BYD Stock Faces Shenzhen Reopen Test After 2025 Sales Growth Hits 5-Year Low

BYD Stock Faces Shenzhen Reopen Test After 2025 Sales Growth Hits 5-Year Low

NEW YORK, January 3, 2026, 08:11 ET — Market closed

  • BYD (002594.SZ) last closed down 2.04% at 97.72 yuan on Dec. 31.
  • A Jan. 1 filing showed 2025 sales rose 7.73%, while December sales fell 18.3% from a year earlier.
  • Investors are watching whether overseas growth can offset fierce competition at home when trading resumes.

BYD’s Shenzhen-listed shares last closed down 2.04% at 97.72 yuan on Dec. 31, the final session before mainland markets paused for the New Year break. 1

That pause matters now because BYD is the marquee name in China’s electric-vehicle boom, and its sales momentum is treated as a read-through on demand and pricing pressure across the sector.

The update also lands as the global EV pecking order shifts, with BYD’s scale putting more attention on whether Chinese brands can keep expanding abroad without sacrificing profitability.

The Shenzhen Stock Exchange is closed for New Year’s Day on Jan. 1 and an additional holiday on Jan. 2, according to a market holiday calendar, pushing the next onshore session to Jan. 5 after the weekend. 2

In a stock filing on Thursday, BYD said sales rose 7.73% in 2025 to 4.6 million vehicles, meeting its reduced target, while December sales fell 18.3% from a year earlier for a fourth straight monthly decline. BYD said overseas sales jumped 150.7% to a record 1,046,083 vehicles in 2025 and it aimed to sell up to 1.6 million cars outside China in 2026; battery-electric vehicle sales, which run solely on electricity, rose 27.9% to 2.26 million. 3

The market’s first clean look at the numbers will come when Shenzhen reopens, with traders weighing whether the December drop signals a deeper slowdown in domestic demand or a temporary air pocket after months of bruising competition.

BYD’s nearest domestic challengers have been pushing hard in lower-priced models, forcing the whole segment into a feature-and-discount contest that can grow volumes while squeezing margins.

Global comparisons are also in play after Tesla reported 2025 deliveries of 1.64 million vehicles following a fourth-quarter miss against expectations. “The decline in deliveries was not a major surprise, given the market had already priced in weaker demand after U.S. EV tax credits ended,” said Seth Goldstein, senior equity research analyst at Morningstar. 4

For BYD investors, that backdrop cuts both ways: winning the volume race can build share, but equity holders typically want proof that scale is translating into durable cash generation.

Any fresh pricing moves in China — by BYD or peers — could quickly reset expectations for first-quarter demand and profitability, especially if buyers continue to wait for the next discount cycle.

Before the next Shenzhen session, traders are likely to focus on how far the stock can hold above the high-90s and whether it can reclaim the round-number 100-yuan level, a common technical marker.

The next scheduled hard catalyst after the holiday reopening is BYD’s earnings release on March 31, with investors expected to scrutinize margins, export mix and guidance signals for 2026. 5

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