New York, Jan 30, 2026, 06:01 EST — Premarket
- Dow futures slipped as the White House prepared to announce the next Fed chair.
- Traders were still processing the tech selloff driven by Microsoft on Thursday.
- Up next: ISM factory data Monday, followed by the U.S. jobs report on Feb. 6.
Dow futures dropped Friday as investors braced for President Donald Trump’s pick for the next Federal Reserve chair—a move that could swiftly shift interest-rate expectations. By 04:51 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 456 points, or 0.93%, while S&P 500 E-minis slid 1.04% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis fell 1.31%. Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Wealth Club, noted that Kevin Warsh has “recently been publicly advocating for a fresh cut in interest rates,” but also cautioned his past views suggest he might “hold the line” if inflation heats up again. 1
Why it matters now: The Fed chair shapes the policy discussion and signals how aggressively the central bank may tackle inflation. In a market that reacts to every yield move, even hints of a more dovish or cautious Fed can quickly rattle rate-sensitive stocks.
Thursday’s trading highlighted just how jittery investors have become. The Dow added 55.96 points, or 0.11%, closing at 49,071.56, even as the S&P 500 dipped 0.13% and the Nasdaq dropped 0.72%. Microsoft’s 10% plunge reignited skepticism about whether Big Tech’s AI bets will pay off anytime soon. “There are all sorts of storm clouds in the background,” noted John Praveen, managing director and co-CIO at Paleo Leon. 2
The Fed kept its federal funds rate target steady Wednesday, holding the range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent. Inflation is still described as “somewhat elevated,” and the statement flagged “uncertainty” about the future. Notably, two voting members pushed for a 25 basis point cut at the meeting, according to the statement. 3
Dow watchers face a tricky blend: Fed chair politics, persistent inflation talk from the central bank, and earnings that punish even the slightest signs of margin squeeze or slower growth. Since the Dow is price-weighted, sharp moves in a few high-priced stocks can tilt the index, even if the wider market barely budges.
Weekly jobless claims slipped to 209,000 in the most recent report. Meanwhile, another release revealed the U.S. trade deficit surged in November due to a jump in imports, highlighting the uneven nature of growth and inflation signals. 4
The risk is straightforward: if Trump’s nominee appears less independent or more accepting of inflation, Treasury yields might rise again, putting pressure on stocks—tech in particular, already struggling with heavy capital spending. An unexpected pick or a rocky confirmation battle could trigger another surge in volatility.
Investors will be focused on Trump’s announcement later Friday, followed by Monday’s ISM manufacturing report, which drops at 10:00 a.m. EST on the first business day of the month. Then comes the Employment Situation report for January, scheduled for release on Feb. 6 at 8:30 a.m. ET. 5
