Semtech Shares Gain 3.3% After Q2 Revenue Forecast Beats Projections by $50 Million

Semtech Shares Gain 3.3% After Q2 Revenue Forecast Beats Projections by $50 Million

CAMARILLO, California, August 25, 2026, 17:00 EDT — Semtech (SMTC.O) stock climbed 3.3% after the chipmaker projected $410 million in sales for the current period, surpassing analyst estimates by $50 million.

  • Semtech shares rose 3.28% in after-hours trading to $131.70 following Tuesday’s close.
  • Revenue for the fiscal second quarter increased by 33%, reaching $341.9 million.
  • The fiscal third-quarter sales forecast of $410 million surpassed consensus estimates by roughly $50 million.
  • Adjusted operating margin is forecast to rise to 31.0%, representing a sequential increase of 660 basis points.

Semtech stock climbed after the chipmaker projected fiscal third-quarter revenue well ahead of Wall Street expectations. The company’s forecast pointed to AI-networking demand driving stronger sales and higher margins.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:SLAB

Semtech Corporation (NASDAQ:SMTC) was at $131.70 as of 17:00 EDT. This marked a 3.28% rise over its regular-session close of $127.52 after-hours market data.

The stock rose 5.47% throughout regular trading. Following the earnings reaction, it was up 8.92% compared to Monday’s closing price.

The gain over the entire session boosted quoted equity value by roughly $1.0 billion, based on Semtech’s 93.15 million shares outstanding and a $10.79 increase in share price.

Revenue for the fiscal second quarter rose to $341.9 million, marking a 33% increase from the same period last year. Adjusted earnings came in at $0.71 per share. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected $328.7 million in revenue and $0.61 per share in adjusted earnings consensus estimates.

MetricFiscal Q2 actualFiscal Q3 guideSequential change
Revenue$341.9 million$410 million midpoint+19.9%
Adjusted gross margin54.5%58.3%+380 basis points
Adjusted operating margin24.4%31.0%+660 basis points
Adjusted EPS$0.71$1.05 midpoint+47.9%

The $410 million sales midpoint was $50.1 million above the FactSet consensus of $359.9 million. The resulting 13.9% difference marks the most evident indicator of the earnings beat.

Semtech forecast adjusted operating income of $127 million. The midpoint suggests a margin of 31.0%, up from 24.4% recorded in the reported quarter company results.

Management attributed the increased pace to data-center and AI infrastructure projects. CEO Hong Hou stated that bookings were picking up speed and backlog had hit an all-time high.

Semtech will divest its cellular-module unit to Compal Electronics in a $62 million deal. The closing is anticipated in Semtech’s fiscal fourth quarter. The move shifts capital focus to data center connectivity and LoRa products transaction details.

Semtech projected an adjusted gross margin of 63.9% when excluding the held-for-sale operation, indicating its ongoing portfolio is more profitable compared to the overall consolidated outlook.

Free cash flow reached $61.4 million, an increase from $28.0 million in the prior period. Total cash amounted to $204.1 million. Combined current and long-term debt was $492.8 million.

Analyst overviewRecommendationTarget price
Consensus from 15 analystsStrong Buy$201.38 average
BMO CapitalOutperform$155
SusquehannaPositive$200
BenchmarkBuy$230
Ratings and targets compiled before the August 25 results analyst data.

Risks: The post-market shift could fluctuate ahead of Wednesday’s opening. Volatility in AI-driven orders, along with a high reliance on key customers and changes in product lineup, may impact the projected margin growth.

Semtech’s market capitalisation stood at approximately $12.27 billion at a share price of $131.70, equating to about 7.5 times the company’s annualised third-quarter revenue forecast.

The valuation offers limited tolerance for setbacks in execution. However, the outlook provided investors with tangible proof that backlog is turning into sales and operational leverage.

Semtech Corporation · NASDAQ:SMTC

Guidance resets the growth curve

Market and company data through August 25, 2026, 17:00 EDT

Fiscal Q2 FY2027
After-hours price
$131.70
+3.28% after close
Full-session move
+8.92%
versus Monday close
Q2 revenue
$341.9M
+33% year over year
Q3 guide
$410M
$50.1M above Street

Revenue and operating leverage

Quarterly revenue, $ millions; adjusted operating margin shown on the line.

$257.6$291.0$341.9$410.0 Q2 FY26Q1 FY27Q2 FY27Q3 guide 18.8%20.4%24.4%31.0%

Equity-value response

+$1.01B

Estimated increase from Monday’s close, using 93.15 million shares.

Regular close$127.52
After-hours$131.70
AH range$120.65–$134.00
Quoted equity value≈$12.27B

Q2 scorecard

MetricActualSignal
Revenue$341.9M+33% YoY
Adjusted EPS$0.71$0.10 beat
Adjusted gross margin54.5%+70 bps QoQ
Free cash flow$61.4M+119% QoQ
Regular volume8.58M2.52× average

Q3 guide versus consensus

MetricGuide midpointStreet / change
Revenue$410M13.9% above Street
Adjusted EPS$1.05$0.32 above Street
Adjusted operating income$127M+51.9% QoQ
Adjusted operating margin31.0%+660 bps QoQ
Adjusted EBITDA$134.3M32.8% margin

What changes the thesis

Demand visibilityAccelerating bookings and record backlog support growth into the next fiscal year.
Portfolio focusThe $62 million cellular-module sale shifts attention toward data-center connectivity and LoRa.
Margin mixQ3 adjusted gross margin excluding the held-for-sale business is guided to 63.9%.
Execution testThe company must deliver almost 20% sequential revenue growth while lifting operating margin 660 basis points.

Balance sheet

Cash$204.1M
Total debt$492.8M
Net debt≈$288.7M
Q2 free cash flow$61.4M

Company figures as of July 26, 2026, reported August 25.

Analyst expectations before results

Firm / setViewTarget
15-analyst consensusStrong Buy$201.38 avg.
BMO CapitalOutperform$155
SusquehannaPositive$200
BenchmarkBuy$230

Valuation and risk

≈7.5×

Quoted equity value divided by annualized Q3 revenue guidance.

Watch: after-hours reversals, customer concentration, uneven AI orders, product-transition timing and delivery against the sharp margin ramp.

Sources: Semtech fiscal Q2 FY2027 release; Public market data; FactSet estimates reported by Investor’s Business Daily; StockAnalysis analyst compilation. Derived figures may differ from vendor calculations because of rounding.

Roman Perkowski

Roman Perkowski is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and technology to economic developments across global markets. He graduated from the Cracow University of Economics and worked in investment research and corporate finance before becoming a financial journalist. Follow Roman Perkowski on Google News.

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