DraftKings Shares Gain 4.6% amid $150 Promotion’s Impact on Customer Payback

DraftKings Shares Gain 4.6% amid $150 Promotion’s Impact on Customer Payback

BOSTON, August 22, 2026, 06:00 EDT

  • DraftKings gained 4.55% on Friday to reach $26.17, beating the performance of the Nasdaq.
  • A $5 bet offers $150 in bonus bets as part of a promotion running until August 23.
  • The number of payers in the second quarter rose by 9%, while revenue per payer declined by 13%.
  • Sales and marketing expenses rose 38% to reach $322.5 million.

DraftKings Inc. rose 4.55% on Friday after coverage of welcome offers drove the brand onto Google Trends. The stock finished at $26.17, outperforming the Nasdaq Composite’s 0.43% increase.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:DKNG

The main concern for investors is the payback on acquisitions. Presently, promotions offer $150 in bonus bets to new users who place a $5 wager. This headline offer advertises a 30-to-one incentive, subject to wagering requirements, expiration terms and state eligibility.

According to updated promo trackers this week, six $25 bonus bets that cannot be withdrawn are issued across a 14-day period, expiring seven days after they are granted. The listed promotion concludes August 23 at 11:59 p.m. EDT. Terms may differ depending on the jurisdiction.

DraftKings reported a 9% increase in monthly unique payers in the second quarter, reaching 3.6 million. However, average revenue per payer declined 13% to $132. Management attributed the drop to customer-friendly outcomes and incentives for attracting new users.

Customer and promotion economicsQ2 2026Q2 2025Change
Monthly unique payers3.6mAbout 3.3m+9%
Payer average revenue$132$151-13%
Sales and marketing expenses$322.5m$233.2m+38.3%
Sales and marketing as share of revenue22.4%15.4%+6.9pp
Sports consumer spending$13.14bn$11.47bn+14.5%
Sports-related revenue$891.9m$997.9m-10.6%
Sports net revenue margin6.8%8.7%-1.9pp
Source: DraftKings Q2 2026 results. Ratios calculated from reported figures.

The largest discrepancy is found between betting and revenue. Sports wagering volume increased by 14.5%, yet sports revenue declined by 10.6%. This 25.1 percentage point gap highlights how payouts and promotional offers can outweigh robust betting engagement.

Sales and marketing accounted for 22.4% of revenue for the quarter, rising from 15.4%. Adjusted EBITDA declined to $114.6 million, compared to $300.6 million previously. Net income turned into a loss of $67.6 million after reporting a profit of $157.9 million.

Chief Executive Jason Robins stated the main business “grew across handle, users, and engagement.” DraftKings maintained its 2026 revenue projection at $6.5 billion to $6.9 billion, with adjusted EBITDA guidance still at $700 million to $900 million. DraftKings

The sportsbook is active in 27 states, Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico. According to DraftKings, these areas cover roughly 53% of the U.S. population. Access to promotions is more limited and depends on regional regulations.

Friday’s rebound lifted other gaming stocks as well. Flutter Entertainment plc increased by 3.05%. MGM Resorts International advanced 1.32%, and PENN Entertainment, Inc. was up 1.11%.

Listed gaming companyFridayWeekOne month2026 YTDEV/EBITDA
DraftKingsup 4.55%up 1.87%up 9.91%down 24.34%120.0x
Flutter Entertainmentup 3.05%up 2.92%up 1.52%down 52.57%12.7x
MGM Resortsup 1.32%down 0.75%down 4.33%up 19.41%17.6x
PENN Entertainmentup 1.11%down 0.98%down 12.18%up 25.64%14.1x
Market data at the August 21, 2026 close. Source: TradingView.

The recovery has not offset the losses for the year. DraftKings is still down 24.3% in 2026 and lags 46.4% off its 52-week peak. Trading volume on Friday reached 8.5 million shares, roughly one-third under its 10-day average.

Despite several brokers lowering their price targets following second-quarter earnings, Wall Street remains optimistic about further gains. The forecast range for targets is between $27 and $38, with an average target of $32.50, which is roughly 24% higher than Friday’s closing price.

