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Walmart (NASDAQ:WMT) stock’s 4% weekly fall puts private-label growth case to the test

3 min read
Leokadia GłogulskaLeokadia Głogulska

NEW YORK, July 26, 2026, 13:07 EDT — U.S. markets closed.

  • Walmart rose 1.0% Friday to $109.47 but lost 4.2% for the week.
  • Its trailing P/E is 38.4, versus Target NYSE:TGT at 18.1 and Costco Wholesale NASDAQ:COST at 47.0.
  • Preliminary, unconfirmed estimate: Walmart’s bettergoods range may approach 1,000 products, up from 300 at launch.

Walmart shares recovered on Friday. The bounce still left them down 4.2% for the week, trailing both major retail peers.

That gap sharpened a valuation question. Investors still pay 38.4 times earnings for Walmart despite the pullback.

Fresh demand data offer one defense. Value retailers grew sales 11.6% from January through May, versus 2.3% for conventional chains. The 9.3-point gap extended across income groups.

CompanyFriday closeFriday moveWeekly changeTrailing P/E
Walmart NASDAQ:WMT$109.47+1.0%-4.2%38.4
Target NYSE:TGT$136.78+1.7%-2.0%18.1
Costco Wholesale NASDAQ:COST$935.03+1.0%-0.6%47.0

Weekly changes compare July 17 with July 24 closes. Figures are rounded.

Walmart’s multiple is more than twice Target’s. It remains about 18% below Costco’s. That places Walmart between a conventional mass merchant and retail’s premium valuation leader.

The private-label push is central to that middle position. A June note from RBC Capital Markets analyst Nik Modi estimated that bettergoods could reach nearly 1,000 items. Walmart has not confirmed that figure.

Modi described private brands as moving “from a defensive tactic to a core growth strategy.” Walmart launched bettergoods with 300 products in 2024. Reuters

“Shopping smart has become a mindset, not a customer segment,” chief merchandising officer Julie Barber told Reuters. The comment points to broader demand than a standard recession trade-down. Reuters

Walmart U.S. CEO David Guggina said bettergoods has attracted new customers, especially higher-income shoppers. Company data also showed upper-income households led first-quarter market-share gains.

The same quarter delivered 4.1% U.S. comparable-sales growth. U.S. e-commerce rose 26%, while global advertising revenue climbed 37%. Those channels give the expanded assortment more ways to reach shoppers.

Competition is building. Target plans 600 private-label food and beverage additions over two years. Its owned brands already account for about 30% of sales.

Next week’s first retail read comes from Amazon.com NASDAQ:AMZN, which reports Thursday. Its North American retail and advertising trends will frame the digital comparison.

The Federal Reserve meets Tuesday and Wednesday. U.S. second-quarter GDP and June consumer-spending data arrive Thursday. Both can shift household-demand expectations and equity valuations.

Walmart’s own second-quarter report is scheduled for August 20. Investors will need evidence that share gains are holding without heavier price investment.

Risks remain clear. A sharper slowdown could require deeper promotions. A rebound in discretionary spending could also weaken trade-down gains. At 38.4 times earnings, even a modest miss may carry weight.

Friday’s bounce changed little. The weekly decline narrowed the price, not Walmart’s execution hurdle.

Leokadia Głogulska

About the author

Leokadia Głogulska

Leokadia Głogulska is a financial and technology journalist at TechStock² covering listed companies, earnings, artificial intelligence and developments across European and global equity markets. She previously worked in financial analysis and graduated from Wrocław University of Economics and Business.