NEW YORK, December 29, 2025, 12:28 ET — Regular session
- Visa fell about 0.2% in midday trading, tracking a broader market pullback
- Payment-network peers Mastercard and American Express also traded lower
- Traders are watching Dec. 31 jobless claims and holiday-thinned year-end flows
Visa Inc shares edged lower on Monday as U.S. stocks slipped in year-end trading, with investors focused on interest rates and the near-term path for consumer spending.
Visa was down about 0.2% at $354.19 by 12:28 p.m. ET, after trading between $354.00 and $356.54 earlier in the session.
The moves matter for Visa because investors often treat payment networks as a real-time read on household demand. A softer macro backdrop can quickly feed through to card spending and travel volumes, while shifting rate expectations can sway valuations across large-cap growth stocks.
Economists see a firmer start to 2026 as tax cuts and easier monetary policy filter into household budgets. “We expect fading policy uncertainty, the boost from tax cuts and the recent loosening of monetary policy to mean the economy strengthens in 2026,” said Oxford Economics analyst Michael Pierce. 1
The broader market was lower, with the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust down about 0.5% and the Invesco QQQ Trust down about 0.7%.
Other payments names also eased, with Mastercard down about 0.3% and American Express off about 1.1%.
Investors have kept one eye on Treasury yields — the interest investors earn on U.S. government bonds — because they set a baseline for borrowing costs and often shape what the market is willing to pay for steady, fee-based businesses.
With the New Year holiday approaching, traders also pointed to the calendar. U.S. stock markets are set to be open on Dec. 31 but closed on Jan. 1, while the bond market is expected to close early at 2 p.m. ET on Dec. 31, MarketWatch reported. 2
The next key data point on many desks is the weekly initial jobless claims report due Dec. 31. Jobless claims track how many people filed for unemployment benefits and can flag a cooling labor market before it shows up in monthly payrolls.
For Visa, the near-term risk case is simple: weaker hiring and more cautious households can slow payment volumes, particularly in discretionary categories. The upside case rests on consumers staying resilient as tax changes and lower rates support spending into 2026.
Visa generates revenue largely by collecting fees tied to transactions that run across its network, meaning even small shifts in spending trends can matter at the margin for quarterly results. Cross-border activity, linked to international travel, is another closely watched driver.
For now, the stock’s modest move underscores how little company-specific news is driving the tape into year-end. Traders said the next catalyst is likely to come from macro data and rates, with liquidity set to thin as markets head into the holiday break.
In the meantime, investors will be watching whether the broader market stabilizes and whether year-end rebalancing and profit-taking keep pressure on large-cap financial and payments shares as the calendar turns.
