Marvell shares fall 10.3% as Google AI-related revenue projected for fiscal 2029

Marvell shares fall 10.3% as Google AI-related revenue projected for fiscal 2029

SANTA CLARA, California, August 29, 2026, 14:48 (ET)

  • Marvell ended Friday at $216.62, falling 10.28%, with 48.7 million shares traded.
  • Revenue for the fiscal second quarter climbed 37% to reach an all-time high of $2.74 billion.
  • Data-center sales totaled $2.17 billion, accounting for 79% of overall revenue.
  • Significant revenue from Google’s custom chips is not anticipated before fiscal 2029.

Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRVL) dropped 10.28% on Friday. Shares finished at $216.62, with 48.7 million traded market data.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:MRVL

The decline came after Marvell reported record earnings and raised its outlook. However, investors concentrated on the timeline for Marvell’s Google custom-chip deal to have a significant impact on revenue.

The deal has the potential to bring in $120 billion by the end of fiscal 2033. Chief Executive Matt Murphy stated its impact will be notably larger starting in fiscal 2029 Reuters.

The delayed timeline accounts for the response. Marvell is valued at 58.4 times forward earnings, while Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) trades at 32.2 times forward earnings.

Investor measureLatest figureSignal
Friday close$216.62Fell 10.28%
Q2 revenue$2.74 billionClimbed 37% from previous year
Data-center revenue$2.17 billion79% of total; increased 46%
Q3 revenue guide$3.15 billion ±5%Roughly 15% higher than Q2 midpoint
Q2 operating cash flow$605.5 million22.1% of revenue

Revenue for the fiscal second quarter climbed 37% to $2.74 billion. Data-center sales advanced 46%, totaling $2.17 billion, and GAAP net income stood at $308 million company results.

Marvell forecasts fiscal third-quarter revenue at $3.15 billion, with a possible variance of 5%, and projects adjusted earnings per share of $1.10. Growth is picking up pace.

The margin forecast is lower. The company projects non-GAAP gross margin between 57.5% and 58.5%, under the prior quarter’s 58.9%.

Marvell is projecting approximately 45% revenue growth for fiscal 2027. The company aims for around $18 billion in fiscal 2028 revenue, driven primarily by custom silicon and connectivity.

Wall Street sentiment stays optimistic following the decline. The average price target from 44 analysts sits at $278.89, which is 28.8% higher than Friday’s closing price. However, targets vary, spanning from $126 up to $400 analyst consensus.

Following the report, at least eight brokerages increased their price targets. LSEG data referenced by Reuters showed the median target climbed to $275.

Risks: Delays in custom-chip timelines are possible, while demand is mainly led by a limited number of hyperscale customers. Profitability may also be hit by thinner margins, export limits, and limited access to advanced packaging.

The next test arrives on October 6. Marvell’s investor day needs to demonstrate that projected fiscal 2029 revenue supports the current valuation premium.

Marvell · NASDAQ: MRVL · stock move

Growth now, Google revenue later

Market: Aug. 28, 2026, 16:00 ET
Financials: quarter ended Aug. 1, 2026
Friday close
$216.62
−10.28% · 48.7M shares
Q2 revenue
$2.74B
+37% year over year
Data-center mix
79%
$2.17B · +46%
Forward P/E
58.4×
Broadcom: 32.2×

Operating and forecast bridge

MeasureLatestChange / signal
GAAP gross margin53.1%Q3 guide: 52.9%–53.9%
Adjusted gross margin58.9%Q3 guide: 57.5%–58.5%
GAAP net income$308.0M11.2% margin
Operating cash flow$605.5M22.1% of revenue
Q3 revenue midpoint$3.15B≈15% above Q2
FY2028 revenue target≈$18BCustom silicon-led

Revenue concentration

Data center
79%
Other
21%

Google custom-chip revenue becomes materially larger in fiscal 2029. Investor Day: Oct. 6, 2026.

Consensus and risk

Mean target: $278.89 from 44 analysts, implying 28.8% upside. Range: $126–$400.

Risks: custom-chip delays, customer concentration, margin compression, export controls and advanced-packaging constraints.

Sources: Marvell fiscal Q2 2027 release; Reuters/LSEG; MarketScreener delayed Nasdaq quote and consensus. Figures checked Aug. 29, 2026, 14:48 ET.
Roman Perkowski

Roman Perkowski is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and technology to economic developments across global markets. He graduated from the Cracow University of Economics and worked in investment research and corporate finance before becoming a financial journalist. Follow Roman Perkowski on Google News.

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