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RH Stock Tumbles After Revenue Miss, Weak Q1 Outlook Clouds Luxury Expansion Push
31 March 2026
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RH Stock Tumbles After Revenue Miss, Weak Q1 Outlook Clouds Luxury Expansion Push

CORTE MADERA, Calif., March 31, 2026, 14:05 PDT

After the closing bell Tuesday, RH shares slid as the luxury home goods retailer posted disappointing fourth-quarter numbers. Revenue landed at $842.6 million, missing Wall Street’s $873.5 million call, and adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.53, also short of the $2.24 analysts wanted. RH also warned investors that sales will decline again in the current quarter. News-Times

RH’s earnings shortfall comes at a tricky juncture. The retailer has been working hard to recast itself from just a furniture business into a full-scale luxury lifestyle brand, with splashy galleries, hospitality ventures, and international ambitions. Yet in Tuesday’s update, tariffs, weather, and startup expenses still weighed on those efforts — though the company maintains its long-term vision hasn’t wavered. RH

RH reported a 3.7% increase in fourth-quarter revenue versus the same stretch last year, while net income shot up, more than doubling to $28.8 million. Still, the company pointed to higher backorder and special-order balances—tied to tariff-related resourcing—as a drag on sales growth. CEO Gary Friedman pegged the tariff-driven hit at about $30 million, adding that late-quarter weather tacked on another roughly $10 million in lost revenue. Cloudfront

RH is projecting a 2% to 4% revenue drop for the first quarter, with adjusted EBITDA margin expected in the 5.5% to 6.5% range. For the full 2026 fiscal year, the company stuck to its brighter outlook—calling for 4% to 8% revenue growth and adjusted free cash flow between $300 million and $400 million. Cloudfront

RH shares surged 6.0% to finish the day at $139.98, but the after-hours mood turned abruptly. By 4:56 p.m. Eastern, the stock had slumped to $114.07 in extended trading. MarketBeat

RH leaned on its relative strength, highlighting in its earnings materials that two-year revenue growth hit 15%. That stacks up against 7% at Arhaus, just 4% at Wayfair, and a drop of 15% for Ethan Allen. The comparison was meant to soften the blow. Cloudfront

Wall Street’s tone was already wary. On Monday, TD Cowen’s Max Rakhlenko lowered his price target to $200 from $265, but he stuck with a Buy rating. He argued that even a slight earnings miss looked “embedded in current valuation.” Investing.com

Still, risks haven’t gone away. RH wrapped up January carrying $2.38 billion in total net debt—that’s 4.0 times its adjusted EBITDA. The company flagged that its 2026 guidance already bakes in a 2.7 percentage-point drag on full-year adjusted EBITDA margin and a 4.2-point hit in the first quarter, both linked to pre-opening and startup costs for its push overseas. SEC

On the year, things looked considerably better than the latest quarter let on: 2025 revenue increased 8.1% to $3.44 billion, net income jumped 72% to $125 million, and free cash flow finished at $252 million. The focus for investors narrows to one thing—can RH carry this rebound into a more stable 2026, or do tariffs, unpredictable weather, and expansion costs bite again? Cloudfront

Stock Market Today

  • Wednesday Market Movers: ADP Jobs, Retail Sales, Earnings from Cal-Maine to Nike
    March 31, 2026, 8:15 PM EDT. Stocks surged as the S&P 500 posted its best daily performance since May. Market focus shifts to Wednesday's key data releases: ADP private sector employment figures and retail sales, expected to edge higher. Earnings reports spotlight Cal-Maine, Conagra, and Lamb Weston, all seeing share declines from recent highs. Apple marks 50 years as a public company, with shares up massively over two decades, outperforming Nasdaq 100's Invesco QQQ Trust. Meta Platforms faces regulatory challenges over safeguarding young users but sees bullish analyst ratings despite recent lawsuits. Nike beat earnings and revenue estimates but dropped nearly 9% after hours, forecasting lower earnings ahead. Auto sales and GM's recent share decline add to market uncertainty heading into Thursday's session.
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