New York, Jan 30, 2026, 06:22 EST — Premarket
- Freddie Mac’s latest weekly survey showed the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate ticked up by one basis point to 6.10% from last week.
- The Mortgage Bankers Association reported an 8.5% drop in mortgage applications last week, while refinancing slid 16% amid rising rates.
- UWM Holdings dropped 3.3% in premarket trading, even as homebuilder stocks and ETFs nudged upward.
Mortgage rates remain close to their lowest point in three years, with Freddie Mac reporting the average 30-year fixed rate at 6.10% and the 15-year fixed rate at 5.49% in its most recent weekly update. Stocks tied to the mortgage sector showed mixed moves during premarket trading Friday. 1
That’s crucial since buyers are used to even slight rate shifts quickly altering monthly payments, especially given current home prices. Holding steady in the “six-handle” range—rates beginning with a 6—also caps the potential boost from refinancing activity.
Mortgage rates tend to track the bond market more closely than the Fed’s policy rate, and traders are adjusting after the Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%–3.75% this week. Notably, two officials dissented, favoring a 25 basis point cut instead. 2
Data from Optimal Blue, which monitors when borrowers lock mortgage rates, showed the average 30-year conventional loan rate at 6.064%. The 15-year conventional rate stood at 5.356%, while the 30-year jumbo rate—applicable to loans exceeding standard size limits—came in at 6.324%. 3
Mortgage News Daily reported the 30-year fixed mortgage rate steady at 6.16% on Thursday, with no change from the previous day. The 15-year rate held at 5.75%. On the same page, the 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.256 late Thursday, a critical benchmark lenders use to price mortgages. 4
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported an 8.5% drop in overall mortgage applications for the week ending Jan. 23, with the refinance index tumbling 16%. Joel Kan, MBA’s vice president and deputy chief economist, noted, “Mortgage rates increased for the first time in a month,” pointing out that the 30-year fixed rate for conforming loans climbed to 6.24%. This MBA rate factors in “points,” the upfront fee paid at closing. 5
Before the bell, rate-sensitive stocks diverged. UWM Holdings (UWMC) dropped 3.3%, closing at $5.70, whereas Rocket Companies (RKT) barely budged, holding steady at $20.77.
Homebuilder shares edged higher. The iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) rose roughly 0.3%, while D.R. Horton (DHI) and Lennar (LEN) climbed in early action.
Economists are zeroing in on two main hurdles: affordability and supply. “The recovery is expected to be slow and uneven until rates move significantly lower and inventory expands further,” said Jiayi Xu, an economist at Realtor.com. 6
The risk for borrowers is clear: an inflation spike can send Treasury yields soaring and mortgage rates climbing fast. Even a small shift in bond markets can trigger changes in lender pricing within hours.
At 8:30 a.m. ET, the Labor Department will drop the Producer Price Index for December, the next key inflation gauge. Mortgage desks commonly adjust offers after major data releases, particularly if the numbers alter expectations around rate cuts. 7
Looking ahead, the January U.S. jobs report drops Feb. 6 at 8:30 a.m. ET, right after Freddie Mac’s weekly mortgage-rate update. That data can move bond yields and mortgage rates sharply, depending on whether the numbers come in strong or weak. 8
