CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV) shares climb 9% following Indonesian AI expansion that boosts contracted power by 10%

CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV) shares climb 9% following Indonesian AI expansion that boosts contracted power by 10%

NEW YORK, August 4, 2026, 15:06 EDT CoreWeave (CRWV.O) stock rose 9% after the company’s expansion in Indonesia’s AI sector increased its total contracted power by 10%.

  • CoreWeave climbed 9.0% to $93.50 as of 14:51 EDT. U.S. markets were still open.
  • Three sites in Indonesia are set to contribute 360 megawatts—representing roughly 10% of the reported contracted capacity. The facilities are scheduled to come online in 2028.
  • Piper Sandler initiated coverage and set a price target of $151. CoreWeave is scheduled to announce its second-quarter earnings on August 11.

CoreWeave stock gained roughly 9% on Tuesday, supported by two new developments. The company revealed plans for its initial data center project in the Asia-Pacific region. In addition, Piper Sandler started coverage with an Overweight rating.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:CRWV

The Indonesia initiative brings a total of 360 megawatts through three locations, representing around 10% of CoreWeave’s publicly announced contracted capacity. The facilities are anticipated to become operational by 2028.

Tuesday’s price increase automatically boosted market value by approximately $4.1 billion. This amounts to nearly $11.3 million for each megawatt announced. The figure does not represent a project valuation. Gains were also supported by a wider technology sector rally.

CompanyPriceTuesday movePiper ratingTargetImplied target return
CoreWeave $93.50up 9.0%Overweight$151up 61.5%
Nebius Group $227.59up 7.1%Neutral$224down 1.6%

Prices reflect levels as of around 14:51 EDT. Target returns are based on Piper’s officially released targets.

CoreWeave surpassed Nebius by close to two percentage points. Around that period, the Nasdaq Composite rose approximately 2.7%. While the wider rally accounts for some of the movement, it does not fully explain it.

Piper analyst James Fish identified CoreWeave as the option with a more favorable risk profile. He pointed to “a better risk-reward associated with CRWV.” Piper forecasts that AI-compute demand will outpace supply. Investing.com

Chief Operating Officer Sachin Jain described Indonesia as a local-compute investment. “CoreWeave goes where we can bring AI pioneers the capacity, performance, and reliability they need,” he said. CoreWeave

Capacity measureMarch 31 baselineIndonesia additionMechanical comparison
Operating data centers493 planned locations52 upon launch
Active powerAbove 1,000 MW360 MW plannedBelow 36% of current total
Contracted powerAbove 3,500 MW360 MWMore than 3,860 MW
Increase in contracted powerApproximately 10%
Average Indonesian site120 MWThree facilities of equal size
Expected service dateCurrent footprint operational2028No immediate revenue effect

Each of the three Indonesian locations has a typical capacity of 120 MW. Previously released figures indicated active capacity exceeding 1 GW, with contracts totaling 3.5 GW. With the inclusion of Indonesia, the minimum contracted capacity moves above 3.86 GW.

The next test is scheduled for next week. CoreWeave plans to release its second-quarter earnings on August 11 at 17:00 EDT. The company’s earlier revenue guidance ranged between $2.45 billion and $2.60 billion.

First-quarter metricQ1 2026Q1 2025Difference
Revenue$2.078 billion$982 million+112%
Adjusted EBITDA$1.157 billion$606 million+91%
Adjusted EBITDA margin56%62%-6 percentage points
Net interest expense$536 million$264 million+103%
Net loss$740 million$315 million+135%

Revenue for the first quarter more than doubled, as did net interest expense. Net loss increased at a higher rate than sales, and the adjusted EBITDA margin contracted by six points.

Funding is still the main limitation. As of March 31, CoreWeave had $25.1 billion in debt and $10.1 billion of lease liabilities. The company anticipates capital expenditure between $31 billion and $35 billion this year. A recent loan sale of $2.6 billion was marketed with yields higher than 10% after its terms were revised.

Customer concentration continues to be high. In the first quarter, CoreWeave’s two largest customers accounted for approximately 65% of its revenue. The company anticipates this concentration will continue, as its major contracts have multi-year terms.

Potential risks involve delays in construction, limited power supply, and increasing borrowing expenses. A further vulnerability stems from reliance on a concentrated customer base. Reduced AI investment could lower utilization rates and make securing funding more difficult.

CoreWeave’s move into Indonesia increases its geographic presence but does not immediately impact revenue. Investors are expected to focus on factors like power activation, capital expenses, and the August 11 results.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

What are the key points in the August 11 report?
CoreWeave forecasts its second-quarter revenue at $2.45-$2.60 billion. FactSet projects a per-share loss of $1.20, deeper than the $0.79 loss expected three months earlier. Demand continues to be robust. The principal challenge is operational leverage.
Is CoreWeave likely to achieve its revenue goal for 2026?
Revenue for the first quarter totaled $2.078 billion. The midpoint of guidance puts second-quarter revenue at $2.525 billion, with the full-year figure at $12.5 billion. That implies $7.90 billion is projected for the second half. To meet this target, average quarterly revenue in the second half would need to reach $3.95 billion, which is 56% higher than the second-quarter guidance midpoint. The increase is significant. CoreWeave
Is it possible for financing expenses to surpass income from operations?
As of March 31, debt totaled $24.9 billion, with cash and securities at $2.3 billion. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $1.16 billion, while adjusted operating income came to $21 million. Second-quarter interest expense guidance ranges from $650 million to $730 million. Full-year capital expenditures are forecast between $31 billion and $35 billion. Funding remains a key risk. SEC
Is the $99.4 billion backlog enough to address customer concentration issues?
No. Backlog equaled roughly eight times the midpoint of 2026 revenue guidance. Still, 65% of first-quarter revenue came from the two largest customers, with the top client accounting for 45%. Recognition of backlog continues to hinge on capacity and service availability. Customer concentration remains significant. CoreWeave
What does the present valuation suggest for the stock?
CoreWeave trades at $93.47 per share, giving the company a market capitalisation of approximately $49.2 billion. This figure represents 3.9 times the midpoint of its projected 2026 revenues. The average analyst target, according to FactSet, stands at $138.40 with a consensus rating of Overweight, indicating potential upside near 48%. Price targets remain widely spread, spanning from $36 up to $303. While consensus is positive, views are notably varied.

Iwona Majkowska is a financial markets journalist at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, artificial intelligence and technology. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics, she previously worked in equity research and financial analysis before focusing on market reporting. Her daily coverage helps investors follow major developments across U.S. and global markets. Follow Iwona Majkowska on Google News.

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