Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE) heads into Tuesday, December 16, 2025 with a familiar “big pharma” cocktail of catalysts: an imminent guidance event, a high dividend yield, fresh dealmaking in hot therapeutic areas (immunology and obesity), and a regulatory backdrop that can flip sentiment faster than a lab centrifuge.
Shares closed Monday at $26.43, up 2.24%, extending a four-session winning streak, according to MarketWatch. MarketWatch On the data side, Pfizer’s own calendar is the center of gravity: the company is scheduled to host an 8:00 a.m. EST analyst call today to provide full-year 2026 financial guidance. 1
Below is what’s driving Pfizer stock on 16.12.2025, what Wall Street is forecasting heading into the guidance call, and the news flow investors are using to frame 2026 expectations.
Pfizer stock price check: where PFE stands heading into the guidance event
Pfizer shares were last indicated around $26.43 in widely distributed market data early Tuesday (UTC timestamp), essentially reflecting Monday’s close. MarketWatch Data aggregators put Pfizer’s 52-week range roughly in the low $20s to the high $20s (with $20.92–$27.69 cited by one consensus page), underscoring how tight the stock has traded relative to its pandemic-era boom and post-boom hangover. 2
That range matters because guidance days often act like “volatility unlocks” for slow-moving, high-dividend large caps: small changes in revenue/EPS outlook can translate into outsized moves when the market is trying to decide whether a stock belongs in the “steady income” bucket or the “structural decline” bucket.
The big catalyst on Dec. 16: Pfizer’s full-year 2026 financial guidance call
Pfizer has told investors to expect a webcasted analyst call today (Tuesday, Dec. 16, 2025) at 8:00 a.m. EST, explicitly to provide full-year 2026 financial guidance. 1
What investors typically listen for in a guidance call like this (beyond the headline revenue and adjusted EPS ranges):
- Slope of the “post-COVID reset”: whether management signals stabilization or continued drag from COVID-related products.
- Cost discipline and reinvestment pace: especially how savings translate into margins versus pipeline funding.
- Capital allocation: dividend posture, any buyback language, and how much balance sheet flexibility remains after recent M&A.
Pfizer has also noted that a transcript and replay will be posted within 24 hours after the call ends, which often becomes the “second wave” catalyst when analysts and quant models parse wording changes. 3
Wall Street forecasts for Pfizer stock: what analysts are modeling ahead of guidance
LSEG/Lipper-style earnings expectations (near-term and full-year)
A Reuters-sourced market note circulating Tuesday cited LSEG data showing analysts expecting Q1 2026 EPS of $0.77 and full-year 2026 EPS of $3.05. TradingView
Those numbers function as the “bar to clear” in today’s call: guidance above that range can re-rate sentiment; guidance below it tends to revive the bear case.
Price targets and ratings: “Hold” vibes with upside skew
Consensus snapshots differ by provider, but the broad picture is consistent: Pfizer is widely covered, not universally loved, and priced for skepticism.
- Investing.com’s consensus page shows an average 12‑month price target near $28.87 (about +9% upside from ~$26.43), and describes a mix of holds and buys across ~two dozen analysts. 2
- MarketBeat’s consensus is slightly more conservative, listing an average target around $28.22 and a consensus rating of Hold, based on its methodology. 4
Recent notable analyst actions (December cadence)
From the same consensus tables, several late-2025 updates stand out as context going into 2026 guidance:
- Morgan Stanley: shown maintaining a Hold/Equalweight-style stance with a target around $28 (action dated Dec. 12, 2025). 2
- BMO Capital: displayed with a Buy and a target around $30 (action dated Dec. 10, 2025). 2
- Guggenheim: displayed with a Buy and a higher target around $35 (action dated Dec. 9, 2025). 2
- Citi: shown initiating/new coverage with a Hold and a target around $26 (action dated Dec. 2, 2025). 2
The meta-message: analysts see Pfizer as not broken, but also not yet a clean growth story—hence the valuation anchored by the dividend and “prove it” guidance.
Today’s news flow around Pfizer stock: what changed (or is changing) on 16.12.2025
Even before the guidance call, several items in the tape are shaping how investors frame Pfizer’s 2026 setup.
1) New deal flow in immunology: Adaptive Biotechnologies partnership (up to $890M)
A Reuters report dated in the last 24 hours says Adaptive Biotechnologies signed two non-exclusive agreements with Pfizer tied to rheumatoid arthritis and immune-related disease research, with Adaptive eligible to earn up to $890 million across upfront and milestones. Pfizer also licensed access to Adaptive’s T‑cell receptor database to support AI-driven drug discovery, per the report. 5
For Pfizer stock, this is less about near-term revenue and more about narrative: it reinforces a strategy of augmenting R&D with external platforms and datasets, particularly in immunology—an area where “find the right target” is often the hard part.
2) A quieter “market story” item: institutional positioning headlines
A MarketBeat item published today flagged a small institutional position update (Caldwell Trust Co.). These are rarely primary movers, but they do reflect how “income + optionality” pharma names remain on the radar for allocators—especially in choppy macro tape. 6
3) Monday’s stock move sets the stage
MarketWatch’s Monday recap emphasized Pfizer’s outperformance on a down-ish market day, with volume below its 50‑day average and the stock still below its 52‑week high. MarketWatch
This kind of setup often feeds a “run-up into guidance” dynamic—where the real question becomes whether management validates the optimism.
