New York, Jan 5, 2026, 13:28 EST — Regular session
- Nike shares were up about 2.5% at $64.89 in afternoon trading.
- BTIG named Nike its top large-cap consumer pick for 2026 with a $100 price target; UBS kept a Neutral rating and a $62 target.
- Traders are looking ahead to Nike’s next quarterly report, estimated for March 19.
Nike, Inc. (NKE) shares rose about 2.5% to $64.89 on Monday, after fresh analyst commentary highlighted improving brand signals and a 2026 catalyst set. The stock traded between $63.27 and $65.36 in the session.
The notes matter because investors are trying to gauge whether Nike’s turnaround is gaining traction early in 2026, after a period of uneven demand and margin pressure. Wall Street is watching for signs that product refreshes and tighter distribution can lift sales without forcing deeper discounts.
For traders, the near-term debate is timing. A long-dated recovery story does little for a stock if the next couple of quarters show weak pricing power or slow-moving inventories.
BTIG analyst Robert Drbul named Nike his top large-cap consumer pick for 2026 and set a $100 price target — an analyst’s estimate of where a stock could trade over the next year. He pointed to Nike’s product pipeline and a boost from the 2026 World Cup, and said Nike could ultimately lift operating margin — operating profit as a share of sales — back above 12% from around 6.5% in 2025. 1
UBS struck a more cautious tone, keeping a Neutral rating and a $62 price target after its latest global sportswear survey showed Nike’s brand remains strong and is improving year on year, the bank said. UBS added that the turnaround could take longer than current market expectations. 2
Nike’s gains came as Wall Street rallied more broadly, with the S&P 500 up about 0.7% and the Nasdaq up about 0.9%, and consumer-discretionary stocks leading the move. Investors were also bracing for upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls data as a gauge for the Federal Reserve’s next steps. 3
Nike is still trying to repair margins while defending market share against rivals such as On and Hoka owner Deckers. In its last quarterly update, Nike said gross margin fell 300 basis points — three percentage points — and CFO Matthew Friend said U.S. tariffs on key sourcing regions would cost about $1.5 billion this year; sales in China fell 17%. “It is a concern that the China results continue to be so poor,” Morningstar analyst David Swartz said. 4
But bullish targets rest on execution. If the inventory clean-up stretches into spring and tariffs keep biting, Nike may struggle to show the margin rebound that optimistic models assume, even if survey work points to resilient brand demand.
Investors now look to Nike’s next results — market calendars estimate an after-close report on March 19 — for updates on holiday-quarter demand, China trends and whether channel changes are easing pressure on gross margin. 5
