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SPCX Faces Pressure With SpaceX’s $60 Billion AI Push Straining Valuation

NEW YORK, June 22, 2026, 04:06 EDT

  • SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) trades near $185.00. That’s down from a post-IPO high of $225.64, but shares are still about 37.0% above the $135 IPO price.
  • Profit-taking is weighing after the record listing. The $60.0 billion all-stock Cursor/Anysphere acquisition has stirred more investor debate, too.
  • Information Gain: The IPO math at $185 points to about $2.43 trillion in equity value and nearly 130x 2025 revenue. A $10 change in SPCX is worth around $131 billion in value either way.

SpaceX stock (NASDAQ: SPCX) slipped ahead of Monday’s U.S. open as traders cashed out gains from the record IPO and priced in the $60 billion Cursor deal. The most recent quote for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. was $185.00, down $6.64 or about 3.46% as of 04:06 EDT. Google Finance’s regular-session close on Thursday also showed $185.00, a drop of $6.82 or 3.56%. At $185, the shares are still 37.0% up from the $135 IPO price, but sit 18.0% below the $225.64 high.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ: SPCX) started publicly trading its Class A shares on the Nasdaq Global Select Market and Nasdaq Texas on June 12, 2026, picking up the ticker “SPCX.” The IPO priced after the underwriters took up their full allotment, with 638,888,888 shares moving and gross proceeds of about $85.7 billion. SpaceX Investor Relations

SPCX shares gave up ground fast after the IPO. Reuters said SPCX fell more than 6% on Thursday, last trading down 6.5% at $178.50. That followed a nearly 5% drop the day before. IPOX Schuster analyst Kat Liu summed it up: “some degree of profit-taking is not surprising.” That’s about it for the tape. Quick money got out. Then the market had to figure out what it actually owned. Reuters

SpaceX made things more complicated on June 16. The company filed an 8-K saying it struck a merger deal with X67 Inc. and Anysphere, Inc., which owns Cursor. Under the filing, Cursor shares would turn into SpaceX Class A shares at a value pegged at $60.0 billion. The deal could close in the third quarter of 2026, pending conditions like regulatory signoff.

Information gain sits in the denominator. Reuters said the IPO put SpaceX’s value at $1.77 trillion with shares at $135. Push that same base to $185, and the market shows an implied value near $2.43 trillion, which matches what Google Finance displays now. Using Reuters’ 2025 revenue number of $18.67 billion, that’s close to 130x trailing sales. A drop of $6.82 a day can wipe out almost $89 billion in equity on the IPO-implied share count. A $10 shift moves about $131 billion. This is why SPCX trades more like a macro asset than a space company.

Bond markets aren’t flashing the same worry. Moody’s gave SpaceX a Baa1 rating, Fitch posted BBB+, and S&P Global Ratings went with BBB, all on a stable outlook, according to Reuters. S&P said the space and connectivity operations look strong but said the AI business brings uncertainty from heavy capex and rivalry. That’s what the trade is now: Starlink and launches keep the valuation up; AI investment puts it on the line.

Fresh overseas noise, too. South Korea’s Financial Supervisory Service is reviewing after a Korean allocation of 2.31 million SpaceX IPO shares was reportedly pulled just hours before trading started. “The possibility of something like this happening never even crossed our minds,” FSS Governor Lee Chan-jin said. Regulators are now looking at disclosure, allocation and investor-protection steps. The move does not affect SpaceX operations. But for a new mega-cap, an allocation mess can keep headline risk in play. The Korea Times

Options are setting up the next move for traders. Investopedia said SPCX options were pricing in about a 10% swing either way through Friday, which puts a rough trading band between $166 and $204, based on the $185 close. The report also flagged potential index adds and the first analyst calls after the IPO quiet period as events that could bring more buying or selling into the stock.

SpaceX has the Starfall Demo Mission set for June 23 out of Florida and a Starlink Mission planned for June 24 from California, according to its posted launch schedule. That steady flow is what longtime fans expect. For SPCX shareholders, though, the launches are now just one piece. Starlink, AI hardware, index traffic and post-IPO trading all feed the company’s bigger valuation story.

SPCX risks dropping through the $172.11 low from the last session, and then testing the options-implied $166 lower band. If it breaks those, traders say IPO holders may be getting out faster than funds and research can keep up. After that, the focus is on $150.00, the last listed low, and then the $135.00 IPO price. Any delay in the Cursor deal, bad AI capex news, or a weak launch headline could push SPCX to those support levels in a hurry.

Right now, it’s a straight line. If $190 holds, SPCX gets its story back and traders could aim for $204, the options upper limit. Under $166, instead of chasing the biggest IPO ever, the market is punishing a name that needs near-flawless results in rockets, broadband and AI. The next move isn’t tied to a single number — Monday’s research and index flows have to beat out valuation fears before this week’s launch calendar ramps up the risks.

Disclaimer: This story is for information only. It isn’t investment advice, a buy or sell call, or a securities offer. Financial markets carry risk and you could lose money. Do your own homework and talk to a licensed financial adviser before making any investment choices.

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic developments. A graduate of Humboldt University of Berlin, he previously worked in investment research and market analysis before transitioning to financial journalism. He covers the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide.

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