The recent catalyst stack investors are bringing into the 2026 guidance call
Pfizer’s guidance won’t land in a vacuum. The company has been actively reshaping its story across oncology, metabolic disease, and cost structure.
Obesity strategy: licensing GLP‑1 candidate from China’s YaoPharma
On Dec. 9, Reuters reported Pfizer entered an exclusive licensing agreement with YaoPharma (a unit of Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical) for YP05002, an oral GLP‑1 weight-management candidate in early-stage development. The deal includes $150 million upfront and up to $1.94 billion in milestones, plus tiered royalties. 7
Why this matters for PFE stock: obesity is one of the market’s most coveted profit pools, and Pfizer has been trying to rebuild credibility here after prior GLP‑1 setbacks (Reuters noted discontinuations tied to safety concerns). Reuters
Barron’s also pointed to a growing political spotlight on U.S. pharma partnerships with Chinese biotechs—an additional “headline risk layer” around such deals. 8
Oncology pipeline momentum: Tukysa data in HER2+ metastatic breast cancer
On Dec. 10, Pfizer released detailed Phase 3 HER2CLIMB‑05 results for TUKYSA (tucatinib) in a first-line maintenance regimen for HER2+ metastatic breast cancer. Pfizer reported median progression-free survival of 24.9 months vs. 16.3 months (an 8.6‑month improvement) and a 36% reduction in risk of progression or death versus control. Pfizer
Reuters also highlighted the same clinical theme via its Health Rounds coverage. 9
This isn’t just scientific bragging rights—it affects the 2026 commercial conversation (uptake, label expansion ambitions, and oncology portfolio durability).
Cost cutting: Switzerland job reductions as part of a broader savings push
On Dec. 10, Reuters reported Pfizer planned to cut 200+ jobs in Switzerland, reducing headcount there from around 300 to roughly 70 by year-end, tied to a multi-year cost reduction program targeting about $7.7 billion in cost cuts by the end of 2027. Reuters
Industry coverage echoed the same headcount trajectory and framed it as another step in Pfizer’s effort to re-normalize margins after pandemic-driven revenue declines. 10
For investors, cost programs matter most when guidance makes clear how much of the savings are structural (permanent) versus one-time.
Dividend watch: Pfizer’s yield remains a central part of the bull case
Pfizer declared a $0.43 per share first-quarter 2026 dividend, payable March 6, 2026 to shareholders of record Jan. 23, 2026, and described it as the company’s 349th consecutive quarterly dividend. 11
This dividend profile is why Pfizer often trades like a hybrid: part “bond proxy,” part “pipeline option.” When growth is unclear, the payout becomes the anchor—especially if guidance signals stability.
Policy and regulatory uncertainty: COVID vaccine headlines that investors are tracking
Pfizer’s COVID vaccine business is no longer the company’s growth engine, but policy and safety headlines can still whipsaw sentiment because they influence residual demand and reputational risk.
- On Dec. 12, Reuters reported on a CNN story claiming the FDA intended to pursue a black box warning for COVID vaccines, tied to myocarditis-related concerns and ongoing investigations. 12
- On Dec. 15, Reuters reported a Bloomberg update saying the FDA had no plans to add a black box warning—the opposite direction—while noting continued investigation into possible vaccine-related deaths. 13
Meanwhile, Pfizer has publicly defended the safety and efficacy profile of its COVID-19 vaccines in prior communications, stressing transparency and posted resources. 14
For Pfizer stock, this is best understood as uncertainty risk: not necessarily a direct earnings driver in 2026, but a contributor to investor caution—especially around guidance language on vaccine demand assumptions.
What to watch in Pfizer’s 2026 guidance: the “scorecard” investors will use
Because the call is explicitly about full-year 2026 guidance, the market’s reaction will likely hinge on whether Pfizer can align three storylines:
- Earnings power vs. expectations
Does management guide in a way that supports (or exceeds) the FY 2026 EPS expectations around $3.05 cited from LSEG consensus? 15 - Pipeline credibility
Does Pfizer connect recent clinical momentum (like Tukysa’s HER2CLIMB‑05 data) to tangible commercialization expectations without overpromising? 16 - Strategic execution and discipline
Do cost actions (including the Switzerland reduction) translate into a cleaner margin story, and do partnerships (Adaptive in immunology; YaoPharma in obesity) look like coherent strategy rather than “deal noise”? 17
Bottom line for Pfizer stock on Dec. 16, 2025
As of 16.12.2025, Pfizer stock is trading in a zone where guidance clarity matters more than hype. The company has delivered a steady stream of “strategic ingredients” in recent days—pipeline data, platform partnerships, and cost actions—while the market remains anchored by the dividend and cautious analyst positioning.
The next decisive datapoint is straightforward: what Pfizer says today about 2026 revenue, EPS, costs, and capital return, and how that stacks up against the Street’s baseline expectations. 1
