednesday’s U.S. services and private payrolls readings and Friday’s jobs report. Econoday

U.S. stock index futures nudged lower early Tuesday as investors weighed the fallout from Washington’s Venezuela operation and its implications for oil supply and energy profits. Dow futures were down 0.16%, S&P 500 futures slipped 0.08% and Nasdaq 100 futures were off 0.02%. Businessinsider

The dip follows a strong start to 2026, with the S&P 500 and Dow ending Monday at record highs and traders still leaning into a “soft landing” narrative. The question into the cash open is whether geopolitical risk and policy uncertainty start to compete with the market’s rate-cut optimism. Reuters

On Monday, the Dow rose 1.23% to 48,977.18, the S&P 500 gained 0.66% to 6,902.05 and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.88% to 23,395.82. “In general, the economy is doing well and we have a more dovish Fed, which has driven things higher,” said Rob Haworth, senior investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. Reuters

Venezuela sits at the center of the energy trade. The Trump administration plans meetings later this week with executives from Exxon Mobil, Chevron and ConocoPhillips to discuss boosting Venezuelan oil production, a source familiar with the matter said. Reuters

The White House struck an upbeat tone even as oil executives told Reuters the largest U.S. producers had not yet discussed Venezuela operations with the administration. “All of our oil companies are ready and willing to make big investments in Venezuela,” White House spokesperson Taylor Rogers said. Reuters

For oil companies, the balance is opportunity versus legal and political risk. “It would be premature to speculate on any future business activities or investments,” a ConocoPhillips spokesperson said, as firms weigh how to recover claims tied to past nationalizations. Reuters

Outside energy, CES headlines kept AI hardware in focus. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company’s next-generation Rubin chips were in “full production” and positioned the gain as a hardware-and-software leap; “This is how we were able to deliver such a gigantic step up in performance,” Huang said. AMD and Intel also rolled out new PC and AI chips as they chase share in a market that is increasingly shaped by “tokens” — the small chunks of text and data that AI models process. Reuters

Macro signals stayed mixed. The ISM manufacturing index (a survey-based gauge where readings below 50 signal contraction) fell to 47.9 in December, its lowest since October 2024, with higher prices and trade frictions still a theme for some factories. “We remain cautious on the extent of recovery in traditional cap-ex categories this year,” said Shannon Grein, an economist at Wells Fargo. Reuters

Commodities reflected the push and pull between growth and risk. U.S. crude futures rose 0.45% to $58.58 a barrel, while gold futures were up 0.25% near $4,457 an ounce. “It doesn’t look like the calculus has changed all that much,” said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive, as traders kept an eye on rate-cut pricing after recent Fed commentary. Businessinsider

Earnings season is close enough to matter again, especially for the sector that led Monday’s rally. JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report on Jan. 13, and Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are set for Jan. 15, according to company postings; investors will be looking for signals on trading revenue, deal pipelines and credit trends after a year in which banks and brokers surged. Reuters

One risk: the Venezuela trade can reverse quickly if policy details disappoint, sanctions remain binding, or political turmoil disrupts production instead of lifting it. A hotter-than-expected U.S. jobs report on Friday could also push yields higher and test the market’s bet on easing. Reuters

On Tuesday’s calendar, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin is due to speak at 8:00 a.m. ET, followed by the final S&P Global composite PMI at 9:45 a.m. ET. The bigger checkpoints arrive Wednesday with ADP private payrolls and the ISM services index, and Friday with the U.S. employment report. Econoday

Stock Market Today

  • Applied Digital (APLD) Valuation Check Amid New Loan, Cloud Spin-Off for AI Data Center Growth
    January 7, 2026, 4:32 PM EST. Applied Digital (APLD) heads into its Q2 cycle with a Macquarie-backed loan facility and a spin-off of its cloud arm, refocusing on AI data center development. The announcements underpin a share-price surge, with 1-day return around 14.6% and a 1-year total shareholder return above 200%. A Narrative-based valuation pegs fair value near $43.70 and flags a potential undervaluation vs peers, though the view hinges on long-term leases with hyperscale customers. The company has signed a 15-year leasing deal with CoreWeave for Polaris Forge 1 worth about $7 billion in contracted revenue, offering recurring revenue but increasing leverage risk. At a look-through level, the price-to-sales multiple around 46x contrasts with industry norms near 2x-5x, suggesting limited margin for error. Investors should weigh growth against debt and client concentration.
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