Sydney, January 28, 2026, 17:28 AEDT — Market closed
Telstra Group Ltd (TLS.AX) slid 0.41% to close at A$4.81 on Wednesday, yet it stayed among the most actively traded stocks by value on the Australian exchange. Roughly A$87.5 million worth of Telstra shares exchanged hands, ranking it within the ASX’s top 20 for value traded that day. 1
This matters because Telstra is a popular pick for income and steady returns, making it vulnerable when rate expectations shift. Rising bond yields often push investors to seek higher returns from dividend stocks or switch to other assets.
Rate-sensitive sectors dipped after the inflation report, with telecom stocks notably softer. Market Index showed telecommunications falling roughly 0.7% in afternoon trading as the CPI figure shifted the rates narrative. 2
Australia’s trimmed mean CPI, a core measure that excludes volatile price changes, climbed 0.9% in the December quarter, pushing the yearly rate to 3.4%, above the Reserve Bank of Australia’s 2%–3% target, official figures revealed. Interest-rate swaps, used by traders to hedge and speculate on policy shifts, showed a 73% probability of a rate hike at the RBA’s February 3 meeting, according to Reuters; a 25 basis point increase would raise the cash rate by 0.25 percentage points. “Demand is running ahead of supply,” said Adam Boyton, ANZ’s head of Australian economics. EY’s chief economist Cherelle Murphy called the move “a single ‘insurance’ tightening,” underscoring the clear case for tighter policy. 3
The S&P/ASX 200 index closed 0.09% lower at 8,933.9, retreating from earlier gains as the inflation surprise weighed on sentiment. The Australian dollar dipped below 70 U.S. cents, pulling back from three-year highs hit earlier, ABC reported. 4
Telstra slipped after a solid previous day, where it climbed roughly 2.3%, boosting the telecommunications sector, Market Index noted in its end-of-day summary for Tuesday’s trading. 5
Looking ahead, traders will watch bond yields and rate pricing closely, while also tracking how defensive stocks respond if rates start to firm up. Telstra’s price has held steady recently, yet it remains vulnerable to shifts when the market recalibrates borrowing costs.
The downside is evident. Should the RBA turn more hawkish than priced in—or if inflation remains stubborn, prompting further tightening—high-dividend stocks might lag, even absent company-specific setbacks. Meanwhile, ongoing competition and pricing pressures in telecoms remain a persistent threat that could resurface swiftly.
Telstra investors should watch for the half-year results coming Thursday, February 19. Key dividend dates follow quickly: the stock goes ex-dividend Wednesday, February 25, with payment set for Friday, March 27. 6
