Shopify stock dips as year-end trading turns defensive; rates back in focus for SHOP

Shopify stock dips as year-end trading turns defensive; rates back in focus for SHOP

NEW YORK, December 31, 2025, 19:41 ET — After-hours

Shopify Inc shares fell 1.7% to $160.97 on Wednesday, as investors trimmed some high-growth exposure on the final trading day of 2025. The stock traded between $160.75 and $163.83 and is about 12% below its 52-week high, according to the company’s investor relations quote. Shopify Investors

The decline lands as markets head into a holiday break, with U.S. exchanges closed on Thursday for New Year’s Day and set to reopen on Friday. Thin holiday volume can amplify day-to-day moves, particularly in higher-volatility technology names. MarketWatch

Shopify is often sensitive to changes in interest-rate expectations because much of its valuation rests on cash flows further out. Higher Treasury yields — interest rates paid on U.S. government debt — can pressure growth stocks by lifting borrowing costs and the discount rates used in valuations.

Wall Street’s major indexes also finished lower, with the S&P 500 down 0.74%, the Nasdaq off 0.76% and the Dow down 0.63%, according to Reuters. “It’s perfectly fine in any bull market to have moments of cost,” said Giuseppe Sette, co-founder and president of Reflexivity, pointing to profit-taking when liquidity is low. Reuters

Treasury yields moved higher after a labor market report showed fewer applications for unemployment benefits, and the benchmark 10-year yield rose to 4.163%, Reuters reported. Reuters

Other e-commerce and online commerce names were mixed in late trading. Amazon shares fell about 0.7%, while Etsy and Wix edged higher.

Shopify sells software and services that help merchants run online storefronts, handle payments and manage fulfillment. Investors often treat it as a read-through on online spending and merchant activity.

The next focal point for Shopify is the holiday quarter’s results and any commentary on costs. In its last earnings update on Nov. 4, Shopify forecast holiday-quarter revenue growth in the mid-to-high twenties percentage range, but said higher operating expenses were weighing on margins as it invested in artificial intelligence features and marketing. Reuters

When the company reports, traders are likely to home in on gross merchandise volume, or GMV — the total value of goods sold through Shopify’s platform — as a gauge of merchant activity. Investors also watch Shopify’s “take rate,” a shorthand for how much revenue it captures per dollar of GMV, driven by services like payments.

Costs will be just as important as demand. Operating expenses that grow faster than revenue can squeeze margins even when sales momentum is solid, a pressure point for stocks that command premium valuations.

With trading set to resume on Friday, rate moves and broader risk appetite are likely to remain key near-term drivers. For Shopify, any fresh guidance signals — particularly on expense growth tied to AI and marketing — could set the tone for early 2026.

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