Nokia Shares Drop 3.6% Despite Doubling AI Revenue, Profit Slumps

Nokia Shares Drop 3.6% Despite Doubling AI Revenue, Profit Slumps

HELSINKI, August 29, 2026, 16:01 EDT

  • Nokia’s ADRs dropped 3.59% to $10.21 on Friday.
  • Second-quarter AI and cloud sales rose by over two times.
  • Comparable operating profit increased by 18%, but reported operating profit moved into negative territory.
  • The consensus analyst price target of $15.02 indicates a potential upside of roughly 47%.

Nokia Oyj ADRs declined by 3.59% on Friday, despite gains in its fastest-expanding network unit. The drop prompted investors to consider AI demand in comparison to the expense of a major restructuring effort.

Stock chart for NYSE:NOK

The stock ended the session at $10.21, marking its third straight increase. Trading volume was 59.9 million shares, representing about two-thirds of its usual daily average MarketWatch.

Nokia Oyj (NYSE: NOK) continues to represent a recovery play, showing contrasting performances in its earnings results. Comparable operating profit rose by 18% to reach €434 million, while reported operating profit fell to a loss of €50 million.

MeasureQ2 2026Year-on-yearInvestor read-through
Net sales€4.82 billion+8% reportedRising demand
AI and cloud salesNot separately disclosed+105%Main driver of growth
Comparable operating profit€434 million+18%Leverage in underlying performance
Reported operating profit−€50 millionFrom +€147 millionImpact from restructuring
Net cash€2.78 billion−4%Supports balance sheet

Network Infrastructure delivered the highest operating signal, with sales increasing by 12% to €2.04 billion. The operating margin climbed to 8.1%, up from 6.4% Nokia’s Q2 report.

Optical Networks posted a 20% rise, and IP Networks were up 16%. Nokia reported that order intake for AI and cloud amounted to €2.8 billion, with roughly half expected to generate revenue within the next twelve months.

The backlog provides visibility, but supply is still the primary limitation. Chief Executive Justin Hotard said customers are making longer-term orders due to ongoing tightness in key optical components.

The earnings transition is less straightforward. Nokia anticipates restructuring charges of €800 million this year. Cash outflows connected to these charges are projected at €700 million to €800 million.

The company maintained its operational forecast. Comparable operating profit remains projected at €2.1 billion to €2.6 billion. The updated range is due to discontinued-business reporting, not improved business performance.

Sales in the third quarter are projected to increase sequentially by 3% to 7%. Comparable operating profit is anticipated to be largely stable, with a significant rise forecast for the fourth quarter.

The current valuation requires progress. The ADR is trading at approximately 23.9 times forward earnings. On average, eleven analysts recommend a Buy rating, with a price target of $15.02 StockAnalysis.

The target indicates a possible 47% gain, though Nokia’s shares have already climbed roughly 57% in 2026. Friday’s drop may signal investors taking profits after that increase, rather than a fresh fundamental issue.

Monday’s U.S. reopening will serve as the next test for markets. Investors are set to monitor if the ADR remains above Friday’s $10.16 low, as AI orders progress toward recognized revenue.

Risks: Shipments may be delayed by component shortages. Cash usage could rise due to restructuring expenses, and telecom customers might defer purchases. Fluctuating currencies and intense competition may put further pressure on margins.

Nokia investor dashboard

NYSE: NOK · figures updated August 28, 2026, 20:00 EDT unless noted

Yahoo Most Active · rank 10
Close
$10.21
−3.59%
Volume
59.9M
62% of 65-day average
Consensus target
$15.02
+47.1% implied
Forward P/E
23.9×
Buy · 11 analysts

Q2 operating bridge

MetricQ2 2026YoY
Net sales€4.82B+8%
AI & cloud sales+105%
Comparable operating profit€434M+18%
Reported operating profit−€50Mfrom +€147M
Net cash€2.78B−4%
Source: Nokia Q2 2026 report, July 23, 2026.

What the stock is pricing

Price versus $15.02 target
2026 restructuring cash outflow
€700M–€800M
2026 operating-profit guide
€2.1B–€2.6B
The core question: can 105% AI and cloud growth reach reported earnings before restructuring absorbs the cash benefit?

Segment comparison

SegmentSales growthMargin
Network Infrastructure+12%8.1%
Mobile Infrastructure+6%11.6%
Portfolio Businesses+6%0.0%

Next checkpoints

August 31: U.S. trading resumes; Friday low was $10.16.

Q3: Sales expected to rise 3%–7% sequentially.

Q4: Management expects a meaningful operating-profit increase.

Risk flags: supply constraints, restructuring execution, customer capex, currency and pricing competition.

52-week range: $4.23 — $17.45$10.21
Mateusz Kaczmarek

Mateusz Kaczmarek is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and artificial intelligence to semiconductors and developments across global markets. He graduated from the Poznań University of Economics and Business and worked in financial analysis before becoming a business journalist. Follow Mateusz Kaczmarek on Google News.

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