Walmart Stock (WMT) Weekend Update: Price Holds Near $112 as Year-End Rally Nears; Analyst Targets, New Catalysts, and What to Watch Before Monday’s Open

Walmart Stock (WMT) Weekend Update: Price Holds Near $112 as Year-End Rally Nears; Analyst Targets, New Catalysts, and What to Watch Before Monday’s Open

cNEW YORK, Dec. 28, 2025, 10:58 a.m. ET — Market closed (weekend)

Walmart Inc. (Nasdaq: WMT) heads into the final full trading week of 2025 with U.S. equity markets closed for the weekend and investors preparing for Monday’s reopening amid a strong year-end backdrop for risk assets. Reuters’ “Week Ahead” outlook noted the S&P 500 was hovering within roughly 1% of the 7,000 milestone as 2025 winds down, keeping attention on positioning and catalysts that can sway sentiment into the new year. Reuters

Where Walmart stock stands heading into the next session

Walmart shares last finished the most recent regular session (Friday, Dec. 26) at $111.74, up about 0.12% on the day, according to MarketBeat’s snapshot. MarketBeat The latest available quote also shows $111.74 as the most recent reported price heading into the weekend.

With markets shut today, there is no premarket or after-hours trading in U.S. equities until trading resumes. Stock index futures are set to reopen Sunday evening, which can shape the tone for Monday’s cash session. Investors

News flow in the last 24–48 hours: light corporate headlines, more positioning and commentary

Company-specific breaking news has been relatively quiet over the past couple of days, but there has been fresh positioning and market commentary tied to WMT:

  • Institutional/filing-driven updates: A MarketBeat filing roundup published Sunday said Carnegie Investment Counsel increased its Walmart position in the third quarter and also flagged other large-investor activity and recent insider sales mentioned in the same filing-based summary. MarketBeat
  • Investor commentary: A Motley Fool piece published Saturday reiterated a long-term bullish view centered on Walmart’s value positioning and durability when consumers trade down. The Motley Fool
  • Leadership context resurfacing in retail coverage: Business Insider’s weekend roundup of incoming retail CEOs again highlighted that John Furner is slated to step into the CEO role at Walmart on Feb. 1, 2026. Business Insider

Street forecasts: “Moderate Buy” consensus, with targets clustered above the current price

Analyst targets remain a key part of the Walmart stock debate as the market approaches year-end.

MarketBeat’s consensus compilation shows:

  • Consensus rating: Moderate Buy
  • Rating breakdown: 32 “Buy,” 1 “Hold” (based on 33 analyst ratings in the last 12 months)
  • Average 12-month price target:$120.69
  • Target range:$91 (low) to $135 (high) MarketBeat

Separately, a Nasdaq.com item summarizing Fintel data cited an average one-year price target of $122.40 (with a wider high/low range), underscoring that target databases can differ by methodology and source universe. Nasdaq

Technical picture: mixed momentum signals into the weekend

For investors watching near-term positioning, Investing.com’s technical snapshot (timestamped to late Dec. 26 GMT) showed an overall “Buy” summary while also flagging some mixed indicator reads—for example, RSI(14) around 41.446 (often interpreted as weaker momentum), alongside moving averages that leaned “Buy” in its table. Investing

Technical dashboards can shift quickly—especially around year-end liquidity—so many traders treat them as context, not a forecast.


Bigger drivers still shaping Walmart’s stock narrative

1) The Nasdaq listing shift is now live—and keeps the “tech-powered retailer” story front and center

Walmart completed its listing transfer of common stock and bonds to Nasdaq and began trading there on Dec. 9, 2025, according to the company’s own announcement. Walmart News & Leadership Walmart framed the move as aligned with technology-driven innovation and long-term value creation, while Nasdaq CEO Adena Friedman said Nasdaq was proud to support Walmart’s next era of growth. Walmart News & Leadership

The earlier announcement detailing the transfer plan (with the ticker remaining WMT) was published Nov. 20. Walmart Inc.

