CXMT (SHA:688825) Jumps 466% as DRAM Profit Growth Drives Valuation

CXMT (SHA:688825) Jumps 466% as DRAM Profit Growth Drives Valuation

SHANGHAI, July 27, 2026, 16:20 CST — Market closed as CXMT shares climbed 466%, with analysts pointing to rising DRAM profits as central to its valuation.

  • CXMT ended the session at 49 yuan, rising 465.82%, bringing the chipmaker’s market value to 3.28 trillion yuan.
  • The freely tradable portion stood at just 6.73%. Trading volume amounted to roughly 66.5% of this estimated free float.
  • Initial first-half profit suggests an annualized multiple of 28.7–32.8 times. Based on 2025 earnings, the figure is about 1,748 times.

CXMT Corp ended the session in Shanghai at 49 yuan. Shares jumped 465.82% compared to the offer price of 8.66 yuan.

CXMT’s market capitalization climbed to approximately 3.28 trillion yuan, or $484 billion, becoming the biggest publicly traded company on China’s mainland.

The chip manufacturer overtook Industrial and Commercial Bank of China , which had held the top market position. Monday’s surge boosted CXMT’s offer valuation by roughly 2.70 trillion yuan.

The present DRAM cycle is now key to the investment case following that gain. Past earnings provide little justification for Monday’s closing price.

CXMT is currently valued at about 1,748 times its audited 2025 attributable profit. If preliminary first-half 2026 earnings are annualised, the multiple falls to between 28.7 and 32.8 times.

Valuation lensP/E multiple
CXMT, audited 2025 attributable profitRoughly 1,748x
CXMT, annualized preliminary H1 2026 profit28.7–32.8x
SK Hynix , 2025 trailing30.64x
Samsung Electronics , 2025 trailing33.62x
Micron Technology , 2025 trailing62.27x

CXMT figures reflect Monday’s closing price and the pre-greenshoe number of shares. Peer company ratios are based on prices from July 13, as stated in the IPO notice. These metrics are meant as guidelines and should not be seen as exact comparisons.

Nevertheless, the comparison highlights buyers’ expectations on Monday. For CXMT to mirror established global peers, the company will need to maintain its significant earnings growth.

The company projects first-half revenue between 110 billion and 120 billion yuan. Initial attributable profit is estimated at 50 billion to 57 billion yuan. These figures are unaudited and have not been reviewed.

That is up from attributable profit of only 1.87 billion yuan recorded over the whole of 2025. CXMT attributed the growth to increased DRAM prices, greater production, and a stronger product portfolio.

The small proportion of shares available further dampens Monday’s valuation signal. Just 6.73% of the expanded share base was available for public trading at the time of listing.

Trading volume was 2.991 billion shares, representing roughly 66.5% of the projected free float using the post-offer shares outstanding.

Total turnover topped 140 billion yuan, accounting for over 6.7% of total trading across Shanghai and Shenzhen. The Shanghai Composite climbed 1.15%, and the STAR Composite advanced 2.49%.

TrendForce analyst Ellie Wong stated that “the memory market remains tight with price increases expected to continue through the end of 2027.” She also noted that efforts by customers to find additional suppliers may provide chances for CXMT. Reuters

Achieving large scale is still the greater challenge. In 2025, Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron together accounted for over 90% of worldwide DRAM sales. CXMT captured a 7.67% market share in the fourth quarter.

The initial public offering brought in 57.92 billion yuan, marking it as the biggest semiconductor IPO in mainland China. If the overallotment option is exercised in full, total proceeds may climb to 66.61 billion yuan.

Before trading commenced, demand was strong. The pricing notice indicated valid institutional orders were approximately 463 times the initial offline quota.

Risks are still centered on the memory cycle. CXMT cautioned that reduced AI expenditure or surplus competitor production might lower demand. The company’s prospectus notes that the DRAM market is extremely cyclical and responsive to price changes.

In the coming days, investors will gauge if trading volumes persist following the initial launch. Results from major U.S. tech firms could further influence sentiment regarding AI investment.

The real assessment arrives when audited figures take the place of initial estimates. Day one showed interest, but not endurance.

How did CXMT stock perform on its debut trading session?

CXMT made its market debut on Monday with the ticker 688825 on Shanghai’s STAR Market. The stock finished the day near 49 yuan, about 466% up from its IPO price of 8.66 yuan. Shares fluctuated between 38.11 yuan and 55.03 yuan during the day. The high point marked an increase of nearly 535%, before selling emerged towards the close. At the session’s end, CXMT’s market capitalization was around 3.3 trillion yuan. Financial Times

What factors could cause CXMT to experience significant volatility until Friday?

