ASX:SGM 5 December 2025

March 22, 2026, 8:00 AM EDT. Methanex's stock surged 37% year to date, closing recently at US$76.69 with gains across multiple time frames, including 8% over the past week and 45.4% over one year. Despite strong rally, a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation model estimates Methanex's intrinsic value at US$128.02 per share, suggesting the stock is approximately 40.1% undervalued. This DCF approach projects future cash flows to equity, discounting them to present value, emphasizing cash generation over accounting earnings. Methanex scored 2 out of 6 on valuation metrics, reflecting mixed signals amid material sector turbulence. Investors weigh balance sheet strength and cash flows amid commodity price volatility as key factors. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio aligns with expected growth and risk profiles, indicating potential upside despite recent gains. Analysts recommend tracking Methanex amid broader market conditions shaping commodity-centric stocks.