FTSE 100 up as BT gains; UK data tempers mood

FTSE 100 up as BT gains; UK data tempers mood

London, May 22, 2026, 08:58 BST

  • FTSE 100 gains 0.37% just after the open in London. FTSE 250 up 0.52%.
  • April retail sales dropped 1.3%, and public borrowing reached £24.3 billion.
  • Europe got a lift from Middle East peace hopes, but the UK still faces growth and fiscal risks.

FTSE 100 opened higher on Friday, getting support from BT, Compass and 3i. Investors picked up UK stocks, betting on advances in U.S.-Iran talks, though new data pointed to softer demand in Britain.

London’s main blue-chip index put on 38.41 points, or 0.37%, hitting 10,481.88. The FTSE 250 traded up 119.27 points, or 0.52%, at 23,067.19. BT climbed 3.74%. Compass was up 2.60%, and 3i added 2.27%. On the downside, ConvaTec, BP and Barratt Redrow slipped.

FTSE 100 barely moves after data, peace-talks keep traders cautious The move comes just a day after the FTSE 100 finished almost unchanged, with traders weighing peace-talk news against weaker UK economic data. On Thursday, the FTSE 100 added 0.1% to close at 10,443.47. The FTSE 250 was up 0.5%.

Europe helped London get a stronger open. The STOXX 600 moved up 0.5% to 623.79. Germany’s DAX added 0.7%. Investors were looking at reports that U.S.-Iran talks had made progress, with gaps narrowing. Reuters reported key sticking points remain over Iran’s uranium levels and controls over the Strait of Hormuz, a main shipping route for energy.

The UK tape was not clean.

UK retail sales volumes dropped 1.3% in April from March, the biggest monthly fall in almost a year. Economists expected a 0.6% drop, according to a Reuters poll. Fuel volumes slipped after stockpiling in March. April sales were flat year-on-year. Samuel Edwards at Ebury said cost-of-living worries tied to the Iran conflict, higher mortgage rates and household budget pressure are “weighing heavily on consumer confidence.” Reuters

Public finances weighed on things again. The Office for National Statistics reported public sector borrowing at £24.3 billion for April, up £4.9 billion from last year and £3.4 billion over the Office for Budget Responsibility’s forecast. Debt interest hit £10.3 billion, the highest for April since records began without adjusting for inflation.

Gilts remain in the spotlight. Rising UK government bond yields push up government borrowing costs and can put pressure on equity valuations, especially for builders, retailers, and other stocks that are sensitive to rates.

Ruth Gregory at Capital Economics called the UK’s public finances “fragile.” Rob Wood, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said “tax hikes to fund spending plans could undermine growth.” Reuters

UK business activity slipped in May, according to Thursday’s purchasing managers’ index. The S&P Global flash UK Composite PMI came in at 48.5, down from 52.6 in April, dipping below the 50 mark for the first time since April last year. Readings under 50 show contraction. Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said it’s a “perfect storm” as politics and fallout from Middle East conflict weigh on firms. Companies in the survey reported “falling output, surging inflation, supply shortages and job cuts.” S&P Global

The split in the market stands out. Big overseas earners and a handful of defensives still have room to gain if global risk appetite holds, the pound stays weak and hopes for peace persist. Domestic-focused stocks face more pressure if consumers cut spending again.

Friday’s bounce could run out fast. If Iran talks break down, oil jumps, or gilt yields climb again, markets may give up gains. Investors may also react if weak UK data hits and they have to factor in slower growth along with tighter fiscal measures.

London is in the green for now. Gains are small and traders aren’t sure it will last.

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the founder and CEO of TS2 Space, a satellite communications company serving customers around the world. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH), he has more than two decades of experience in telecommunications, satellite services and technology ventures. He writes about satellite communications, space technology, artificial intelligence and the stock market, with a particular focus on technology companies, semiconductors, emerging industries and the trends shaping global innovation. Follow Marcin Frąckiewicz on Google News, Facebook. or Linkedin.

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TS2 TECH • DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO

Stocks to Buy Today

Five stocks stand out, supported by recent earnings or more attractive entry points. Today's selection highlights companies raising their outlooks and reporting firm orders, rather than focusing on heavily traded chipmakers.