BrokerLatest recommendationTargetImplied move from $26.17
MacquarieOutperform$38+45.2%
BarclaysOverweight$34+29.9%
JPMorganOverweight$33+26.1%
GuggenheimBuy$33+26.1%
CitigroupBuy$32+22.3%
BenchmarkBuy$30+14.6%
Deutsche BankHold$28+7.0%
BernsteinOutperform$27+3.2%
Latest cited actions through August 11, 2026. Sources: Benzinga and Bernstein action reported by The Fly.

Risks: Promotional offers may boost sign-ups but not necessarily drive lasting revenue. Sports results are unpredictable. Investment in prediction markets could lengthen the timeline to recoup costs, and regulatory requirements along with state gaming taxes may push up customer-acquisition expenses.

U.S. markets remain shut over the weekend. The promotion period ends on Sunday night. In the coming week, investors will be monitoring if DraftKings maintains Friday’s upward momentum and if offers tied to fall sports increase in generosity. The date for the next earnings report has not been announced yet.

DraftKings acquisition-payback dashboard

DraftKings Inc. · NASDAQ:DKNG · Weekend investor view

Market data: Aug. 21, 2026 · 4:00 p.m. EDT
Friday close
$26.17
+4.55% · Nasdaq +0.43%
Weekly return
+1.87%
Two-day recovery into weekend
2026 YTD
−24.34%
46.4% below 52-week high
Market value
$13.0bn
8.52m shares · 0.67× 10-day volume
Current welcome offer cited by promo trackers
Bet $5 → $150

Headline incentive equals 30× the qualifying wager. Bonus bets are nonwithdrawable and jurisdiction-specific.

6 × $25Bonus-bet tokens
14 daysStaged distribution
Aug. 2311:59 p.m. EDT deadline

Token expiry and wagering restrictions reduce the economic value below the headline amount.

Q2 volume grew; revenue conversion weakened

−20%0%+20%+40% Sales & marketingSports consumer volumeMonthly unique payersTotal revenueRevenue per payer +38.3%+14.5%+9.0%−4.6%−13.0%

The 25.1-point gap between sports-volume growth and sports-revenue growth is the key conversion test.

Customer funnel and profitability

MeasureQ2 2026Q2 2025YoY
Monthly unique payers3.6m~3.3m+9%
Revenue per payer$132$151−13%
Sports volume$13.14bn$11.47bn+14.5%
Sports net margin6.8%8.7%−1.9pp
Adjusted EBITDA$114.6m$300.6m−61.9%
Net income−$67.6m$157.9mSwing to loss

Listed gaming peers

CompanyFridayWeekYTDEV/EBITDA
DraftKings+4.55%+1.87%−24.34%120.0×
Flutter+3.05%+2.92%−52.57%12.7×
MGM Resorts+1.32%−0.75%+19.41%17.6×
PENN Entertainment+1.11%−0.98%+25.64%14.1×

DraftKings led Friday, but its EBITDA multiple prices in a much larger earnings recovery.

Latest cited analyst targets

$20$27$34$41 Close $26.17 Bernstein $27DB $28Benchmark $30Citi $32JPM $33Guggenheim $33Barclays $34Macquarie $38
3%–22% upside26%–45% upside

Eight-target average: $32.50, about 24% above Friday's close.

2026 guidance remains intact

Revenue$6.5bn–$6.9bn
Adjusted EBITDA$700m–$900m
Sportsbook footprint27 states + D.C. + PR
U.S. population represented~53%
Q2 cash$983.9m

Management says the core business can generate about $1bn of adjusted EBITDA before investment in Predictions.

Week-ahead investor checklist

Sunday deadlineWatch whether the $150 welcome offer is extended or replaced.
$26.17 supportHolding Friday's close would preserve the 4.55% rebound.
Promo intensityNew fall-sports offers must improve revenue conversion, not only sign-ups.

Sources: DraftKings Q2 2026 results and events page; MarketWatch; TradingView; current offer summaries from Covers and SportsLine; analyst actions compiled from Benzinga and The Fly. Stock data are at the Nasdaq close on August 21, 2026, 4:00 p.m. EDT. Promotions vary by jurisdiction and eligibility. Analyst targets are opinions, not guarantees.

Shan Ahmed Khan

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and technology to economic developments across global markets. He worked in investment research and market analysis before becoming a financial journalist and is a graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS).

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