AI Stocks Outlook: 35% Rally in Memory Shares Puts Focus on Upcoming Chip Results

AI Stocks Outlook: 35% Rally in Memory Shares Puts Focus on Upcoming Chip Results

WARSAW, August 16, 2026, 20:22 CEST — US and European cash markets remain shut on Sunday, as memory and storage stocks approach the week with significant momentum. Sandisk soared almost 35% over the past week, while the Nasdaq edged up just 0.1%.

The difference is significant. Companies able to command higher prices for limited AI parts are being favoured by investors. Conversely, there is less appetite for simply gaining general market exposure.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:MU

The selectiveness appeared on Friday. Shares of Applied Materials slipped 5.1% even after issuing a positive outlook. Broadcom lost 5.9%. Elevated expectations caused solid results to trigger selling.

Asset or stockLatest moveInvestor read-through
S&P 500+0.4% for the weekMarks a third consecutive week in positive territory
Nasdaq Composite+0.1% for the weekGains from AI were balanced out by end-of-week profit-taking
Sandisk About +35% for the weekNAND prices and locking in longer deals drove action
Seagate Technology +19.8% for the weekExpanded storage appetite fueled memory-related names
SK Hynix +20.6% for the weekLimited HBM supply kept the rally going
Applied Materials -5.1% FridayWhile guidance was upbeat, it did not clear sky-high expectations

Sandisk shares jumped 6.5% on Friday, adding to previous gains, after the company announced robust long-term margin goals and an increased focus on contracts during its investor day.

Shares of Micron Technology advanced 4.2% on Thursday. The demand for AI inference requires high-speed memory and substantial storage capacity, driving a value chain that extends past just graphics processors.

Operating metrics back up that perspective. China’s SMIC increased wafer pricing as utilization hit 93.7%. CoreWeave posted a backlog of $104.2 billion. The key limitation is capacity rather than insufficient demand.

AI supply-chain signalLatest verified figureWhat it tests
SMIC utilization93.7%Power to set prices at foundries
SMIC Q2 wafer shipments2.9 million, up 14%Appetite for chips in China’s home market
CoreWeave backlog$104.2 billionAI compute leasing pipeline outlook
Applied Materials Q3 revenue$9.12 billion, up 25%How equipment demand measures up to valuation
Super Micro Q4 gross margin17.5%Performance and pricing in server market

“Many current market catalysts are tied to different aspects of AI,” GLOBALT portfolio manager Thomas Martin told Reuters. He pointed out that Applied Materials shares declined even following a “beat and raise.” Martin described this as the valuation warning for the week.

Brokers continue to hold generally positive outlooks. However, recommendations tend to prioritize firms demonstrating clear pricing strength or reliable revenue streams. Targets are not assured, particularly following substantial recent gains.

CompanyBrokerRecommendationPrice target
Sandisk J.P. MorganOverweight$2,250
Sandisk CitiBuy$2,100
Jabil UBSBuy$430
Applied Materials J.P. MorganPositive$660
Applied Materials JefferiesPositive$770

J.P. Morgan stated that Sandisk’s updated contract approach could enhance clarity on demand. UBS forecasts that Jabil’s revenue tied to AI will climb by over 50% in fiscal 2027. Analysts at Applied Materials remained positive despite a drop on Friday.

Analog Devices , a supplier of chips for industrial, automotive and data center applications, will provide the next key gauge of widening demand when it reports on Wednesday. Financial results are due at 07:00 EDT, with a results call scheduled for 10:00 EDT.

WhenCatalystKey figure or question
Monday, August 17US market resumes tradingWill memory sector gains last following a 20%-35% jump last week?
Tuesday, August 18Reddit enters the S&P 500Technology flows driven by the index
Wednesday, August 19Analog Devices reports earningsMarket expects revenue around $3.9 billion
Thursday, August 20US weekly jobless claimsImpact of rates on valuations of high-multiple tech stocks
All weekMiddle East and oil developmentsIncreased yields may pressure AI stock valuations

Nvidia continues to lead the industry. Its funding collaborations target over $500 billion for AI infrastructure investment. The partnership highlights persistent demand, while bringing new focus to credit exposure and project profitability.

Risks: Another oil shock could push yields higher and weigh on long-duration tech stocks. Memory prices might fall back if supply grows more quickly than anticipated. Following strong weekly advances, even robust outlooks might fall short of expectations.

Pricing power has become the key indicator. Should memory and storage sustain their advances and Analog Devices validate broader demand, the AI trade could expand. Otherwise, investors might concentrate on the limited companies facing the strictest capacity constraints.

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Further analysis

Which indicator matters most for AI-related shares this week?
Pricing power outweighs general AI involvement. Sandisk surged close to 35% last week; Seagate advanced 19.8%, and SK Hynix climbed 20.6%. Meanwhile, Applied Materials dropped 5.1% on Friday, even after providing a positive outlook. Investors are favoring rare memory and storage assets, while expecting greater returns from different semiconductor providers.
What is driving memory and storage stocks to lead the AI sector?
AI inference requires significant bandwidth memory and extensive storage resources. Limited supply continues, contributing to firm prices and extended contracts with clients. The main unknown is how long this will last. Additional capacity or reduced demand from cloud providers could cause prices to drop more quickly than currently projected.
What upcoming event might indicate if demand for AI is expanding?
Analog Devices is scheduled to release results Wednesday ahead of the US market open. Analysts expect revenue to come in at approximately $3.9 billion. The company’s reach includes industrial, automotive, data-center, and intelligent-edge semiconductor products. Robust guidance would indicate that demand is broader than just graphics processors and memory. Conversely, soft industrial remarks would limit that takeaway.
What is the primary threat facing AI and technology shares?
Valuation currently stands out as the main concern. The Nasdaq finished last week up just 0.1%, whereas some memory stocks jumped over 20%. An increase in oil prices could raise yields and put additional strain on long-duration tech shares. Following recent surges, even strong earnings reports might not meet investor expectations.
Jerzy Lewandowski

Jerzy Lewandowski is a senior markets editor at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and semiconductors to AI and the broader global markets. He studied economics at the University of Warsaw and worked in investment analysis before becoming a financial journalist. Follow Jerzy Lewandowski on Google News.

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