Today’s market stance Selective • earnings-led
#1 • HIGHEST CONVICTION 24% weight

Xylem

NYSE: XYL
STRONG BUY
Model score 92 / 100
★★★★★

A 12-cent earnings beat and raised 2026 profit outlook highlight the results, while quarterly revenue matched expectations. The water treatment segment offers AI infrastructure exposure without increasing semiconductor holdings.

Why today

Earnings per share surpassed expectations; the company raised its guidance, citing increased water demand from data centers.

Next catalyst

Order conversions are being monitored to confirm that the new margin level is sustainable.

Main risk: Annual revenue guidance moved to about $9.2bn, and project timing can shift.
#2 • BEST CONTRARIAN 22% weight

Alphabet

NASDAQ: GOOGL
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Model score 89 / 100
★★★★½

Google Cloud's revenue surged 82%, with its operating margin hitting 35.6%. However, shares declined as capital expenditures increased. The reset offers a better entry point, but exposure remains limited since quarterly free cash flow moved into negative territory.

Why today

Cloud segment outperformed expectations; company reset guidance following earnings; search operations continue to drive strong cash flow.

Next catalyst

Cloud backlog is being converted more efficiently, leading to improved alignment between expenditures and cash flow.

Main risk: 2026 capex is now $195bn to $205bn, while depreciation is rising.
#3 • DEFENSIVE GROWTH 20% weight

Unilever

LON: ULVR • NYSE: UL
BUY ON PULLBACKS
Model score 87 / 100
★★★★☆

Underlying sales increased by 5.8%, driven by a 5.5% rise in volume—the company's strongest volume growth in over ten years. Guidance has been raised, but after today's significant share price jump, a gradual approach to buying may be more prudent.

Why today

Strong volumes drive results; outlook raised; steady cash flow in low-beta environment

Next catalyst

Second-half pricing trends and updates on the Foods transaction.

Main risk: Commodity inflation, currency moves and a large one-day gap.
#4 • EARNINGS MOMENTUM 18% weight

Sherwin-Williams

NYSE: SHW
ACCUMULATE
Model score 84 / 100
★★★★☆

Sales and adjusted earnings surpassed expectations, prompting management to raise its full-year guidance. The company is benefiting from higher prices and increased market share, but the stock's rapid three-day rally suggests investors may want to hold off on buying at the open.

Why today

The company beat expectations, raised its outlook, demonstrated strong pricing power, and continued to gain market share.

Next catalyst

The company is targeting adjusted EPS between $11.80 and $12.20.

Main risk: Weak housing demand, raw-material inflation and a richer entry.
#5 • TACTICAL UPSIDE 16% weight

PayPal

NASDAQ: PYPL
TACTICAL BUY
Model score 81 / 100
★★★★☆

Adjusted earnings surpassed expectations, prompting an increase in full-year profit guidance. The reported $60.50 per share approach offers added flexibility, though its smaller weighting signals lower margins and uncertainty regarding a potential deal.

Why today

Earnings surpass forecasts; guidance raised; strategic options under review.

Next catalyst

Focus is on the $400 million cost program, margin trends, and any official response to the deal.

Main risk: Operating margin fell to 17.4%, and no sale is assured.
Portfolio structure
Water & infrastructure 24%
Technology & cloud 22%
Consumer staples 20%
Coatings & materials 18%
Payments 16%
Build positions in two or three tranches.

Avoid buying a stock that's trading more than 5% above its previous close. Revisit the list after Wednesday's Fed decision and this week's mega-cap earnings.

Strong companies, weaker entries today
Coca-Cola NYSE: KO
WAIT FOR PULLBACK

Strong quarter with improved guidance, but a nearly 6% rally limits short-term upside.

Visa NYSE: V
WAIT FOR RESULTS

Visa is set to report earnings after the close. The portfolio won’t be taking on new event risk ahead of the results.

Nvidia NASDAQ: NVDA
WATCH

While long-term demand is solid, questions persist around chip momentum and AI financing.

Portfolio heat 6.4 / 10

Moderate. Recent earnings provide solid support, though event risk is still elevated.

Market risk check

The Nasdaq faces continued pressure as chip stocks endure a steep correction. With the Federal Reserve set to announce its decision on Wednesday, investors should brace for increased intraday volatility.

TS2 DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO 100% allocated

This is an editorial model portfolio and does not constitute personalized investment advice. The scores reflect how today's five holdings compare to the current opportunity set, rather than predicting future returns.

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