Nu Holdings Sheds $4.9 Billion in Market Value Post-Earnings, Credit Concerns Weigh

Nu Holdings Sheds $4.9 Billion in Market Value Post-Earnings, Credit Concerns Weigh

NEW YORK, August 21, 2026, 09:32 EDT — Nu Holdings Ltd. has seen roughly $4.9 billion in market value erased since the close following its earnings release. Shares ended Thursday at $14.21, falling 2.74%, with volume at 80.5 million shares.

The pullback has wiped out 78.5% of the earnings surge seen on August 14. Nu nevertheless posted its first quarterly profit topping $1 billion. However, investor attention has shifted back to concerns over credit risk and the expenses linked to growth, tempering enthusiasm for the earnings result.

Stock chart for NYSE:NU

Shares of Nu were at $14.30 as of 09:32 EDT on Friday, rising roughly 0.6% shortly after the start of trading. The uptick was modest, trailing losses over the previous four sessions. Trading volume on Thursday reached 1.05 times the average of the past three months.

Price pathClose / snapshotDaily moveSignal
Aug. 13, pre-results$13.93+2.73%Level set ahead of earnings announcement
Aug. 14, earnings day$15.23+9.33%$6.3 billion increase in market cap
Aug. 17$14.74−3.22%First downward move
Aug. 18$14.35−2.65%Continuation of selloff
Aug. 19$14.61+1.81%Moderate recovery
Aug. 20$14.21−2.74%Just 21.5% of post-earnings gain remains
Aug. 21, 09:32 EDT$14.30+0.6%Early trading indicator
Market-value estimates use the August 20 market capitalisation of $68.64 billion. Live prices can change. Source: Yahoo Finance.

Nu delivered robust results for the quarter. Founder and CEO David Vélez stated the company is “now generating more than a billion dollars in quarterly net income.” Revenue climbed to almost $5.9 billion, and net income increased by 49% to reach $1.1 billion. Nu second-quarter release

Second-quarter measure2Q26 resultChange / context
Customers139 millionQuarter gain of approximately 4 million
Gross revenueNearly $5.9 billionRises 39% from a year earlier, FX neutral
Net income$1.1 billionJumps 49% compared to prior year
Return on equity33%Highest profitability level
Risk-adjusted NIM12.4%Gains 290 basis points on quarter
Credit portfolio$39.4 billionUp 37% year over year
Deposits$45.3 billionIncreases 18% year over year
Growth rates are FX neutral unless stated otherwise. Source: Nu Holdings.

The credit figures illustrate the shift in valuation. Early delinquencies decreased by 16 basis points, reaching 4.8%. In contrast, the share of loans past due over 90 days increased 35 basis points to 6.9%. Nu said the majority of that increase was due to seasonal migration.

The compensation for that risk has also increased. Net interest margin was 22.9%, and credit costs dropped 9% quarter-on-quarter to $1.7 billion. As a result, the discussion now focuses on sustainability rather than present profits.

AnalystFirmRecommendationTargetDate
Thiago BatistaUBSBuy$18, previously $17Aug. 20, 2026
Jorge KuriMorgan StanleyBuy$21Aug. 17, 2026
James FriedmanSusquehannaHold$16, up from $13Aug. 14, 2026
Mario PierryBank of America SecuritiesSell$10Aug. 14, 2026
Kyle PetersonNeedhamBuy$19Aug. 14, 2026
Latest named recommendations displayed as of August 21. Sources: S&P Global data via Stock Analysis and Benzinga analyst history.

Wall Street’s outlook remains broadly positive. The consensus price target from 22 analysts stands at $18.69, representing a 31.5% premium over Thursday’s closing price. The analyst range, from $10 to $23, covers over $62 billion in implied equity value. This gap highlights notably varied assumptions regarding credit quality and international monetisation.

Target casePriceMove from $14.21Implied market valueValue change
Lowest published$10.00−29.6%$48.3 billion−$20.3 billion
Consensus average$18.69+31.5%$90.3 billion+$21.6 billion
Consensus median$19.00+33.7%$91.8 billion+$23.1 billion
Highest published$23.00+61.9%$111.1 billion+$42.5 billion
Implied values are calculated estimates using the August 20 market capitalisation. Analyst data: Stock Analysis.

The initial earnings responses varied by company. On August 14, shares of StoneCo Ltd. dropped nearly 6%, MercadoLibre Inc. advanced around 1%, and Inter & Co Inc. remained mostly flat. Nu climbed approximately 10%.

Risks: Early trading on Friday may see swift price reversals. Movements in Brazilian rates and currency, along with higher-risk lending, could increase credit losses. More rapid growth in Mexico and Colombia may push up costs ahead of revenue gains.

NYSE: NU · post-earnings reset

Record profit. Only 21.5% of the rally survived.

The market is testing whether 33% ROE can outrun a 6.9% late-stage delinquency ratio.
Live price
$14.30
+0.6% at 09:32 EDT
Aug. 21 regular session
Thursday close
$14.21
−2.74%
80.5m shares traded
Value erased
$4.9bn
Since Aug. 14 close
Calculated estimate
Consensus target
$18.69
+31.5%
22 analysts

The earnings jump faded in four sessions

$15.4$14.9$14.4$13.9 Aug 13Aug 14Aug 17Aug 18Aug 19Aug 2009:32
$13.93 → $15.23 → $14.21. Friday’s $14.30 is an early-session snapshot.

What the market is pricing

Earnings-day gain retained
21.5%
Trailing P/E19.5×
Forward P/E12.4×

The multiple compression says investors want proof that lower credit costs can persist.

Q2 operating scorecard

MetricResult
Net income$1.1bn · +49%
ROE33%
Risk-adjusted NIM12.4% · +290bp QoQ
Credit portfolio$39.4bn · +37%
Customers139m

Credit is the swing factor

IndicatorQ2 signal
15–90 day NPL4.8% · −16bp
90+ day NPL6.9% · +35bp
Cost of credit$1.7bn · −9% QoQ
Efficiency ratio19.5% vs 17.6%
Mexico loan/deposit35%

The Street’s range is unusually wide

Analyst / firmCallTargetUpside / downside
Thiago Batista · UBSBuy$18+26.7%
Jorge Kuri · Morgan StanleyBuy$21+47.8%
James Friedman · SusquehannaHold$16+12.6%
Mario Pierry · BofASell$10−29.6%
Kyle Peterson · NeedhamBuy$19+33.7%

Investor watch

Near term: can $14.21 hold after the open?

Credit: 90+ NPL must stabilize.

Upside: Mexico monetisation and a durable 12%+ risk-adjusted NIM.

Market snapshot: Aug. 21, 2026, 09:32 EDT / 15:32 CEST. Thursday close: Aug. 20, 16:00 EDT.Sources: Nu Holdings, Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, S&P Global Market Intelligence via Stock Analysis. Estimates are labelled.
Michał Rogucki

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and technology to economic developments affecting global markets. He graduated from Humboldt University of Berlin and worked in investment research and market analysis before becoming a financial journalist.

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