Workday Shares Drop 7.0% in After-Hours Trading After Subscription Revenue Forecast Misses Expectations

Workday Shares Drop 7.0% in After-Hours Trading After Subscription Revenue Forecast Misses Expectations

PLEASANTON, California, August 27, 2026, 17:30 (EDT) – Workday (WDAY.O) shares fell 7.0% in after-hours trading after the company issued a subscription revenue outlook of $2.52 billion that fell short of analyst estimates.

  • Workday shares were at $179.99 in after-hours trading, falling 7.02% compared to the closing price of $193.57.
  • Revenue for the quarter increased by 12.8%, reaching $2.65 billion, while adjusted earnings per share were $2.75.
  • Artificial intelligence accounted for over 25% of new contract value; however, near-term guidance was only in line with expectations.

Workday, Inc. (NASDAQ: WDAY) dropped 7.02% in after-hours trading to $179.99, wiping about $3.3 billion off its $47.1 billion market value at the close.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:WDAY

The selloff revealed tougher standards for enterprise software. Even with robust AI adoption and an earnings beat, guidance that merely met forecasts was not enough to counter the downturn.

Revenue for the fiscal second quarter increased by 12.8%, reaching $2.65 billion. Analysts surveyed by LSEG had anticipated revenue of approximately $2.64 billion, according to Reuters.

Adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.75, topping the $2.61 expected by analysts. This figure represented a 24% increase compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

Investor measureReported / guidedMarket referenceRead-through
Q2 total revenue$2.649 billion$2.636 billion$13 million ahead
Q2 adjusted EPS$2.75$2.61$0.14 ahead
Q3 subscription revenueAbout $2.515 billionAbout $2.52 billionRoughly matches
FY subscription revenue$9.94–$9.95 billionPrior: $9.925–$9.95 billionMidpoint up $7.5 million
Sources: Workday, Reuters and Investor’s Business Daily; fiscal Q2 ended July 31, 2026.

The forecast for full-year subscriptions saw a modest increase, with the midpoint advancing by $7.5 million—representing under 0.1% of the anticipated yearly subscription income.

Workday forecasts third-quarter subscription revenue of approximately $2.515 billion, roughly in line with analysts’ expectations and providing limited opportunity for estimate increases.

Workday saw strong AI adoption. CEO Aneel Bhusri reported that AI accounted for over 25% of new annual contract value, with at least 5,500 customers using a Workday agent.

The figures are significant since Workday targets conservative corporate budgets. Major finance and human-resources implementations continue to face extended approval times.

The company has approved a fresh $4 billion share buyback program. At $179.99 per share, this is approximately 9% of Workday’s implied market capitalization in after-hours trading.

Net income came in at $632 million, or $2.57 per share, which factored in a $1.52-per-share tax benefit resulting from an internal intellectual-property transfer Wall Street Journal.

Following a turbulent month, analysts’ opinions are split. Of those monitored by MarketScreener, forty-one have assigned an Outperform consensus, setting an average price target close to $188.21 analyst consensus.

The target implies a 4.6% upside from the after-hours price. The range, from $92 to $275, highlights a notably broad divergence in views on growth and valuation.

Risks: Prices during extended hours trading may shift amid low liquidity. Slowdowns in software project timelines, competition from AI-native firms, and pricing challenges may hinder further subscription expansion.

The next challenge is monetization. Workday needs to convert increased agent adoption into subscription growth that surpasses, not just matches, market expectations.

NASDAQ: WDAY · Fiscal Q2 2027 earnings reaction

Workday: AI traction meets a growth ceiling

Market snapshot: August 27, 2026, 17:30 EDT · Quarter ended July 31

After-hours price
$179.99
−$13.58 · −7.02%
Regular close
$193.57
Volume: 7.36M
Q2 revenue
$2.649B
+12.8% YoY
Adjusted EPS
$2.75
+$0.14 vs consensus

What cleared the bar—and what did not

Q2 revenue+$13M
Q2 adj. EPS+$0.14
FY sub midpoint+$7.5M
Q3 subscriptionsIn line

Bar lengths are normalized within each comparison, not a common scale.

AI adoption

>25%new ACV5,500agent customers

Guidance and capital return

MetricCurrentInvestor signal
Q3 subscription revenue~$2.515BBroadly in line
FY subscription revenue$9.94–$9.95BTiny midpoint raise
New buyback authorization$4.0B~9% of AH value
After-hours value loss~$3.3B7.02% move

Street view

ConsensusOutperform
Analysts41
Average target$188.21
Median target$202.00
Target range$92–$275
Upside to average4.6%

Watch enterprise IT budgets, large-deal timing, AI pricing, Financials adoption and acquisition speculation. Extended-hours liquidity can amplify the move.

Sources: Workday, Reuters, WSJ, Public and MarketScreener.Prices: 17:30 EDT. Financials: reported August 27, 2026.
Mateusz Kaczmarek

Mateusz Kaczmarek is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and artificial intelligence to semiconductors and developments across global markets. He graduated from the Poznań University of Economics and Business and worked in financial analysis before becoming a business journalist. Follow Mateusz Kaczmarek on Google News.

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