Beyond the symbolism, Reuters described Walmart’s switch as a major win for Nasdaq and quoted market participants arguing it could bring Walmart into the orbit of more tech-oriented investor flows. Reuters Retail Dive also cited Jefferies analysts saying the move “signals” strategic alignment with the tech-heavy exchange and could position Walmart for potential Nasdaq-100 consideration—an outcome that, if it occurred, could affect passive ownership dynamics. Retail Dive

2) CEO transition: investors continue to handicap leadership continuity and strategy execution

Walmart’s board elected John Furner to succeed Doug McMillon as President and CEO effective Feb. 1, 2026, with McMillon retiring Jan. 31, 2026, per Walmart’s press release filed with the SEC. SEC

Reuters’ coverage of the announcement included two notable, named analyst perspectives:

  • Chuck Grom (Gordon Haskett) said the earlier-than-anticipated change could create some shareholder anxiety. Reuters
  • Joseph Feldman (Telsey Advisory Group) praised McMillon’s tech-fueled transformation and called Furner the logical successor and a cultural fit. Reuters

Walmart’s Nasdaq debut announcement also explicitly connected the listing move to the coming leadership chapter, noting Furner is set to become CEO on Feb. 1, 2026. Walmart News & Leadership

3) Consumer and “trade-down” dynamics remain central to the Walmart thesis

Walmart’s positioning as a value leader continues to be a recurring theme in both analyst and investor commentary. Reuters previously quoted Bryan Hayes (Zacks Investment Research) saying Walmart’s performance signaled a bifurcated consumer landscape in which value-oriented giants can pull demand across income cohorts. Reuters

That general idea—Walmart as a “go-to” when budgets tighten—also echoed in weekend investor commentary around WMT’s resilience narrative. The Motley Fool


If you’re watching WMT before Monday’s open: what matters next

The market setup: futures tonight, macro catalysts this week, and a holiday closure ahead

With the cash equity market closed today, attention shifts to the macro calendar and the futures reopen:

  • Futures reopen Sunday evening: Several market outlets flagged that index futures are set to open Sunday night, which can shape the direction and leadership groups into Monday. Investors
  • This week’s key U.S. data: Investopedia highlighted pending home sales (Monday), Case-Shiller home prices (Tuesday), and jobless claims (Wednesday), plus Fed minutes due Tuesday. Investopedia
  • New Year’s Day closure: The same outlook noted the week is holiday-shortened due to New Year’s Day (Thursday). Investopedia
  • Big-picture tape: Reuters’ week-ahead piece emphasized year-end momentum and key policy watchpoints (including Fed signals), which can influence defensive megacaps like Walmart as portfolio managers rebalance. Reuters

A retail-specific seasonal detail investors may not want to ignore: post-holiday returns

Operationally, “Returnuary” can affect retailers through reverse logistics and margin mix. Walmart’s current return-policy page states that most items purchased between Oct. 1, 2025, and Dec. 31, 2025, are returnable until Jan. 31, 2026, with exceptions for certain categories. Walmart News & Leadership
For WMT investors, the key is not the policy itself—common across retail—but whether management commentary points to unusual return rates, shrink trends, or merchandising mix effects as the quarter closes.


Bottom line

Walmart stock enters the final stretch of 2025 with markets closed for the weekend, the last recorded price near $111.74, and a market narrative that blends defensive positioning with tech-forward strategic messaging—from the Nasdaq move to the coming CEO transition. MarketBeat

For Monday, the most actionable “tells” for WMT holders will likely come from (1) Sunday-night futures direction, (2) this week’s macro releases and Fed minutes, and (3) any fresh analyst notes or filing-driven flows that emerge in thin year-end liquidity. Investors

Stock Market Today

  • Fund short covering lifts sugar prices as supply outlook dims
    January 18, 2026, 12:31 AM EST. March NY world sugar #11 (SBH26) rose 2.54%, while March London white sugar #5 (SWH26) gained 2.37%, aided by fund short covering ahead of a US three-day weekend for MLK Day. Prices had fallen earlier, with NY sugar at a one-month low and London at a two-month low on Thursday. The supply outlook remains negative for prices: India's 2025/26 production rose to about 15.9 MMT in Oct-Jan, up 21% y/y; Brazil's Center-South output through mid-Dec rose 0.9% to 40.158 MMT. The cane crush ratio jumped to 50.91% in 2025/26. Covrig lifted its 2025/26 global surplus estimate to 4.7 MMT; 2026/27 surplus seen at 1.4 MMT. ISMA raised India's 2025/26 output to 31 MMT, cut ethanol use to 3.4 MMT, signaling higher exports. The ISO still forecasts a 2025/26 surplus, driven by India, Thailand, and Pakistan, with global production up 3.2% to 181.8 MMT.
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