NEW YORK, Dec. 27, 2025, 10:51 p.m. ET — Market closed
Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) heads into the final week of 2025 with investors balancing a powerful year-to-date run against a choppy, headline-sensitive tape and the thin liquidity that often defines late-December trading. HOOD shares finished Friday, Dec. 26 at $118.13, down 1.92% on the day, after trading between $117.70 and $121.03. [1]
That slip came as U.S. equities cooled in a quiet, post-holiday session that snapped a short winning streak—more “pause” than “panic,” according to market strategists watching the year-end “Santa Claus rally” window. [2]
Robinhood stock price today: where HOOD left off before the weekend
Friday’s move in HOOD had two features worth highlighting for anyone prepping for Monday’s open:
- Down day, low participation: Volume was roughly 12.7 million shares, and one market recap noted trading activity running well below the stock’s typical pace. [3]
- High-beta behavior: Robinhood remains a higher-volatility name (often moving more than the broader market), so late-year “risk on/risk off” shifts can be amplified in HOOD. [4]
The broader market backdrop: “catching our breath” heading into the last sessions of 2025
Friday’s market tone matters for Robinhood because the company’s results and sentiment are closely tied to investor activity—especially in options and crypto. In Reuters’ recap of the session, Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, described the day as the market “catching our breath” after a strong five-day rally and said he still expects “a little more upward bias going forward” during the Santa-rally window. [5]
Whether that seasonal pattern plays out or fizzles, it can influence the kind of activity that tends to lift or weigh on Robinhood: retail participation, risk appetite, and trading velocity.
The last 24–48 hours: what’s actually new on Robinhood (HOOD)
With markets closed for the weekend and the calendar nearing year-end, the truly fresh HOOD-specific news flow has been more analysis than breaking corporate updates. Here are the notable items published in roughly the past two days:
1) HOOD’s Friday dip (and what it signaled about liquidity)
A widely circulated market note focused on Robinhood’s ~1.9% decline Friday and highlighted the below-average volume dynamic—important because thin trading can exaggerate price swings and create gaps into the next session. [6]
2) Bull case analysis: growth, monetization, and platform expansion
In a Dec. 26 piece, Motley Fool contributor Leo Sun argued that Robinhood’s multi-year revenue growth, expanding user base, and ecosystem initiatives could support a premium valuation—while also noting the stock can look “pricey” depending on the lens used. [7]
3) Cautionary analysis: dependence on hot markets (options/crypto) remains a core risk
A separate Motley Fool analysis by Chris Neiger emphasized that Robinhood’s momentum has benefited from strong market conditions, but warned the company is highly exposed to a slowdown in trading appetite—particularly in higher-risk areas like options and cryptocurrencies. [8]
Together, these pieces frame the current debate around HOOD: Is this a durable, scaled financial platform story—or a cycle-sensitive trading proxy wearing a fintech costume? (It can be both, depending on the quarter.)
The fundamentals investors keep coming back to
Even though the past 48 hours didn’t bring a major Robinhood press release, investors are still anchoring on the company’s most recent reported momentum—especially its ability to convert market activity into profitability.
Q3 2025: record revenue and sharply higher profitability
In its third-quarter 2025 results, Robinhood reported: record net revenues of $1.27 billion (up 100% year over year) and net income of $556 million, alongside diluted EPS of $0.61. The company highlighted strong transaction-based revenue—driven by crypto and options—and continued growth in interest-related revenue streams. [9]
A key takeaway for many investors: Robinhood has been proving it can generate substantial earnings in a favorable market regime—especially when trading engagement is high.
November 2025 monthly metrics: assets, deposits, and trading volumes
The company’s latest monthly operating snapshot (released Dec. 10) showed:
- Funded customers:26.9 million at end of November (down modestly month-over-month, but up year over year; the report also notes required escheatment impacts).
- Total platform assets:~$325 billion at end of November (down month-over-month, up sharply year over year).
- Net deposits:$7.1 billion in November.
- Options activity:193.2 million contracts in November (up year over year).
- Margin balances:$16.8 billion at end of November (up year over year). [10]
Those datapoints matter because they connect directly to the “engine room” of Robinhood’s revenue model: customer assets, deposits, and trading velocity.
Analyst forecasts and targets: the Street still sees upside—just not unanimously
Consensus views on HOOD remain broadly constructive, but the spread between targets underscores how differently analysts model market-cycle risk.