At the time of listing, just 6.73% of the expanded share capital was in free float. Morning trading turnover topped 122 billion yuan, marking a record for A-shares. With such a limited float, order imbalances and swift reversals can be intensified. STAR Market IPOs are not subject to daily price caps during their first five sessions. This means that from Tuesday to Friday, July 28-31, prices remain uncapped. The standard 20% daily price band will take effect on August 3. Reuters

What is the price level of CXMT following its initial surge?

At approximately 49 yuan, CXMT’s market capitalisation stood near 3.28 trillion yuan. The company projects first-half attributable profit between 50 billion and 57 billion yuan. A simple annualisation of that range suggests a P/E ratio in the 29-33 times band. This estimate reflects a current run-rate, not an official full-year company outlook. It presumes that second-half prices and margins will remain exceptionally high, a scenario that is not guaranteed. Financial Times

How robust are CXMT’s most recent operating results?

Revenue climbed to 61.8 billion yuan in 2025. First-quarter revenue surged 719.1% to 50.8 billion yuan. Attributable profit totaled 24.76 billion yuan, while consolidated profit stood at 33.01 billion. Expectations for first-half revenue are in the range of 110 billion to 120 billion yuan. Attributable profit is projected at 50-57 billion yuan, with consolidated profit forecast between 66 and 75 billion. Public shareholders are advised to value using the attributable number. The results are exceptional; however, memory markets can shift rapidly. Reuters

What was the total capital raised by CXMT during its IPO?

CXMT issued approximately 6.69 billion shares, each priced at 8.66 yuan. The offering generated gross proceeds of 57.92 billion yuan, or about $8.6 billion. Should the overallotment option be fully exercised, total proceeds could reach 66.61 billion yuan. Funds raised are intended for production growth, research activities, and general working capital purposes. The initial offering accounted for around 10% of the company’s post-IPO share count. While the large sum raised is significant, future execution remains key. Reuters

Is CXMT currently a contender in advanced AI memory?

CXMT holds the fourth spot worldwide with an estimated 7.7% share of the DRAM market in 2025. The company’s DDR5 line-up delivers speeds up to 8,000 Mbps and features 24Gb per die. Despite this, CXMT remains behind the main players in the high-bandwidth memory (HBM) segment. According to five Reuters sources, its HBM technology is considered about two generations behind competitors. Reuters further reported that DDR5 production yields in the first quarter were low, citing an unnamed source. CXMT has not made a public statement on this yield report. Reuters

Do the agreements with Tencent and ByteDance enhance the predictability of revenue?

Reuters reported that Tencent has entered into a server-DRAM deal valued at more than 20 billion yuan. According to sources, the agreement’s term is said to be between three and five years. Reuters also separately reported a five-year agreement between ByteDance and another party, with a value exceeding $7 billion. The involved companies have not publicly verified the reported figures or disclosed specific contract terms. These agreements indicate robust demand, though margins and delivery timelines are still unclear. The deals are significant, but do not represent official audited financial guidance. Reuters

Is it possible for CXMT to double its capacity without negatively impacting industry prices?

Reuters sources put current DRAM capacity at about 300,000 wafers per month. The addition of new facilities could push this total beyond 600,000 wafers per month. The detailed project timeline has not been confirmed, and actual output will depend on production yields. A TrendForce analyst forecast that memory prices are set to increase until late 2027. However, aggressive expansion could intensify the following market downturn. Installed capacity is significant only if yields translate into chips that can be sold commercially. Reuters

Which upcoming geopolitical risks might impact CXMT shares?

In June 2026, the Pentagon labeled CXMT as a Chinese military company. This status is not the same as the trade restrictions imposed by the Commerce Department’s Entity List. Reuters reported that an interagency panel authorized the company’s addition to the Entity List last year, but by July 27, no action had been taken to implement it. Current controls already restrict some access to advanced chip manufacturing equipment. An official placement on the list could further restrict CXMT’s ability to obtain equipment, software, and supplies. Reuters

Is it possible for CXMT to join the STAR 50 index swiftly?

There is no immediate automatic addition to the STAR 50 index on the debut trading day. Standard inclusion typically necessitates over twelve months of listing. The quickest path for fast-tracking allows for one month, contingent on top-three average market value and approval from the committee. Another exception exists for companies with over three months listed and top-five market value. Due to CXMT’s large listing, expedited inclusion is possible but uncertain. As a result, index-related buying is not expected to drive the stock this week.

Jerzy Lewandowski is a senior markets editor at TS2.tech covering stocks, artificial intelligence, semiconductors and global financial markets. He studied economics at the University of Warsaw and previously worked in investment analysis before moving into financial journalism. His daily coverage focuses on the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide. Follow Jerzy Lewandowski on Google News.

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