New York, January 25, 2026, 10:59 (ET) — Market closed
- Shares of Bank of America slipped roughly 1.4% to end Friday at $51.72, trailing the flat broader market.
- With the Federal Reserve meeting looming this week and bank margins in the spotlight, rates have taken center stage once again.
- A Friday SEC filing revealed the bank is offering fixed-rate callable notes, a standard yet interest rate-sensitive funding strategy.
Shares of Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC) closed Friday roughly 1.4% lower at $51.72, signaling a cautious start for the lender as markets reopen on Monday.
All eyes now turn to the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting on Jan. 27-28. The rate decision drops on Jan. 28, followed by a press conference that same afternoon. For banks, the Fed’s stance on rates is crucial—it directly impacts net interest income, the gap between earnings on loans and what they pay on deposits. (Federal Reserve)
First Citizens BancShares delivered a stark reminder on Friday, forecasting 2026 net interest income below Wall Street’s estimates, dragging down bank stocks across the board. “Given continued rate cuts, we expect loan interest income to decline,” CFO Craig Nix told analysts. Truist analyst Brian Foran weighed in, saying the question now is whether “this is the final cut.” The KBW Nasdaq Regional Banking Index fell about 3% in afternoon trading. Portfolio manager Macrae Sykes observed there was “little good news from the financials today.” (Reuters)
The broader market showed little support. The S&P 500 inched up Friday, while the Dow dipped. The 10-year Treasury yield closed near 4.24%, a figure that continues to weigh on bank margin forecasts but still underpins other rate-sensitive sectors. (AP News)
Bank stocks dipped as well. JPMorgan Chase dropped roughly 2%, while Wells Fargo slipped about 1.2% on Friday. Investors remain focused on a key issue: the direction of short-term rates and the pace at which deposits will reprice. (MarketWatch)
Bank of America drew attention on the funding front as well. An SEC filing dated Jan. 23 revealed the bank is offering fixed-rate callable notes maturing Feb. 12, 2038. Initial terms feature a 5.05% annual coupon, with pricing set for Feb. 10. The “callable” feature lets the issuer redeem the notes early, a factor that gains importance amid shifting interest-rate forecasts.
Issuing debt like this is standard fare for major banks, yet this week investors are particularly sensitive to every shift in yields and credit spreads. Changes in long-term rates can swiftly alter the calculations for funding expenses and the returns on new loans.
Monday’s session will probably hinge initially on the bond market before attention shifts to positioning ahead of Wednesday. Financials have swiftly responded to even minor tweaks in rate-cut expectations, while traders are parsing regional-bank news for clues on sector stress.
Outcomes vary widely. Should the Fed push back against aggressive easing expectations, or if yields rise, bank shares could jump on hopes that margins won’t shrink as fast. On the flip side, a dovish policy shift or another dip in yields might revive concerns over margin pressure, keeping the sector under pressure.
The upcoming big event is the Fed’s rate decision on Jan. 28, along with Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. Investors will be watching closely to gauge whether any rate cuts are on the table this year. (Federal Reserve)
