WiseTech Shares Slide 9.6% Following 6%-10% Revenue Guidance Despite Record Sales

WiseTech Shares Slide 9.6% Following 6%-10% Revenue Guidance Despite Record Sales

SYDNEY, August 26, 2026, 20:58 (AEST)

  • WiseTech finished the session at A$41.10, falling 9.6% and wiping roughly A$1.46 billion from its market value.
  • Revenue for fiscal 2026 increased by 79% to US$1.396 billion, while statutory profit declined by 11%.
  • Revenue guidance for fiscal 2027 indicates growth of 6% to 10%, significantly slower than the previous acquisition-driven rate.

Shares in WiseTech Global Limited ASX:WTC dropped 9.6% on Wednesday. The company finished at A$41.10, after reaching as low as A$40.80 during the session, market data showed closing price.

Stock chart for ASX:WTC

The decline wiped roughly A$1.46 billion off the listed equity value, based on 333.43 million shares and Tuesday’s A$45.47 closing price market data.

The market’s concern did not focus on last year’s expansion. Revenue climbed to US$1.396 billion, marking a 79% increase, as e2open added US$541.2 million over 11 months results summary.

This marked a shift to modest growth. WiseTech forecast fiscal 2027 revenue at US$1.48 billion–US$1.54 billion, representing an increase of just 6%–10%.

US$ millionFY2025FY2026FY2027 guide
Revenue778.71,395.91,480–1,540
Underlying EBITDA413.9644.5725–780
Underlying EBITDA margin53%46%49%–51%
Statutory NPAT200.7178.7No outlook provided
Source: WiseTech FY2026 release; amounts reported in U.S. dollars.

CargoWise posted an 11% rise in revenue to US$756.9 million. The importance of this organic growth has grown, as the initial consolidation lift from e2open will not recur in the following year.

Profit quality showed mixed results. Underlying EBITDA increased by 56% to US$644.5 million, while the margin contracted by seven points to 46%.

Statutory net profit declined 11% to US$178.7 million. Higher interest expenses and amortisation of acquired assets largely countered the increase in operating profit.

Cash conversion provided backing. Underlying free cash flow increased by 67% to US$489.6 million, and net leverage stood at 2.7 times at the end of June.

Management is emphasising efficiency. WiseTech said it achieved annualised savings of US$115 million, with US$34 million attributed to its AI transformation investor centre.

Over 95% of CargoWise clients have transitioned to Value Packs. The number of new small-business agreements increased by roughly 55%, though these figures do not represent revenue projections.

Analyst sentiment ahead of the results was positive, with sixteen analysts maintaining Buy ratings and the consensus price target at A$65.16 in July consensus data.

The target suggests a 58.5% gain from Wednesday’s closing price. This could change following the updated outlook, so the spread is not a guaranteed figure.

“wtc asx” surfaced on the latest English-language trending topics list as investors considered higher revenue versus softer profit Google Trends monitor. The spike in search activity reflected an actual repricing rather than speculation.

Risks: A decline in freight volume may diminish transaction-based revenue. Delays in integration, heightened regulatory attention, or additional restructuring expenses could further postpone the anticipated margin rebound regulatory background.

The following valuation assessment is execution. WiseTech is required to translate a 6%–10% rise in sales into a 12%–21% increase in EBITDA, excluding the impact of another substantial acquisition step-up.

ASX:WTC · Company · Stock move

Growth slowed. The valuation reset.

Market data: 26 Aug 2026, 16:12 AEST
Financials: FY ended 30 Jun 2026
CloseA$41.10−9.6% · A$4.37
Quoted value erasedA$1.46bn333.43m shares × A$4.37
FY26 revenueUS$1.396bn+79% year on year
FY27 revenue guideUS$1.48–1.54bn+6% to +10%

The earnings bridge

Revenue+79%
Underlying EBITDA+56%
Free cash flow+43%
Statutory NPAT−11%
US$ millionFY25FY26FY27 guide
Revenue778.71,395.91,480–1,540
Underlying EBITDA413.9644.5725–780
Underlying margin53%46%49%–51%
Statutory NPAT200.7178.7

What drove attention

  • e2open: US$541.2m of revenue from 11 months of consolidation.
  • CargoWise: US$756.9m revenue, up 11%.
  • Cash: US$489.6m underlying free cash flow, up 67%.
  • Leverage: 2.7× net debt/EBITDA at 30 Jun 2026.
  • Efficiency: US$115m annualised run-rate savings.

Price reaction versus Tuesday's close

A$45.47 prior closeA$41.10 closeIllustrative intraday path; endpoints verified, 26 Aug 2026 AEST

Analyst expectations

A$65.16

Average target from 16 analysts, published before the FY26 result. Consensus: Buy. Implied upside from A$41.10: 58.5%.

11 Strong Buy2 Buy3 HoldJul 2026 snapshot

What can break the thesis

Revenue growth must reaccelerate after e2open's first-year step-up. Freight weakness can slow transaction revenue. Integration costs, regulatory scrutiny and restructuring may delay the 49%–51% FY27 margin target.

ACCC inquiryIntegrationFreight cycleExecution

Sources: WiseTech FY26 results and investor centre; ASX-market reporting; StockAnalysis S&P Global consensus. All company financials are in U.S. dollars unless stated. Market-value change is an estimate using reported shares outstanding.

Mateusz Kaczmarek

Mateusz Kaczmarek is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and artificial intelligence to semiconductors and developments across global markets. He graduated from the Poznań University of Economics and Business and worked in financial analysis before becoming a business journalist. Follow Mateusz Kaczmarek on Google News.

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