Germany’s two biggest listed utilities, E.ON and RWE, both reaffirmed their full‑year 2025 guidance today. E.ON posted higher nine‑month earnings on the back of heavy grid investment, while RWE beat profit expectations thanks to a one‑off gain from the sale of a UK data‑centre project and flagged a growing pipeline tied to AI infrastructure. Shares in RWE jumped to a fresh high in early trade. 1
Key takeaways
- E.ON kept its 2025 outlook and reported a 10% rise in nine‑month core profit, with investments up 8% as the group modernises and digitalises its networks. Management still guides to €9.6–€9.8 bn adjusted EBITDA for 2025. 1
- Company materials indicate 9M adjusted EBITDA of ~€7.4 bn (+10%) and adjusted net income of ~€2.3 bn (+4%), with networks the main earnings driver. 2
- RWE’s nine‑month adjusted EBITDA came in at €3.48 bn (‑13% y/y) but beat a €3.14 bn consensus after a €225 m book gain on a UK data‑centre project sale; the group sees at least 10 more data‑centre projects in Europe under assessment. 3
- RWE reiterated its 2025 guidance and dividend target, underscoring confidence despite lower wind volumes and normalising trading. 4
- RWE shares climbed at the open to €44.42 (+3.45%), setting a new 52‑week high on Wednesday. 5
E.ON: grid spending keeps the earnings engine humming
E.ON — Europe’s largest operator of energy networks — said nine‑month investments rose about 8%, helping lift core profit by 10% year‑on‑year. The group reconfirmed 2025 adjusted EBITDA of €9.6–€9.8 bn, with management highlighting that the strategy of “massive” infrastructure investment is paying off. 1
A more detailed breakdown from company and market summaries shows adjusted EBITDA of ~€7.4 bn for January–September (+10%) and adjusted net income of ~€2.3 bn (+4%), with electricity networks again the main profit driver and capital expenditure around €5.1 bn in the period. 6
Why it matters: E.ON’s regulated‑asset base continues to grow as Germany and neighbouring markets upgrade grids to connect renewables and handle new demand from electrification. That visibility underpins the reiterated outlook despite higher depreciation and financing costs. 1
RWE: data‑centre deal beats forecasts — and points to an AI‑driven tailwind
RWE reported nine‑month adjusted EBITDA of €3.48 bn, down 13% year‑on‑year but above analyst expectations of ~€3.14 bn, mainly due to a €225 m one‑off gain from selling a UK data‑centre project on a former coal‑plant site to a large cloud provider. Shares rose as much as 4.6% to their highest level since April 2011 on the news. 3
Management said around 10 additional data‑centre projects in Europe are being explored, alongside potential power‑purchase agreements with hyperscalers—a sign of how RWE can monetise legacy sites with strong grid connections as AI infrastructure scales up. The company also reaffirmed its full‑year guidance and dividend target. 3
Why it matters: The AI and cloud computing boom is lifting electricity demand, particularly for high‑density data centres that need secure grid access and abundant low‑carbon power. German business daily coverage this week underscored how investors have rewarded RWE’s pivot from coal toward green generation as data‑centre growth accelerates. 7
Market reaction on Nov 12, 2025
By late morning in Germany, RWE traded around €44.4 (+3.45%), marking a fresh 52‑week peak. The move tracked the company’s guidance confirmation and the data‑centre update. E.ON’s confirmation of its outlook and rising investment program supported sentiment across the utilities complex. 5
What to watch next
- More data‑centre site deals: RWE’s pipeline of European projects could unlock further asset sales or long‑term PPAs as hyperscalers race to secure power and grid capacity. 3
- Regulatory returns and grid frameworks: E.ON’s earnings trajectory hinges on allowed returns and cost‑recovery mechanisms as grid capex ramps; any change in regulatory settings remains a key risk. 1
- Wind resource normalisation: RWE flagged the drag from lower wind volumes this year; recovery in wind conditions and commissioning of new assets are swing factors for 2026–2027. 3
Bottom line
On Wednesday, Nov 12, 2025, E.ON and RWE delivered what investors wanted: no surprises on guidance and tangible proof that grid and green‑power strategies are translating into resilient earnings. For RWE, the AI‑data‑centre angle now looks more structural than cyclical; for E.ON, steady grid investment remains the backbone of growth. That mix kept both utilities on track for 2025—and kept RWE’s share price climbing to new highs. 1
Sources: Reuters dispatches and company/market materials published on Nov 12, 2025, plus recent German press analysis on the AI‑driven demand story. 1
