NEW YORK, Jan 27, 2026, 05:37 EST — Premarket
- IonQ shares climbed 3.8% in premarket action following Monday’s steep decline
- Investors are weighing the cash-and-stock mix to gauge potential dilution impact
- Coming soon: SEC filings, a SkyWater shareholder vote, and IonQ’s year-end update next month
IonQ shares climbed 3.8% to $45.01 in premarket trading Tuesday, regaining some ground after an 8.2% drop the day before. The stock’s been volatile since the quantum-computing company announced plans to acquire U.S. chip foundry SkyWater Technology in a roughly $1.8 billion deal. 1
IonQ announced Monday that its cash-and-stock deal will bring semiconductor manufacturing under its own roof, aiming to tighten control over a supply chain it calls vital as it ramps up work with federal and defense clients. The company also suggested this move might accelerate testing of its targeted 200,000-qubit chips by 2028; a qubit is the fundamental data unit in quantum computing. 2
This matters because hardware timelines are now the dividing line for the entire quantum sector. Investors are willing to back progress, but they pull back fast if the timeline stretches or costs balloon—especially once a company mentions owning heavy industrial assets.
SkyWater shareholders will receive $15 in cash plus $20 in IonQ stock per share. The stock portion is based on a 20-day volume-weighted average price and includes a collar to limit IonQ shares issued if its stock price swings dramatically. IonQ CEO Niccolo de Masi described the deal as a “transformational acquisition” that will “secure its fully scalable supply chain domestically.” SkyWater CEO Thomas Sonderman assured that the foundry remains “fully committed” to current customers. The companies aim to close the transaction in Q2 or Q3 of 2026 and plan a joint investor event that third quarter. 3
IonQ closed Monday at $43.37, after hitting a high of $50.59 and a low of $42.84, with about 39 million shares changing hands, according to StockAnalysis data. The sharp intraday swing reignited the familiar debate in this space: will the next “strategic” move bring another round of dilution? 4
A Form 8-K filing revealed that the boards of both firms have signed off on the merger agreement. It also detailed the steps to close, including filing an S-4 registration statement and a proxy statement/prospectus aimed at SkyWater shareholders. According to the filing, the deal still requires SkyWater shareholder approval and regulatory green lights. 5
IonQ dialed up expectations, directing investors to its near-term outlook and forecasting full-year 2025 revenue at the top end—or even beyond—its prior $106 million to $110 million guidance. The company’s fourth-quarter report next month should clarify how much of that growth comes from organic gains versus acquisitions.
Traders will be keeping an eye on the collar math and how the financing shapes up. While the collar caps extreme swings, the final share count can still shift with IonQ’s stock price right up to closing — and the cash portion involves actual funds that need to be secured.
The risk is clear: running a foundry isn’t like handling software. If integration drags, costs climb, or chip iteration times stall, the market could quickly revert to fundamentals — losses, cash burn, and the looming need for another capital raise — instead of focusing on the 2028 plan.
Looking ahead to the next session and the week to come, focus turns to process and paperwork: the timing of the S-4 filing, the SkyWater shareholder vote, and any new details on deal conditions. After that, investors will watch IonQ’s earnings report next month and the joint investor event the companies aim to hold in the third quarter of 2026.