- TipRanks shows an average 12-month price target of $153, with forecasts ranging from $68 to $181, based on analysts’ published targets in recent months. [11]
- TradingView lists a price target around $155.33, with a cited range of $92 to $180, and an overall analyst rating characterized as “buy” based on recent ratings activity. [12]
- MarketBeat reports a lower consensus target price of about $137.30 and summarizes a mix of buys/holds/sell in its aggregated view. [13]
Why targets vary so much
The difference usually comes down to two questions:
- How persistent is trading intensity (options/crypto/equities) into 2026?
- How much of Robinhood’s growth is structural (product breadth, deposits, interest revenue, subscriptions, international/institutional expansion) versus cyclical?
Earnings timing: the next big catalyst—and the date isn’t fully settled
The next earnings report is shaping up as the next major “price discovery” event for HOOD. Several market calendars list the next report in mid-February 2026, but the exact date varies by provider:
- Nasdaq’s earnings page shows an estimated earnings date of Feb. 11, 2026 (algorithm-based). [14]
- MarketBeat also describes Feb. 11, 2026 as an estimate and notes the company has not confirmed. [15]
- TipRanks lists a different February date on its earnings page. [16]
On expectations, Barchart’s compiled estimates show consensus-style projections (including a current-quarter EPS estimate around the high-$0.50s and longer-range fiscal estimates). [17]
From a volatility standpoint, one options-data dashboard lists implied volatility around ~51% for HOOD. [18]
What investors should know before the next session (Monday, Dec. 29)
Because the Nasdaq stock exchange is closed for the weekend, the setup for Monday is less about minute-to-minute trading and more about gap risk—how much new information (or repositioning) gets priced in at the open.
1) Holiday-week liquidity can cut both ways
Late December often brings thinner liquidity and “window dressing” behavior. That can make a high-beta stock like HOOD more sensitive to index moves, mega-cap swings, and sentiment shifts—especially in the first hour of Monday’s session.
2) Know the holiday schedule ahead
Investors planning positions around year-end should keep the upcoming holiday mechanics in mind:
- Stocks trade a full day on New Year’s Eve (Dec. 31), per Investopedia’s schedule recap.
- U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on New Year’s Day (Jan. 1, 2026). [19]
3) Watch the economic calendar, even in a “quiet” week
Even modest macro releases can move rates and risk sentiment during thin trading. One calendar preview flags Pending Home Sales (10:00 a.m. ET Monday) among the scheduled items early next week. [20]
Meanwhile, an earnings preview notes the coming week is relatively light on major corporate reports—another reason macro and flows can play an outsized role. [21]
4) HOOD-specific “watch list” items for Monday
- Crypto tape over the weekend: Robinhood’s transaction-based revenue has been materially influenced by crypto activity in recent quarters. [22]
- Options sentiment: Options engagement is a meaningful driver of platform revenue and investor perception of Robinhood’s “risk appetite” exposure. [23]
- Key reference levels: Friday’s low (~$117.70) and the prior close (~$120.44) can act as near-term markers, while the stock’s 52-week high (~$153.86) remains the psychological “ceiling” many traders reference when debating upside. [24]
Bottom line: HOOD heads into the final week of 2025 with optimism—and real cycle risk
Robinhood stock enters Monday’s session after a modest pullback on Friday and amid a market that’s pausing to digest year-end gains. In the past 24–48 hours, the most prominent HOOD coverage has centered on that tension: strong operating momentum and bullish price targets on one side, and sensitivity to market activity—especially options and crypto—on the other. [25]
For investors, the most practical playbook into Monday is simple: treat HOOD like what it often is in real trading—a fast-reacting read on retail engagement and risk appetite—and plan accordingly for thin year-end liquidity, scheduled macro data, and the next earnings catalyst on the horizon. [26]
References
1. stockanalysis.com, 2. www.reuters.com, 3. stockanalysis.com, 4. www.marketbeat.com, 5. www.reuters.com, 6. www.marketbeat.com, 7. www.fool.com, 8. www.fool.com, 9. www.globenewswire.com, 10. www.nasdaq.com, 11. www.tipranks.com, 12. www.tradingview.com, 13. www.marketbeat.com, 14. www.nasdaq.com, 15. www.marketbeat.com, 16. www.tipranks.com, 17. www.barchart.com, 18. www.barchart.com, 19. www.investopedia.com, 20. www.marketwatch.com, 21. www.kiplinger.com, 22. www.globenewswire.com, 23. www.globenewswire.com, 24. stockanalysis.com, 25. www.fool.com, 26. www.reuters.com
